Posted on 05/02/2024 2:13:53 PM PDT by Signalman
An April Kaplan Strategies poll has former President Donald Trump with a big lead over President Joe Biden in Michigan.
The poll has Trump leading Biden 51%-36% in a state that will be key to determining who wins the 2024 presidential election.
Biden beat Trump in the Great Lakes State by 2.8 points in 2020. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by just .23 points, 10,000 votes, the first time Michigan voted Republican since 1988.
Both sides have been campaigning aggressively in Michigan, with Trump recently hosting a rally in Freeland. Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. will also be on the ballot in Michigan and could draw support from both parties.
While the poll shows good news for Trump, it is almost certainly an outlier.
A poll conducted by The Hill/Emerson released April 30, has Trump up by 1 point, while a CBS News poll conducted last Sunday has Biden up two points. Most other polls show the race to be within a margin of error, with Trump on average leading 46%-44.8%, according to RealClear Politics.
FiveThirtyEight, a website that analyzes polls and pollsters, gives Kaplan Strategies a two-star rating out of three stars, with a transparency score of 2.4 out of 10.
Kaplan Strategies surveyed 804 people April 20-21 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points.
Gasoline, utility bills, groceries etc. still have not gone down to appreciably notice. Got an egg McMuffin and small cup of coffee yesterday. $8.12. I can remember times back under Trump when they were selling them 2 for 1 for less than half that.
The large margin is due Michigan’s Hamas supporters organized effort to answer all polls as “uncommitted” due to Biden’s refusal to side with Hamas against Israel. They want to influence Biden via polls, but when November comes, they will vote for him. Best case is enough stay home to make a difference.
They call him "Genocide Joe" in Dearborn.
So Trump is polling in Michigan almost exactly what he was in 2020 ~46% but Biden is polling almost 5 points lower.
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Trump’s floor is 46% going off the election returns in 2016 & 2020.
Now that voters have experienced 3.5 years of the Biden/Harris Virus, the Potato Head will lose substantial support to Trump and 3rd party candidates this year.
“Biden is Toast” this November, despite the negativity that is “par for the course” on Free Republic.
Trump may be leading in Michigan.
He is not leading by 15%.
That’s outside the margin of fraud.
CC
Can this be believed?
Michigan is not Oklahoma !
the only poll that’s important is the one on election day.
always go vote as if your guy is slightly behind and your vote will put him over the top.
I think the same thing is going to happen,
Wow! Guess there’s no need for the wife and I to go and vote! Because Trump already has it wrapped up!
No paltry 81,000,000 ballots for him!
I believe that 2020 "elections" showed us that no polls matter.
What matters is who does the counting.
But who does the counting?
you’re not wrong.
Majority of auto workers don’t like Biden’s EV mandates.
Who does like those mandates?
What about Georgia? Doesn't he need that? And he is neck and neck there also.
You can show support for our glorious leader and buy a nexnelsrent t-shirt:
Take it from me, yes it is.
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