The COVID-19 Scandal: Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics: On Death Counts, Risks and Vaccines

PJ Media ^ | 06/09/2021 | David Solway

[SeekAndFind]

It would appear that to accept statistics at face value is a fool’s bargain. People are obviously swayed by the media hype, which assures them that the casualty numbers of the virus are statistically significant and that adverse reactions to the vaccines are statistically negligible. But are they?

Sucharit Bhakdi, formerly of the Max Planck Institute of Immunobiology and Epigenetics, currently chair of Medical Microbiology at the University of Mainz and co-author of Corona False Alarm? shows how Germany’s federal government and research agency for disease control, the RKI—the country’s counterpart of the CDC in the U.S.—had juggled the numbers. The RKI, he writes, “calculated that 170,000 infections with 7000 coronavirus deaths equals a 4% case fatality rate.” The problem is that “the number of infections was at least ten times higher because mild and asymptomatic cases had not been sought and detected. This would bring us to a much more realistic fatality rate of 0.4%.”

Additionally, deaths from other causes were folded into the mortality count. A true statistical correction “would yield an estimate of between 0.24% and 0.26%.” Sucharit wryly provides a hypothetical example. “If I drive to the hospital to be tested and later have a fatal car accident…I become a coronavirus death. If I am diagnosed positive for coronavirus and jump off the balcony in shock, I also become a coronavirus death.” Statistically speaking, it’s a good gig if you can get it.

The trim-and-shuffle seems to be par for the course. For example, the FDA’s report on Pfizer’s vaccine counts “3410 total cases of suspected, but unconfirmed covid-19 in the overall study population.” Nonetheless, the pharmaceutical company reported “a 95% relative risk-reduction figure.”

[blueunicorn6]

There must be bodies everywhere.

[SeekAndFind]

As Dr. Peter Doshi explains in the ritish Medical Journal : “With 20 times more suspected than confirmed cases, this category of disease cannot be ignored simply because there was no positive PCR test result.” Bundling in both the suspected and confirmed cases, Doshi notes, would drop “the 95% relative risk-reduction figure down to only 19%.”

A relative risk reduction of 19 percent is far below the 50 percent effectiveness threshold for authorization set by regulators. And even the 19 percent tally assumes that the data are veridical. Bluntly speaking, what these interested participants are doing is eliminating unfavorable factors.

The Defender (Children’s Health Defense) points out that when one does the real math, the Pfizer clinical trial numbers showed that:

“the risk reduction in absolute terms [was] only 0.7%, from an already very low risk of 0.74% [in the placebo group] to a minimal risk of 0.04% [in the vaccine group].” Dividing 0.7 by 0.74 is the mathematical calculation that produced the touted “95% effective” number. The result has been corroborated by the quality virological journal Vaccines, which reports that the absolute risk reduction is less than 1 percent. Clearly, Pfizer cooked the books. The math was right, so far as it went —which was not very far—but the statistical implications were misleading. What cannot be denied is that, by any metric, vaccine efficacy remains low. It seems evident that data collection is often intended to paint the wished-for statistical canvas.

[Owen]

The varied definitions and modified PCR cycle count requirement for declaring a case (infection) renders the data unreliable. Especially with a different count for vax vs unvax.

The correct parameter is Excess Deaths. These are deaths of ALL causes. Google Excess Deaths and it will take you to the CDC page. 25ish% more 65+ people in the US died last year than in the typical pre Covid years.

Now, you have to be sophisticated looking at this data. Population increases, so there are going to be more deaths. A raw increase in deaths must be reduced by that factor. A similar increase in 65+ population also takes place and must be tweaked.

Adjustments for those factors are in the graphs. 25% more than typical STILL died last year. The official Covid number is only 20% more than usual 65+ deaths.

This is the data to watch. Not the official attributed death data. All causes data dodges many agendas.

20% is rather a lot. It’s not a trivial event facing your parents and grandparents.

[maddog55]

You’re aware the FR Covid Cultist Society (CCS) will freak out about this.

Real science be damned the CCS crowd only believes in political science and whatever the politicians and government bureaucrats tell them to do.

Good post though!!

[Bulwyf]

It’s a good post, but you’re right. I imagine the cultists will be along in short order.

Either way, I won’t drink the Kool-aid. The most evil part of that was when the kids realized what was happening, and adults held their mouths open while the poison was poured in anyways. Very very heartbreaking.

That’s very much like now, they want to inject our young children and without parental consent. Evil scum of the earth.

