Posted on 10/10/2024 8:04:22 AM PDT by simpson96
A key swing state has flipped in favor of Donald Trump, according to a new Electoral College map projection.
RealClearPolitics' polling tracker shows that, with no toss-up states, Michigan has flipped in favor of Trump, with the former president now half a point ahead of his opponent, Kamala Harris, in the state, on 48.5 percent to her 48 percent. It's the first time that the tracker has shown Trump ahead in the state, which Joe Biden flipped to blue in 2020, since July 29.
Trump's lead in Michigan means the pollster is now forecasting that the former president will win the election with 296 Electoral College votes to Harris' 242. Michigan has 15 electoral votes. Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email.
Recent polls have put Trump ahead in the state, including a survey conducted by Quinnipiac University between October 3 and 7, which put him 4 points ahead in a head-to-head matchup and 3 points ahead with third party candidates included. The poll surveyed 1,007 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
Other recent polls, including one conducted by the Trafalgar Group and another conducted by AtlasIntel, have also put Trump ahead among likely voters in the state by up to 4 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Everything you said is true, but it’s irritating whenever there is a poll result posted here on FR, half the posts are referencing the possibility of vote fraud. WE GET IT. EVERYONE KNOWS ITS A CONCERN. It doesn’t have to inundate every stinking thread.
Game over!
the former president will win the election with 296 Electoral College votes to Harris’ 242
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Failing to understand why Kamalback would get ANY EC votes.
She can be ambassador to Malta. Lots of lesbians there.
“Ladies and gentlemen please rise and join in a moment of silence for the Free Republic Surrender Monkey Caucus during this most trying time. Nelson will now cue the sad trombone.”
Presupposes a fair election.
I dont care about a landslide.
I care about getting 270.
Trump has multiple paths to it now.
All the dead Democrat voters have Michigan well in hand.
The momentum shifting to Trump is about a week earlier than I expected, but I’ll take it. Very similar to 1980.
Just my own opinion, but I think the shift happened a couple weeks ago. I think Trump took the lead back around Labor Day, and began pulling away around the end of September. The polls are lagging and as usual understate Trump’s strength. (As for the ability of Democrats to cheat again as they did in 2020, I have no idea…except to say that you can never do the same thing the same way twice.)
I won’t feel comfortable unless it’s at least 274+, can’t discount the possibility of a few Never-Trumper faithless electors.
For comparison , Obama got 96% of the black vote.
Harris is getting shellacked by black men. I think she is down 20 points with black men in one of the more recent polls.
She cannot win unless she gets those numbers back up in the 90’s. That is a heavy lift in a month.
I guess the black men “know” Harris…and they don’t want to deal with her any more than the rest of us.
As a result of the 2020 census, in 2024 Michigan will have 15 electoral votes and North Carolina 16.
So if Trump is able to carry Michigan, that almost balances North Carolina, which FEMA is trying to tip into the Democrat column by making it impossible for people in the hurricane-impacted counties to vote.
4 weeks is a lifetime in politics.
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