Posted on 04/05/2020 2:43:50 PM PDT by Valpal1
But theres one data point being used in all of the prevailing models, including Imperial, that no one is talking about.
When did the COVID curve begin?
And its an important point. How can we interpret the data we currently have if we dont know where on the time axis we actually are?
(Excerpt) Read more at medium.com ...
The graph below shows how the volume of positive seasonal flu tests per week in 201920 compares to previous years.
Link no work, according to site.
Error
410
This post is under investigation or was found in violation of the Medium Rules.
linky brokey
I use the date of the 1st fatality within a given region minus thirteen days. That should be close (plus or minus a week).
The national morons look at the death toll and think it’s a daily figure. Take the daily figure and divide it by the population of that district or state and you come up with a 10,000th of one percent.
Social media war against the first amendment continues. The story questions the desired narrative so it must be censored.
Medium censors another article that doesn’t toe the line.
They’ve done it a few times lately. Always contrarian to sky-is-falling.
I wonder when we really had the first exposure to COVID-19 in the CONUS?
They pulled it. Just like they did with Aaron Ginns article weeks ago.
Physician visits? The curve were all focused on is the infection curve.
Posted a couple of days ago.
‘All our ICU patients are in their 50s or younger’ - frontline Welsh doctor recovered from virus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejlbCmRJMW4
Wow, that was fast. I also got this message... Hrm.
The Wayback Machine has not archived that URL.
Seriously, that was a very reasoned article with excellent footnotes.
Re being pulled: unless it’s copyrighted, post it in full here with exact title and author’s credit.
Search engines will find it, author will get his/her readership, FR will get more hits.
Here in Louisiana, We had to cancel Christmas parties because everyone was so sick with flu-like symptoms. Who knows?
Three days ago.
New York City doctor: The things that I see in the ER are scary
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGnxNsKtkjI
erm... if you look at the difference between the two charts, visits versus positive flu results, it is pretty clear people were going to the doctor with flu-like symptoms but their tests were negative for influenza and something else was causing the symptoms.
What if Covid was already here back then. It changes the assumptions substantially.
That's why I wonder. The CDC makes it sounds like it was late in January 2020, but from many indications, it might have been in December. Our kid knew someone from work who was seriously ill (looking back, all of his symptoms were classic COVID-19, especially the difficulty breathing part). He had traveled from the western part of the US to Texas several days before Christmas. Based on the CDC's timeline, that would have been too early.
I am really sorry I didn’t do that now. I had no idea Medium was/is completely untrustworthy on the free exchange of ideas.
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