Posted on 02/18/2021 4:17:43 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT
Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.
In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.
...Antibody studies almost certainly underestimate natural immunity. Antibody testing doesn’t capture antigen-specific T-cells, which develop “memory” once they are activated by the virus. Survivors of the 1918 Spanish flu were found in 2008—90 years later—to have memory cells still able to produce neutralizing antibodies.
...But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity. Behavior didn’t suddenly improve over the holidays; Americans traveled more over Christmas than they had since March. Vaccines also don’t explain the steep decline in January. Vaccination rates were low and they take weeks to kick in.
...
(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...
The Masks and the School Shutdowns are but two lagging indicators of COVID status and recovery.
The Masks will probably be the last vestige of lockdown to disappear, since many people are now emotionally invested in the ritual. Some would call it a compulsion.
So did conveniently timed cutbacks in mandatory testing...
Baloney. The rapid decline in daily cases since January 8th is directly the result of the changed standards established by the WHO for documenting positive COVID-19 tests.
Meanwhile, stunningly, there have been almost no cases of seasonal flu for a year! It’s a freaking miracle!
I wonder if they will discontinue Flu shots now.
for the Biden years!
17 Feb: RT: BBC names as new chair ex-Goldman Sachs banker who advised Boris Johnson and gave £400k to UK’s ruling party
https://www.rt.com/uk/515849-bbc-chair-banker-johnson-adviser/
Not to mention the guidelises for what was considered a “Case” were tightened up considerably right about then.
Time will tell
And with past vaccine tests lasting 12 years... might take a while.
I’ve been hearing about immunity since...
Being hearing impaired since RVN, that was extra fun for me.
Thanx
” since many people are now emotionally invested in the ritual. Some would call it a compulsion.”
With the MSM propaganda machine pushing the BS as fast as they can; how will they change directions?
Good propaganda needs a steady background to be believable.
“we have always been at war with Eastasia”
Yeah - the death rate has nearly tripled since then too. (From 1% of cases to nearly 3%) coincidence?
“rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity.”
That is probably one of a few significant factors (and it is significant).
It is also likely that COVID-19 hit its natural seasonal peak for the year. Most coronaviruses are seasonal.
The testing standard was drastically relaxed on inauguration day (coincidentally).
The vaccinations are disproportionally going to those most likely to have serious cases. Those shots started in November, and under two weeks later (before the second shot), significant resistance has developed. Hard to say how active health care providers may have been in the transmission of the disease (including among vulnerable populations), but they have largely moved off the table during this time, due to vaccination.
Treatment and prevention may have improved. Have more people started taking zinc? HCQ? Ivermectin?
Herd immunity may well have been the dominant factor in the cresting of the case load, but vaccination will become the overwhelming factor in the coming months.
Herd immunity is not political immunity. Can we believe the controls will betaken off? or rather tightened and state controls of the more rigorous states federally imposed on the nation as a whole? The Left has total control of the reins and the buttons and the population is not reacting. It’s all Please, Daddy DC, don’t let me die!
Because nothing changed. Same number of cases, same number of deaths. But if you SAY, there are fewer cases then it will appear that a higher percentage of cases are dying.
Isn't that just amazing!
They didn’t just change the cycle number. They also said there must be symptoms. Just like that all those “asymptomatic” cases went away.
No no no, you don’t understand. You must still wear your mask. Two if you’ve got ‘em.
, Depends where you are I guess. Behaviors here were pretty open before the holidays, stayed open throughout, and opened up more lately. Regardless of the hype in the media, the peaks aren’t timed right for holiday get togethers. Not here, not in most places. And now everyone is behaving! Better than ever before, because it’s pretty cold now, unlike the cold it was four months ago when more restrictions were in place... I’ve got a bridge to sell...
What crap!
We already have herd immunity here in the U.S....
Just look at how easily our communist rulers are trampling every aspect of (now) former American greatness and freedom...
The herd just wants its checks...
Nothing else matters...
It's mid February. Cases have already dropped dramatically. At this rate, there won't be any new cases in two weeks, never mind April.
Look at the new daily cases chart, not the daily deaths chart.
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