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100 years after ‘Spanish Flu’: Is the world ready for the next pandemic?
www.vaccinestoday.eu ^ | October 24th, 2018 | Gary Finnegan

Posted on 12/27/2018 1:55:24 PM PST by Red Badger

‘In the winter of 1918-1919, a flu pandemic affected 500 million people and killed between 40 million and 70 million. ’

In the autumn of 1918, a global influenza outbreak began that would claim more lives than World War I (or the Great War). The war itself, which ended in November 1918, had a significant impact on how the virus spread around the world – and even influenced the name Spanish Flu.

Soldiers from Fort Riley, Kansas, ill with Spanish influenza at a hospital ward at Camp Funston (US Army Photographer)

___________________________________________________________________

There was nothing particular ‘Spanish’ about the flu: it didn’t begin in Spain and, while the country was badly affected, it wasn’t hit any harder than others. (The first wave spread in US military camps in 1917.)

However, Spain remained neutral during the conflict and its papers freely reported the outbreak. Media in France, the United Kingdom, Germany, the United States and elsewhere played down the impact on their own country in a bid to keep up morale. Newspapers were either directly controlled by national governments or keen to self-censor in the interest of patriotism at a time of war. They all happily reported on events in Spain – leading many to incorrectly presume that the Iberian Peninsula was the epicentre.

In summer of 1918, the virus spread among military units who lived in cramped quarters. And, as the war ended, surviving solders returned home – bringing influenza with them.

After four gruelling years of conflict, the immediate post-war period was a time for celebration. Public gatherings present an ideal opportunity for infectious diseases to find new victims. This most likely prolonged the second wave of the outbreak.

A third wave in the early spring of 1919 took war-weary populations by surprise, claiming millions more lives. Just as with seasonal influenza, the worst-hit populations were the very old and the very young. However, in comparison to a typical flu epidemic, there was a major spike in the 25-34 age group. Many soldiers who survived the trenches, did not survive the flu. Some returning soldiers shared the lethal virus with their spouses, also helping to push up the fatality rate in young adults.

There are a number of other reasons why the proportion of deaths among young adults was higher than normal. For one thing, the older population had partial immunity from the 1889-1890 flu pandemic (known as Russian flu).

The virus has also been shown to have triggered what is known as a ‘cytokine storm’ – an immune response that can be particularly severe in those with stronger immune systems.

The worst-affected group of all were pregnant women. Of the pregnant women who survived, over one quarter is estimated to have lost the child.

(Pregnant women are the #1 priority for flu vaccination, according to the WHO.)

During the 1918-1919 pandemic, researchers tried to develop a vaccine. According to the History of Vaccines project, a number of vaccines were tested against Bacillus influenzae (now known as Haemophilus influenzae) as well as strains of pneumococcus, streptococcus, staphylococcus, and Moraxella catarrhalis bacteria. These bacterial vaccines had no chance of stopping the pandemic which, we now know, was caused by a new strain of the influenza A virus. Where are we now?

In the 100 years since the Spanish flu outbreak, there have been four influenza pandemics: 1957-1958, 1968-1969, 1977-1978, and 2009-2010. None were as lethal as the 1918 outbreak.

However, annual outbreaks of seasonal influenza cause between 290,000 and 650,000 deaths per year globally. The death rates are lower because (a) vaccines are available (b) healthcare and hygiene is vastly superior than conditions a century ago and (c) the viruses that cause seasonal flu are less dangerous – and less likely to be fatal to those infected.

Nonetheless, flu viruses can change from one year to the next. Experts continue to worry that a new flu virus could some day emerge with the potential to cause the kind of destruction seen in 1918.

The WHO is warning that low uptake of seasonal flu vaccines in Europe, is leaving vulnerable people at risk should an outbreak occur. Fewer than one third of older people are vaccinated in half of the 53 countries making up the WHO’s European region.

In fact, vaccination rates among high-risk groups have fallen in the years since the 2009-2010 pandemic.

‘Vaccination is the most effective measure to prevent severe disease caused by influenza. However, according to our research, influenza vaccination uptake has been steadily declining in a number of countries in the European Region,’ says Dr Zsuzsanna Jakab, WHO Regional Director for Europe. ‘This is of serious concern now for people at higher risk of severe consequences, especially older people, and in the future potentially for the entire population, as the production of pandemic vaccines is closely linked to seasonal vaccine use.’

In the EU, health ministers have set a target of vaccinating 75% of citizens in high-risk groups. With the exception of the UK and the Netherlands who have met this goal and are consistently above or close to the target, most EU countries are a long way from reaching their goal.

‘All European Union Member States have signed up to the goal of reaching 75% uptake among older people and other vulnerable groups; however, these targets are not being reached,’ says Dr Andrea Ammon, Director of European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC).

As we prepare to mark the centenary of the worst flu pandemic in recorded history, it is time to step up efforts to improve flu vaccine uptake.

_________________________________________________________________________________________

Older people at higher risk of death from influenza

The WHO estimates that over 44,000 people die annually of respiratory diseases associated with seasonal influenza in the WHO European Region, out of a total of up to 650,000 global deaths.

According to annual surveys for the ECDC and WHO, although 34,000 (over 75%) of these deaths in Europe are among people aged 65 years or above, vaccine uptake remains low in this group. Half the countries in the WHO European Region are vaccinating fewer than one in three older people.

