If This Is Trump’s Best Case, The Ukraine Scandal Is Looking Really Bad For Him

fivethirtyeight ^ | 09/25/2019 | Nate Silver

[ChicagoConservative27]

Sometimes, when a news story is still unfolding in real time, we can’t do much better than to hazard a guess about how it will affect the polls. Of course, we can also not hazard a guess — that is, we can not say anything about it at all. But given that I wrote yesterday about public opinion surrounding the impeachment of President Trump, this is one time when I think it’s worth weighing in on the latest development; namely, the White House’s decision to release, on Wednesday, Trump’s reconstructed conversation (note: not a verbatim transcript) with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky.

This conversation seems to have triggered a nearly Yanny or Laurel-like reaction in my Twitter feed, almost as though people are seeing and hearing two different things. Everyone either seems to think it’s either really bad for Trump, or not very damaging at all, with few people landing in between.

[ChicagoConservative27]

Is this the same guy that said Hillary had a 98 percent chance of winning in 2016?

[SeekAndFind]

RE: The Ukraine Scandal Is Looking Really Bad For Him

Why is that?

What about Joe Biden?

[SaveFerris]

[Is this the same guy that said Hillary had a 98 percent chance of winning in 2016?]

That’s what I was thinking. Another slime-ball Democrat dreaming and astroturfing.

[jmacusa]

Who is this moron?

[Mr. K]

um... yeah.

Asking a foreign leader about one of our past Vice President’s corruption is SO BAD for Trump.!

[NormsRevenge]

Looks like Nate swallowed the hook, line and sinker too.

[Sarah Barracuda]

If this “Scandal” is so bad for Trump, wait a year and defeat him legit..so what’s the problem Nate, afraid that Trump can beat all those ass clowns on the Dem ticket

[FlipWilson]

oh, ok Nate, he’s done for sure this time.

[Vendome]

[Spruce]

Ain’t this dude one of Hillary’s paid stooges?

[bkopto]

Nate Silver is a liar. The truth is not in him.

[Bogey78O]

He had Hillary at 76%. Another guy had Hillary at 98%

[God luvs America]

that same year he also said the Chicago Cubs had not chance of coming back and winning the world series against the Cleveland Indians...another huge embarrassment for him...

[rktman]

Uh, nate. One pill makes you larger and one pill make you small and another one does nothing at all. Not sure which one or ones you consumed but it’s showing.

[Red Badger]

Nate Silver.

He was right once about 20 years ago................

[BEJ]

Yeah, Trump being cleared looks really bad for Trump. Jeez.

[SaveFerris]

[rktman]

Guilty!