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Covid-19: The numbers tell the story. Here's what we are learning so far regarding this pandemic
American Thinker ^ | 03/16/2020 | Marc Shepard

Posted on 03/16/2020 10:08:22 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Updated.

By merging datasets recently made available by the World Health Organization, the Centers for Disease Control and Johns Hopkins University, I’ve gathered some truly fascinating trend statistics on the global penetration of Covid-19 which I’m now prepared to share. There are 20 infected countries on page one of my analysis – and these are their stories.

You’ll notice that this particular data-snapshot contains population, new cases reported, deaths and recoveries by country of exposure. I’ve added 5 columns for each metric: total, today, last 5 days, 6-10 days ago, and 11-15 days ago are calculated for each in order to spot trends.

I’ve also added percentages of cases per population, fatalities per caseload, and recoveries per caseload, by country and worldwide.

The 2020 populations came courtesy of a UN dataset which I joined to an ECDC dataset for daily new case and death details and a JHU-CSSE dataset for recovery details. The latter 2 are updated daily at 0800 GMT.

I was tempted to submit the result-set without comment, but perhaps I should get the conversation started.

Coronavirus (Covid-19) – By the Numbers

Note: When reading this section, please keep in mind that its analysis was penned based on older data (3/14/20). I’ve added an update including latest data table in the final section. Together, the 2 days’ data tell quite the fast-paced story. Hang on to your hat.

Note: This was Saturday

Now then, I’ve sorted the result-set descending by caseload, which, of course, puts the country where it all began, China, on top by a wide margin with 80,973 confirmed cases, 3,194 deaths and 64,196 patients recovered. Given a population of 1.44 Billion, that’s a 0.005626 % infection rate (that’s 1 in 19,011); a 3.94 % mortality rate and a 79.28 % recovery rate thus far.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; History; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: chinavirusinfo; coronavirus; covid19; numbers; who
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To: SoConPubbie

Exactly.


21 posted on 03/16/2020 10:30:39 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Parley Baer
The way I see it is that most of the reported cases reported here in the USA have been deaths and severe cases.

I'm not seeing that at all. They're quick to report the deaths and the the rising numbers testing positive, but those that are testing positive are being reported as "recovering" at home.........They also fail to report the numbers testing positive who have no symptoms at all by yet they are included in the numbers "recovering" at home....

22 posted on 03/16/2020 10:31:06 AM PDT by Hot Tabasco (It's the China Flu and if you think you have it, take Zicam......)
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To: reed13k

I asked the same question a few days ago. And, no, I do not know anybody with it.


23 posted on 03/16/2020 10:31:08 AM PDT by chuckb87
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To: jeffc

I found this:

https://d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Disease-World-Daily-Deaths-768x762.jpg

Which shows where it falls in relation to other diseases (of which tuberculosis is the worst)in regards to daily deaths.


24 posted on 03/16/2020 10:31:22 AM PDT by reed13k (For evil to triumph it is only necessary that good men do nothing)
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To: goodnesswins

No it is tracked daily.

This link to the CDC statistics has influenza data including daily deaths There is an export link to Excel.
Once the data is displayed in Excel using the SUM function you can add up the weekly deaths to see the deaths since OCT 2019 to the last reported dates. Yesterday the total deaths for the 2019-2020 flu season totaled 11,199.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm


25 posted on 03/16/2020 10:32:07 AM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: reed13k

A high school friend’s boss has it, but I don’t know the boss personally, does that count?


26 posted on 03/16/2020 10:33:38 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: SeekAndFind; All
Two astounding conditions have worked against Italy regarding Coronavirus imo.

One, Italy has a high number of elderly people, a high risk group for Coronavirus.

Also, Italy has a significant group of Chinese workers.

Remember in November!

MAGA, also KAGA! (Keep America Great Always!)

Supporting PDJT with a new patriot Congress that will promise to fully support his already excellent work for MAGA will effectively give fast-working Trump a third term in office imo.

27 posted on 03/16/2020 10:34:48 AM PDT by Amendment10
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To: BushCountry

You take the early WA cases out of the equation and the mortality rate in the US is currently at .58%. South Korea which had a lot initial deaths (before any known treatment methods) is holding steady at .91%.

——————————————————————————————Here in Washington state we are flattening out. Last week 100 out of 1000 tested were positive. Yesterday 100 out of 2500 per positive. The University of Washington has tested over 10,000 and now has drive-through testing set up.

Kaiser Permanente here in Washington begins testing the rendesivir vaccine under a grant from NIH. We are apparently the 5th city to do this vaccine testing. The first began a week or so at the University of Nebraska in Omaha. Yaknow, there in so-called deplorable heartlands.


28 posted on 03/16/2020 10:39:26 AM PDT by angry elephant (My MAGA cap is from a rally in Washingon state in May 2016)
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To: SeekAndFind

Excellent article, again. Keep posting theses. TY


29 posted on 03/16/2020 10:40:45 AM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: SeekAndFind

It could also show that there was a lot of excitement over nothing.


30 posted on 03/16/2020 10:41:53 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: CaptainK

That’s a good trend.

People are making a big mistake comparing the US situation to Italy - Italian medicine isn’t even close to that of the US, and as far as absolute numbers, the US population is about 6.5 times larger.


31 posted on 03/16/2020 10:41:57 AM PDT by Fido969 (In!)
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To: CaptainK

Looks like day 10 is when the Italian hospital system started to sink.


32 posted on 03/16/2020 10:42:26 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Stillwaters
If you have the time and interest to engage your square-eyed-greenshade-mode, there's an intensive data analysis at the link.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/03/covid19_the_numbers_tell_the_story.html

33 posted on 03/16/2020 10:43:13 AM PDT by lonevoice (Music in the soul can be heard by the universe ~ Lao Tzu)
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To: angry elephant

Remdesivir is not a vaccine.

It’s a drug.

It’s like the difference between the smallpox vaccine and tamiflu.


34 posted on 03/16/2020 10:44:24 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Spruce
I'm concerned that people who would have picked up some additional immunity from a light case (and that's the majority) will not get that and a second round of this bug will devastate them
35 posted on 03/16/2020 10:45:01 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: irishjuggler

2nd so far on FR - I’ve been asking on other threads also. Another person had a co-worker’s friend with it and they aren’t sure if the co-worker has it.


36 posted on 03/16/2020 10:48:07 AM PDT by reed13k (For evil to triumph it is only necessary that good men do nothing)
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To: SeekAndFind

This does not agree with the Who, CDC and other reporting agencies. New US fatalities have been dropping the past few days.
Italy & Spain are on a sharper curve with Iran right behind them.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-cases-covid-19-who?time=3..54&country=DEU+IRN+ITA+ESP+USA

By using 5 day aggregates you slow the perception of both worsening & improving data.

US does have recoveries, a growing trickle at 12 patients currently. https://covid19info.live/ Select Americas, Select USA using upper left arrowhead.
Second site https://tinyurl.com/COVID-19-USA

What worries me is that the USA has only 60 serious cases but they are all reported as in NY. https://ncov2019.live/data


37 posted on 03/16/2020 10:48:21 AM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: Hot Tabasco

The point I was making is that wide spread testing has yet to occur. It is suppose to start this week. So as more people are tested for the virus more cases will be reported compared to previous weeks.


38 posted on 03/16/2020 10:48:50 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: JayGalt

Ok...those are estimates, right?


39 posted on 03/16/2020 10:50:40 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: Fido969

I just heard that 20% of the Italian population are smokers?


40 posted on 03/16/2020 10:51:43 AM PDT by lonevoice (Music in the soul can be heard by the universe ~ Lao Tzu)
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