As for the other at-risk groups:

vaccination was generally recommended for people with chronic illnesses; however, coverage was below 40% in most countries; almost all countries recommended influenza vaccination for health-care workers, but the majority reported influenza vaccine uptake as being as low as 40%; in total, 90% of countries had vaccine recommendations for pregnant women in 2014/2015, compared with 40% before the 2009 A(H1N1) pandemic; however, coverage overall was low, with half the countries reporting uptake below 10%; fewer than half the countries, most of them in eastern Europe, recommended influenza vaccination for young children; vaccination coverage ranged from less than 1% to 80%.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Health/Medicine; History
KEYWORDS: cytokinestorm; dsj02; epidemics; flu; ginakolata; godsgravesglyphs; influenza; pandemics; plagues; spanishlady; thesniffles; vaccination; vaccinations; vaccine; vaccines
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1 posted on 12/27/2018 1:55:24 PM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger; bitt; ZULU; NFHale; vette6387; SkyPilot; unkus; ransomnote; Howie66

The next pandemic is already here and it’s called Liberalism.


2 posted on 12/27/2018 1:58:40 PM PST by ExTexasRedhead
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To: Red Badger

With all the anti-vaccination people out there a pandemic of something becomes more and more likely. Smallpox would be horrible.


3 posted on 12/27/2018 2:01:56 PM PST by DouglasKC
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To: Red Badger

There was nothing particular ‘Spanish’ about the flu:


How about the fly?


4 posted on 12/27/2018 2:01:57 PM PST by sparklite2 (See more at Sparklite Times)
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To: Red Badger
the world is not ready....but we'll be ready...we don't have too many nasty habits like smoking or drugging or drinking a lot of alcohol...

we DON'T need to be around people or eat at restaurants or go to movies...we'd be perfectly happy isolated away from our lovely lovely society....

5 posted on 12/27/2018 2:08:39 PM PST by cherry (official troll)
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To: Red Badger

Open border people hope so....


6 posted on 12/27/2018 2:08:55 PM PST by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: Red Badger

The best flu vaccine is the flu.

Keep your immune system strong with regular exercise, fresh air and good nutrition.

When a particularly virulent strain comes along, you’ll likely have had something close to it over your lifetime and be as ready as anybody.

Vaccines notwithstanding.


7 posted on 12/27/2018 2:10:14 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: cherry

The more I see of society, the better I like staying home with husband and the dog. I do as little socializing as possible. Hate to turn into a hermit, but it has a positive side, also. Even going to church has a downside these days. The bulletin is always asking for prayers for someone who did missionary service in some South American country, as is now stricken with a life threatening or debilitating disease (and these people return to USA and church services in the middle of their treatment!).


8 posted on 12/27/2018 2:14:40 PM PST by taxpayerfatigue (Taxpayer Fatigue)
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To: Mariner

The Spanish flu killed so many people because they had a strong immune system. That’s precisely what a cytokine storm is, an immune overreaction.


9 posted on 12/27/2018 2:15:13 PM PST by EEGator
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To: Red Badger

Gosh, I wonder what part of the European population is less likely to get the vaccine??


10 posted on 12/27/2018 2:17:00 PM PST by colorado tanker
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To: taxpayerfatigue

Hate to turn into a hermit, but it has a positive side


Yep. In addition, I am never around kids, bless their little disease vectors. As a result, I can’t remember the last time I was ill. Neither can I remember what I had for breakfast yesterday, but still.


11 posted on 12/27/2018 2:17:28 PM PST by sparklite2 (See more at Sparklite Times)
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To: DouglasKC

Smallpox exists in two laboratories and no where else.

It is no longer a threat to the world.


12 posted on 12/27/2018 2:17:29 PM PST by MeganC (There is nothing feminine about feminism.)
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To: Red Badger

My Grandfather, Thomas Jefferson Walker, was born July 4, 1979. His first wife died as a result of the Spanish Flue in 1918. As a young widower with three boys to raise, he married my Grandmother in 1920.

He was 41. She was 18. Just a few years older than the boys.


13 posted on 12/27/2018 2:20:13 PM PST by Responsibility2nd
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To: taxpayerfatigue

I’ve become more and more of a hermit.

Socializing is something I really like to avoid now. I like being left alone with my jalopy vehicle collection, dog, camera equipment, vintage movies & TV, spouse, and that is about it.

After a week of supporting the terminally spoiled, lazy, and sometimes way overpaid, I can’t deal with people much.

Seeing the whackos, slobs, and freaks out in the streets and events in large numbers, it’s too much.


14 posted on 12/27/2018 2:20:20 PM PST by wally_bert (We're low on dimes in fun city.)
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To: sparklite2

The Fly? He's Jewish............

15 posted on 12/27/2018 2:20:55 PM PST by Red Badger (We are headed for a Civil War. It won't be nice like the last one....................)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Your Grandfather is only 39?.....................


16 posted on 12/27/2018 2:22:02 PM PST by Red Badger (We are headed for a Civil War. It won't be nice like the last one....................)
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To: Responsibility2nd
1879. not 1979.
17 posted on 12/27/2018 2:22:53 PM PST by Responsibility2nd
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To: Red Badger

Oy vey!


18 posted on 12/27/2018 2:23:02 PM PST by Leep (Leftist are neither liberal or democratic. Nor are they pro American.)
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To: DouglasKC

You will trust the same people to give you vaccines as who come up with these viruses?


19 posted on 12/27/2018 2:23:13 PM PST by Bulwyf
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To: Red Badger

No, that was my other Grandfather, Jack Benny Lincoln.

See post 17.


20 posted on 12/27/2018 2:24:15 PM PST by Responsibility2nd
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