Posted on 06/20/2020 6:25:54 AM PDT by loucon
They keep saying on the news how many states are getting worse, but never why.
This chart shows which states are getting better and which are getting worse. The scale represents the percent of the total population of the state who have tested positive.
This number is based on the number of reported positive test results. The real number would be of a factor higher. Does .55& represent herd immunity?
To me, this correlates to .55% (a little over 1/2 of a percent) as the turning point.
The death rate for the whole country is still approx 1 in 30,000.
No. Herd immunity would be over 50% and not just 0.55%.
Remember this is positive reported cases that states are reporting. We don’t know the real numbers.
I love that graphic.
Shows for the most part, northern states doing better than southern states.
More air conditioning drying out the air indoors?
The north also had a head start. The 1st cases reported were in Oregon, Washington, Illinois and New York.
The north also had a head start. The 1st cases reported were in Oregon, Washington, Illinois and New York.
A month ago posters here were b*tching that the states opening up were having better new-cases performance. After allowing these openings to take effect we find that the exact opposite is true, that the states which opened up early are have a much bigger rise in new cases percapita than slower-opening states.
It shows that there are far too many people who think that, just because the law allows a person to do something that he should do it.
False. Stay home when you can. If you can’t stay home then wear a mask in public, and practice social distancing.
No mask. Read the evidence. Check with medical staff.
I’ve read about the idea that you can flatten the curve, but doing so doesn’t change the area under the curve, just the shape. In other words, less cases early means more cases later.
Those states not doing well now are the states that did well early. Now they are catching up with the states that didn’t do so well early. The states that had more cases early are now on the down side of their curves and look “better”.
Where are the states that got hit hard early and are still being hit hard? (I don’t think there are any).
I’m still having coffee so input appreciated.
The statistics show what they show.
Based on testing positive, which is a meaningless statistic. Testing positive with an 85 year old in a nursing home? Extremely serious! Testing positive of a 23 year old? Almost meaningless.
In Arizona, cases have surged upwards for weeks, while deaths continue to decline. The cases are surging AMONG THE YOUNG. 47% of all cases are taking place in those 20-47. For that age group, since this began, there are a total of 67 deaths in Arizona (population 7 million).
Once one opens the state, the YOUNG were going to have more cases. Of course! But that is the point: PROTECT THE VULNERABLE, NOT EVERYONE!
Arizona’s numbers are ENCOURAGING. We’re seeing a very rapid increase in cases for a month while deaths are still declining. In fact, our cases NEVER showed a decline...but out deaths have been. Peaked late April. Been declining ever since.
BTW: A friend just tested positive. She probably caught it in January. Neither her husband nor any of her friends have tested positive, so apparently it isn’t as contagious as people pretend. But she is a “new case”.....
I have a medical pro neighbor who says 90% of what people are wearing as masks do nothing for others and are a negative for the wearer.
I avoid wearing a mask for more than a few minutes at a time. Luckily, there are few times one is asked to wear a mask where I live.
According to the National D-Day Foundation, there were 150,000 Allied Troops at D-Day, and there were 4,415 fatalities. That equates to a fatality rate of 2.94%, hardly “almost certain death”.
Plus I would assume that the expectation of death is just slightly higher when participating in an invasion versus going down to Walmart to buy a loaf of bread.
“After allowing these openings to take effect we find that the exact opposite is true, that the states which opened up early are have a much bigger rise in new cases percapita than slower-opening states.”
No kidding. If we all hide until 2024, then Chinavirus will kill people slowly, and maybe folks can starve to death first!
CASES don’t mean SQUAT! Let the young get it! They’ll recover, and then the virus will have a harder time finding someone it can infect! As long as DEATHS keep going down....
I should have added that medical people wear real masks and change into new ones multiple times a day. They also pull them off at every opportunity.
Some people now are wearing one layer of very thin material so they can breathe. These masks are for show and do nothing.
Also, if you aren’t wearing goggles you aren’t protected. Regular glasses help a little.
Or be free and don’t worry about a mold and self limited disease that has been politicized.
I live in the Houston area. The surrounding state and county are seeing rises in cases, but Houston is seeing a drop in cases. The local internet forums show why that’s happening. People in the suburbs are not wearing masks in stores or social distancing while people in the city are wearing masks and practicing social distancing.
The results can be found here:
https://publichealth.harriscountytx.gov/Resources/2019-Novel-Coronavirus
You can toggle statistics between Houston proper, unincortportated Harris County, and both areas combined.
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