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Time to Prepare People to Accept COVID-19 Endemicity
Contagion Live (really) ^ | October 12, 2021 | Jason Gallagher, PharmD, FCCP, FIDP, FIDSA, BCPS*

Posted on 10/14/2021 9:33:55 PM PDT by DoodleBob

SARS-CoV-2 has taken us on a rollercoaster, and not just on graphs of case counts. The natural tendency to project linearity to trends makes each hill and dip feel unnatural. The media exacerbates perceptual changes with its hyperfocal attention on each new development, even expected ones like breakthrough infections. People feel they are being jolted around.

The early efficacy results of the mRNA vaccines from Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna were positively stunning. Demonstrating more than 90% vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic infection when the goal was a 50% reduction in severe disease caught people off guard. It was the first bit of good news in quite a while, coming at a time when school buildings were shut in much of the country and we adapted to e-school, working from home, and the awkwardness of Zoom happy hours. When vaccines started to be given in December 2020, people began to envision a world without COVID-19.

Things have not turned out that way. Despite commanding the greatest portion of vaccine supply and getting a head start, vaccinations in the US have fallen behind that of most high-income countries; at this writing, the US is at the bottom of the G7 and 60th in the world in percentage vaccinated. However, that is only part of the picture. The virus has not waited for us to vaccinate the world’s population- it keeps evolving towards more transmissible variants. In the Delta variant, SARS-CoV-2 has transformed into not just a highly transmissible variant, but one of the world’s most transmissible infectious diseases. We are fortunate that Delta came to the US after vaccines became widely available or we would be looking at a very different society right now.

The combination of Delta and vaccine hesitancy has cost many lives, but it also highlights the need to reset expectations on the COVID-19 endgame. Herd immunity may never have been a realistic goal, but it seems clear it is an impossibility. Over the next several years, everyone is likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2. With the attenuation that vaccination provides, most vaccinated people will have asymptomatic, mild, or moderate infection. Unvaccinated people with previous COVID-19 will have less severe reinfection, and the ever-decreasing number of unvaccinated people without previous COVID-19 will be susceptible to severe disease.

The continued spread of immunity, whether acquired by vaccination or infection, will drive overall cases down. However, the incomplete nature of immunity and future mutations in SARS-CoV-2 will allow it to remain a circulating human pathogen like other endemic human coronaviruses.

One of the most apparent issues that the pandemic has revealed is ineffective communication. To increase vaccine uptake, ‘get vaccinated and you’re good’ became the narrative. People listened. When Delta became pervasive and changed things again, momentum towards a ‘post-pandemic’ dream was harder to change. Therefore, it is time to prepare people for a future with endemic COVID-19 now. We won’t be masked forever, but we aren’t wiping the virus off the earth either.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: covid19; covid1984; gassholedrbait
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To: DoodleBob
and the ever-decreasing number of unvaccinated people without previous COVID-19 will be susceptible to severe disease.

I know people in 50+ age group that came down with it. They were all healthy and were able to fight it off without treatment. It knocked the stuffing out of a 70 year old friend for a few days, but he recovered without treatment.

41 posted on 10/15/2021 4:41:43 AM PDT by EVO X ( )
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To: DoodleBob
From the article: and the ever-decreasing number of unvaccinated people without previous COVID-19 will be susceptible to severe disease.

Who would believe that there's anyone on the planet who hasn't been exposed to SARS COVID-19? We're TWO YEARS into this. It's in populations of wild animals and pets.

As for the claim that the "unvaccinated" will be susceptible to severe disease, the data is already pointing to who got the Jim Jones Jab are already being more susceptible:
https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/covid-is-surging-in-waterford-ireland-where-99-7-percent-are-double-vaccinated/

42 posted on 10/15/2021 4:57:04 AM PDT by T.B. Yoits
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To: semimojo; Impy; bagster

:: Both Pfizer and Moderna start above 90% in preventing infection. I assume that’s what you mean by immunity. ::

Well, well, well.

What you have postulated above \confounds\ “prohylaxis” and “immunity” into a single concept.
They are separate outcomes.

AKA: You are either poorly informed or lying in support of the current NEWscience fascists.
Did you have the ChickenPox virus as a child?

Have you ever read “1984”?
How about “Atlas Shrugged”?


43 posted on 10/15/2021 5:58:17 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (LfEuTcSk GjOoe BbRiAdNeDnDON)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel
What you have postulated above \confounds\ “prohylaxis” and “immunity” into a single concept.

Don't be obtuse. Tell me what you mean by immunity vs. prophylaxis.

44 posted on 10/15/2021 6:01:49 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: semimojo; bagster; Impy

And you enter into a conversation without the knowledge of the basic concepts contained there-in.
You’re now at the point of throwing shit on the wall to see what sticks.

Your plea is a misdirection and an attempt to set up a streawman.
No Takers, shill
(I continue to ping others because of their known interest in this type of conversation.)


