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Hurricane possibly hitting Florida's panhandle on September 30.
www.ready.noaa.gov ^ | September 20, 2022 | Me

Posted on 09/20/2022 6:45:04 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

The NOAA GFS model is showing a hurricane moving north through the Gulf and making landfall on the western Florida panhandle on September 30. The 12Z 09/20 run had it approaching Apalachicola, while the 18Z run has it making landfall at or near Pensacola. I suspect future model updates will continue to have the hurricane tracking further and further west. JMO.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Health/Medicine; Local News; Weather
KEYWORDS: 10daysout; fl; florida; gfs; hurricane; maybe; pensacola; predictions
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To: CFW

They make the houses in Florida hurricane resistant. One of my friends from down there made a house with her father out of cinder blocks and concrete because the zoning required it.

I’ve been through about 6 or 7 on the east coast in VA and NC. If it hits at night, take a Benadryl and go to sleep. The lights will go off anyhow and you’ll have nothing to do.

If they aren’t ready by now then they never will be.


21 posted on 09/20/2022 7:04:10 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: 9422WMR
rain over central Texas for a week of steady rain

Ugh, no thanks.

A couple of days will do it.

22 posted on 09/20/2022 7:05:48 PM PDT by grobdriver (The CDC can KMA!)
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Hurricane in Florida in Fall? Global warming is worserlier than ever!


23 posted on 09/20/2022 7:09:42 PM PDT by dsrtsage ( Complexity is just simple lacking imagination)
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To: packagingguy

My sis is now living in Jax and her hubby has kin just north of there within spitting distance from A1A on a bay

They build their octagon shaped house hurricane proof, with a 12” I-beam frame with the pilings going down 85 feet

They’ll lived in that area for 40 years, after living on a secluded barrier island in Georgia for several years


24 posted on 09/20/2022 7:15:27 PM PDT by digger48
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To: TexasGator

I figured that with all those tight isobars around the center, it’s going to be hurricane force winds. Hopefully, you will turn out to be correct, and it will be just a tropical storm.


25 posted on 09/20/2022 7:22:04 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

There has been so little tropic development this year, just wait until the news stories next year saying how much worse it will be than this year because of globull warming.


26 posted on 09/20/2022 7:28:02 PM PDT by gunnut
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Considering the atlantic tropics had been quiet most of the summer, I think most of the east and gulf coast have been lucky so far.

anyway, the forecast is still a model that is pretty far off in the future, so while it's a good reminder for people to be ready, it may still change it's path.

for the geeky people on the board, here is a link that consolidate a lot of information on active systems for you. it currently doesn't have a gfs model for the system that was mention yet, though.

https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/vxt/HWRF/index.php

27 posted on 09/20/2022 7:28:04 PM PDT by backpacker_c ( )
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To: backpacker_c

Like I said before, I figure successive model runs will have this thing tracking further and further west. There was a previous hurricane predicted to hit Pensacola around labor day, then the model had it ultimately hitting the NOLA area, then Texas around Brownsville, then finally no storm at all.


28 posted on 09/20/2022 7:33:22 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Is this the same model that predicted an above average season?

Being a hurricane forecaster means never being reminded of past predictions.


29 posted on 09/20/2022 7:35:27 PM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
I cant wait for the stories about the plywood shortage and price gouging, thats the best part of hurricane season. Theres something about it, the same words year after year, the familiarity...its something like (winter break) carols but in reverse.

That and the media covering the long lines of people that were surprised and had to get out at the last moment. Its almost reminiscent of (The Holiday that they wont say) and reminds you to get out spending for the upcoming "Holiday season".

You Were Surprised by a Hurricane?! | James Gregory

30 posted on 09/20/2022 7:37:45 PM PDT by gnarledmaw (Hive minded liberals worship leaders, sovereign conservatives elect servants.)
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To: gunnut

Mebbe Global Warming (TM) caused the wind-blown Sahara Dust phenomenon over the Atlantic that quieted things down. :-)


31 posted on 09/20/2022 7:37:56 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: FirstFlaBn

Weather forecaster is one of those occupations where you can be wrong 50% of the time and still have a job.


32 posted on 09/20/2022 7:38:50 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

But that’s 10 DAYS away! They can predict within 100 miles of the actual landfall 2-3 days ahead, but it they get one right 10 days out, it was just luck.


33 posted on 09/20/2022 7:41:09 PM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, BY FAR, is that almost all of big media is agenda-driven, not-truth driven.)
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To: EileenEulich

Side note to pulled thread about
MAIL ORDER BRIDES,,,
I’D JUST popped in Dr. Strangelove..Strangely...
Ha!
They pulled it for;
SOLICITATION,,,,
.
.
CHEERS


34 posted on 09/20/2022 7:44:43 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (We Are JONAH)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

It looks like from the colors 60-74 mph


35 posted on 09/20/2022 7:48:01 PM PDT by TexasGator ( Gator in Florida)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

mark


36 posted on 09/20/2022 7:48:21 PM PDT by clintonh8r (Truth is hate speech to those who hate the truth.)
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To: libertylover

Yep. That’s why I said I’d figure the track will move westward over time. It’s why I alluded to a POSSIBLE hurricane strike.


37 posted on 09/20/2022 7:51:06 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: packagingguy

VA and NC don’t get real hurricanes.


38 posted on 09/20/2022 8:21:50 PM PDT by Romulus
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To: TexasGator

GFS shows lowest pressure at 929. That’s good enough for a cat 4. We’ll see.


39 posted on 09/20/2022 8:26:41 PM PDT by Romulus
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To: Romulus

Hazel in 1955 hit va and nc.


40 posted on 09/20/2022 9:21:14 PM PDT by from occupied ga (Your government is your most dangerous enemy - EVs a solution for which there is no problem)
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