Posted on 05/01/2020 4:50:50 AM PDT by impimp
It’s just the flu, bro.
Latest from CNN website is that scientists think that CV will not stop until 60-70% of the population gets immunity, at which point herd immunity will develop. The threshold for herd immunity goes up as R0 goes up. Some say the range for herd immunity is as low as 29% and as high as 74%. But the notion that a virus won’t fizzle out until herd immunity develops isn’t controversial. The controversial part is that these scientists/activists say that we should use “mitigation” techniques for up to 2 years while herd immunity develops.
Isn’t that sneaky what the scientists did? - the expert/scientist talks intelligently about one thing (herd immunity) then he magically extends his expertise to public policy advocating for a certain position (extended lockdowns and restrictions on business). This is exactly what global warming scientists do. They will research something and say, for example, that the ppm of CO2 has gone up a certain percentage, therefore, everyone who drives an SUV should be castrated so that we have fewer people on the planet emitting CO2.
Latest from CNN website is that scientists think that CV will not stop until 60-70% of the population gets immunity, at which point herd immunity will develop. The threshold for herd immunity goes up as R0 goes up. Some say the range for herd immunity is as low as 29% and as high as 74%. But the notion that a virus won’t fizzle out until herd immunity develops isn’t controversial. The controversial part is that these scientists/activists say that we should use “mitigation” techniques for up to 2 years while herd immunity develops.
Isn’t that sneaky what the scientists did? - the expert/scientist talks intelligently about one thing (herd immunity) then he magically extends his expertise to public policy advocating for a certain position (extended lockdowns and restrictions on business). This is exactly what global warming scientists do. They will research something and say, for example, that the ppm of CO2 has gone up a certain percentage, therefore, everyone who drives an SUV should be castrated so that we have fewer people on the planet emitting CO2.
Ping. Freepmail Impimp to go on ping list.
Flu or not it has become the means by which the totalitarian left tries to seize control over this country. Civil War coming? No, it’s here.
In before hand ringers.
Leftists and Hussein Heads rise later.
To preempt our resident dipsh*t pearl clutching doctor who wil post
+2148
Please note it was reported yesterday. I the Vice President number of deaths added each day do not reflect the past 24 hours. Many times they are added as info is received by the state and LIKELY INCLUDE NON CONFIRMED and possible cases.
The best numbers are on each state website and the hand wringing miners continue to be inflate by + 12,000 or so
Mind you none of the idiots (yes Diogeneslamp this is aimed at you) Will ever counter the factual argument but run and hide with emotion that is the intellectual equivalent of have a discussion with a four year old
The only way out of this is through it now.
Of course I know of a time when the state would make its health guidelines but our lives were our concern. If we wanted to go to church while infected we could - it was up to the church itself to decide if they wanted to hold services or not.
But then this mass hysteria isn’t about health.
Good Morning, Fearbros. Welcome to Thunderdome.
In the beginning, when toilet paper ran out, I knew we as a country were in trouble.
I keep hearing that....then nothing!
First, the axioms:
1.) An estimate divided by an estimate yields garbage
2.) An estimate divided by a reliable number yields an estimate
3.) A reliable number divided by a reliable number yields a reliable number
The postulates:
1.) CDC estimates are just that, estimates
2.) Census Bureau numbers are fairly reliable
Definition:
Overall morbidity rate (OMR) = CDC estimate of deaths divided by the population of the US expressed as a percentage
Asian Flu 1957 CDC estimate=116000 Population=171984130 OMR=0.067%
Hong Kong Flu 1968 CDC estimate=100000 Population=205805755 OMR=0.049%
As of the last report CDC estimate=60057 Population=333456000 OMR=0.018%
“Scientists” = leftist political hacks.
“Asian Flu 1957 CDC estimate=116000 Population=171984130 OMR=0.067%
Hong Kong Flu 1968 CDC estimate=100000 Population=205805755 OMR=0.049%
As of the last report CDC estimate=60057 Population=333456000 OMR=0.018%”
1) The Covid19 death toll in the US is increasing, while deaths from the other flu seasons you mention 52 and 63 years ago are not increasing any more.
2) We obviously took drastic actions 6 weeks ago to control the spread of the virus. Unless you think those actions were useless, the death toll would be higher if not for the actions.
Please recalculate the OMR for us in 2 weeks.
good morning
There may be no better time to do extreme surgery to the federal government than now. This would be a most excellent time for EPA, NEA, and a bunch of non-essential and unpatriotic federal departments to close down permanently. Blame it on the plannedemic. Never let a crisis go to waste.
:: Civil War coming? No, it’s here. ::
Information warfare.
It is known.
And bed werters.
They have herd immunity.
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