[Owen]

I read this pretty carefully.

It basically says the vaccine effectiveness numbers depend on the number of PCR confirmed cases. There were a great number suspected, unconfirmed cases and if those had been included in the computation, the vaccines would be sub 30% effective.

I would wave my hand at this and say the PCR is the threshold that defines the data . . . but there apparently was a very uncomfortable difference in “suspected from symptoms, unconfirmed by PCR” totals in the vaxed vs placebo sample. There were very few of these in the placebo group. There were many of these in the vaxed group.

This does not cry out conspiracy. It cries out they did the computations wrong.

[SeekAndFind]

RE: There were a great number suspected, unconfirmed cases and if those had been included in the computation

Well, here’s but one example. Elon Musk of Tesla and SpaceX fame paid for 4 PCR tests in one day.

Guess what the results were?

2 Positives and 2 Negatives!!

See here:

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/13/musk-says-took-four-covid-19-tests-two-were-positive-two-negative.html

If I had his money, I would want to pay for a similar test... this time 8 in one day just for the heck of it.

[Truthoverpower]

I was betting along the whole time that this entire thing was a giant communist plied to try to implement a global reset and I’ve been proven correct over and over and over again

I want hast to do is look at the actions of Democrat governors during this “pandemic” and it’s very clear that it was a giant hoax and they tried to get up the death and hospitalization numbers to try to scare people

We’ve had unbelievable incredible news saturation 24 seven 365 for nearly a year and a half now of Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid death death death death death scare scare scare scare scare

The fact is this is just another flu bug and I don’t even know if they’ve proven the COVID-19 even exist and it’s not just influenza A again

The bigger picture as this was a giant applied to push forth the evil demented vaccine industry and try to get them back in good favor with people again

Boy! Did they do a good job with that didn’t they?

Vaccines cause problems cause disease they don’t cure anything they don’t immunize anybody

But for these globalists the psychopaths they get to control people inject them with chemicals which will likely sterilize them and/or caused them neurological another problems down the road

Remember these globalists are all on the same page when it comes to one subject: depopulation

Abortion vaccines contraception. This is the evil three headed monster of the globalist psychopaths

They want to murder babies before they come out of the womb and if they’re born then they want to debilitate or murder them with vaccines

It’s well known for many decades now that these globalists have been putting sterilization agents in these vaccines that they give to millions of sub-Saharan African Indian and other people on other continents

Again here is the sordid history of the vaccine industry read the whole thing and you’ll see how demented that these people are

https://phoreveryoung.wordpress.com/2015/05/14/the-worst-cover-up-in-the-history-of-the-world-vaccinations-are-monkey-business/

[mewzilla]

Not just the Ct.

NYS counts repeat positives of the same patient and probables as new cases.

So the case stats are worthless.

My bet is the death stats are crap, too.

But I think Cuomo was actually inflating the death count, not hiding it.

After all, who’d be terrified of a scamdemic that isn’t dropping people like flies...

[Owen]

States do vary.

Excess deaths are the best info we have.

What I see there is 85+ have returned to the multi year average number of deaths this time of year (elderly people die far more often in winter than summer). The 85+ number says no excess deaths for Mid May (you must go back 3-4 weeks for the death reports to have time to arrive at the accumulator). This looks good . . . except they read nearly that number last June, too.

75-84 is clearly a higher death count. But still nearly 0 as Excess over the multi year pre covid average.

The 65-74 group is decidedly not so good. Clear excess. Nearly 1000/week excess. The 45-64 is also excess, but not much.

The virus has not disappeared. The results last year were very low this time of year, just like now. Doesn’t mean much. November will mean something.

[Owen]

You’re somewhat overboard. I can assure you medieval village talked about nothing but plague plague plague in 1348, too.

It is not nothing. Excess Deaths say it is not nothing. Get acquainted with that methodology.

[cuban leaf]

20% is rather a lot. It’s not a trivial event facing your parents and grandparents.

---

Is it reasonable to consider that the response is what increased that number regarding things like what the governor did in NY. Not to mention people that didn’t get other needed medical treatments because of the response.

i.e. could it not be the response, rather than the virus, that increased those numbers?

[Owen]

Excess deaths were 25% above normal. 5 of the 25 were above the official Covid number. Those were the deaths from deferred treatments for other medical needs. Those were not official deferrals. People chose to stay away.

[cuban leaf]

Yep. It’s the ol’ “correlation is not causation” thingee.