45 posted on 10/15/2021 6:12:52 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (LfEuTcSk GjOoe BbRiAdNeDnDON)
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To: romanesq
Hell is coming.

That it is, but that also means the Lord is coming as well.

46 posted on 10/15/2021 6:14:14 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel
LOL. Make up your own definition then claim others don't understand the term.

I'm sure your buddies think that's clever.

47 posted on 10/15/2021 6:27:56 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: semimojo; cgbg
cgbg says:

These vaccines are a total joke.

Mojo (the banned liberal troll) says:

You go to war with the army you have...

Bagster says:


48 posted on 10/15/2021 6:56:10 AM PDT by bagster ("Even bad men love their mamas".)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel; semimojo

49 posted on 10/15/2021 7:01:01 AM PDT by bagster ("Even bad men love their mamas".)
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To: bagster
I notice you never include the next sentence of that post.

Of course I shouldn't be surprised that someone susceptible to bizarre cults would be unable to comprehend sarcasm.

50 posted on 10/15/2021 7:09:15 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: semimojo
I notice you never include the next sentence of that post. Of course I shouldn't be surprised that someone susceptible to bizarre cults would be unable to comprehend sarcasm.

Too late, Mojo the Banned. Cat's out of the bag.

You ain't tap dancing your way out of this one.


51 posted on 10/15/2021 7:22:54 AM PDT by bagster ("Even bad men love their mamas".)
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To: semimojo; bagster

Here then, is the point...

Both immunity and prophylaxis are already in the vernacular and found to be “common sense” definitions.
For you to request MY definition of immunity and prophylaxis is a strawman construct intent on tearing-down by way of the Big Lebowski: “that’s YOUR opinion, man!”
Henceforth YOU have no solid opinion of either term.

You are now constrained to the common-sense definition of both and are REQUIRED to defend your position from there.
All other efforts are simple deflection.

So...does the VAXX create immunity?
Or, is it simply a prophylaxis no better than Z-pak and Vicks Vapo-Rub?


52 posted on 10/15/2021 7:30:43 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (LfEuTcSk GjOoe BbRiAdNeDnDON)
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To: semimojo; Cletus.D.Yokel; Jane Long
Mojo the Banned says:

I notice you never include the next sentence of that post.

Mojo the Banned goes on to 'quote' himself:

"Of course I shouldn't be surprised that someone susceptible to bizarre cults would be unable to comprehend sarcasm."

You're right, Mojo the Banned. I should have posted your whole quote. Here it is....

Funny. It looks nothing like what you said it said. So I guess you're lying and doing the derp fandango to try to dance your way out of your admission.

Luckily, people can go look at what you actually said, Liar McBannypants.


53 posted on 10/15/2021 7:50:15 AM PDT by bagster ("Even bad men love their mamas".)
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To: bagster

To quote Lloyd Bridges...
Today was not good day to stop drinking.

Or, was it?


54 posted on 10/15/2021 8:11:19 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (LfEuTcSk GjOoe BbRiAdNeDnDON)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel

55 posted on 10/15/2021 8:43:55 AM PDT by bagster ("Even bad men love their mamas".)
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To: Doofer

Naturally...cov19 ain’t nothing more than
a weaponized cold virus...ever try to get vax
for the ever-mutating cold?


56 posted on 10/15/2021 9:56:17 AM PDT by SrgMcLeod999 (Nam is back now, grateful to all Buddhas and Bodhisattvas fer that.)
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To: cgbg

Loads of side effects regarding heart
complications on record already.


57 posted on 10/15/2021 10:17:35 AM PDT by SrgMcLeod999 (Nam is back now, grateful to all Buddhas and Bodhisattvas fer that.)
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To: DoodleBob

COVID will exist as long as there are elections.


58 posted on 10/15/2021 10:21:35 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Were State Dept. Havana Syndrome victims the guinea pigs of 5G/graphene oxide "vaccine" tests?)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel
So...does the VAXX create immunity?

There is np one "VAXX". There are several vaccines and they each produce a different degree of immunity, that is, unlike antibiotics they stimulate our immune systems to fight the infection. The immunity provided by mRNA ones appears to wane somewhat over time.

Is there anyone here who doesn't know that?

Do you want to discuss your position or are you going to continue to throw dust in the air instead of engaging in a conversation.

59 posted on 10/15/2021 11:45:50 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: semimojo

:: There are several vaccines and they each produce a different degree of immunity ::

Yeah...that’s how ALL vaccines have worked for, like, forever.
How many boosters of polio did you get?
How many boosters of chicken pox did you get.
How many boosters of measles did you get?

:: Do you want to discuss your position ::

The following can be definitively stated:
- The COVID-19 EUA injections are not vaccines in any sense of the term.
- SARS-COVID-19 is a human-enhanced bioweapon, engineered from a known corona-virus (the common cold).
- You need new conspiracy theories, all the ones you spout are actually not theories.


60 posted on 10/15/2021 12:04:33 PM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (LfEuTcSk GjOoe BbRiAdNeDnDON)
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