How the World’s Largest Coronavirus Outbreaks Are Growing

New York Times ^ | 03/12/2020

[SeekAndFind]

Milan, Italy. Daegu, South Korea. Qom, Iran. Many of the world’s largest coronavirus outbreaks took root in and around well-traveled cities, but they have since grown to encompass entire countries.

Cases have spread across Italy’s north and down to Rome, leading to a lockdown of the entire country. Iran’s capital, where leaders dismissed the virus just two weeks ago, has seen thousands infected. And cases continue to surge across Europe.

	New cases in past week	Total cases	Cases per 100k residents
Italy	11,255	15,113	25
Iran	6,562	10,075	12
Spain	2,691	2,950	6
France	2,496	2,876	5
Germany	1,887	2,369	3
South Korea	1,781	7,869	16

Sources: Local governments; The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University; CIA World Factbook. Data as of 7:27 p.m. E.T., Mar. 12.

The outbreaks are not all heading in the same direction. South Korea has managed to slow growth of new cases for now, through intensive testing and monitoring of infections. Italy, Iran and the United States are still reporting large numbers of new cases every day.

Official case totals are an imperfect method of judging the world’s outbreaks.

[SeekAndFind]

[SeekAndFind]

In contrast to most other countries, South Korea’s reports of new cases have begun to slow — at least for now. Unlike other countries with major outbreaks, South Korea, with a population of 50 million, has not outright restricted the movement of its citizens and has instead focused on aggressively monitoring for infections. More than 7,800 cases and 66 deaths have been reported.

[RoseofTexas]

Pfft! Fake news outlet NYSLIMES !! More cow bell please!🙄

[HighSierra5]

Ain’t globalism great?

[Steely Tom]

Wow. I couldn’t find even one reference to Donald Trump in that NYT article, or any language blaming him for the epidemic. How’d that happen I wonder.

[SeekAndFind]

Two weeks ago, Iran’s leaders denied the coronavirus epidemic would be a problem. Now, with the total number of cases standing at more than 10,000, and with more than 400 people dead, Iran is scrambling to control one of the worst outbreaks in the world.

[ProtectOurFreedom]

Our daughter’s “Italian Family” (her host family in high school) live northwest of Bologna in Emilia-Romagna in the “Do not travel” red zone. We pray they are ok. Our daughter has not heard from them yet.

[goodnesswins]

Note to self...don’t book trips to Iran or Italy

[SeekAndFind]

This is an article about statistics.

[Steely Tom]

Wow, large scrums of people licking religious shrines really does a lot of good, I see.

[Steely Tom]

Looks like so far Coronavirus has killed about one-tenth the number of Iranians that died in one human-wave attack against Saddam Hussein’s army, except those were mostly comprised of male children.

[Candor7]

A MUST READ:

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

DO NOT FAIL TO READ IT !

[entropy12]

WOW if you extrapolate that graph, Iran ceases to exist in 4 or 5 months.

[Captain Peter Blood]

Looks like Corsica is the place to go.

[SeekAndFind]

RE: WOW if you extrapolate that graph, Iran ceases to exist in 4 or 5 months.

The only problem with extrapolation is this — FARR’s LAW.

First formulated in 1840 and ignored in ­every epidemic hysteria since, the law states that epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern or bell-shaped curve. AIDS, SARS, Ebola — they all followed that pattern. So does seasonal flu each year. Covid-19 is already running the same course in China.

[Prolixus]

Thanks. You should post that as an article for all to read. There’s a lot of disinformation going around about this virus.

Our best bet is to overreact now and (hopefully) make our apologies later. Hopefully we won’t be saying, “I told you so.”

[goodnesswins]

My solution. Quarantine anyone over age 50 or with immune system problems...

[Lakewood]

bookmark

[Prolixus]

The (real) whistle-blower doctor was an apparently healthy 36 year old. He died from COVID-19 related pneumonia. It looks like that may have be a re-infection reaction. We can’t assume any demographic is safe from this virus. We can only assume that it will overwhelm our hospitals.