Skip to comments.How America Broke OPEC
Posted on 12/15/2018 10:35:09 AM PST by DUMBGRUNT
Many U.S. producers say they can turn a profit at $50 a barrel and even as low as $30 in the Permians most productive regions. Yet most OPEC members need prices ranging between $70 and $90 per barrel to balance their budgets. The cartel scaled back output in 2016, but shale producers roared back as prices recovered. *** Barack Obama, hilariously, is now claiming credit for the shale boom. You know that whole suddenly Americas like the biggest oil producer . . . that was me, people, he said last month at Rice University. But drilling leases on federal land declined 28% during his two terms amid new restrictions on land use. Drilling skyrocketed on private land, despite attempts by his regulators to block pipelines, slow down approvals, and impose higher costs on production. ...Politicians in the past have sought to secure American energy independence with price controls, ethanol mandates and the oil export ban. But they and OPEC should note that America owes its new energy prosperity to industry innovation, private property, and the free market.
(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...
As with Algore claiming credit for the Internet, Barry is claiming credit for anything that just happened to have happened on his watch ... that wasn’t Bush’s fault of course.
I’m amazed he even has the guts to say that. He did everything he could to strengthen OPEN, from reducing federal offshore leasing to stricter EPA controls. The American public is so dumb, he’s getting away with it.
A nation balancing its budget is a very different thing from a private company making a profit.
Saudi Arabia can pump oil for $10 a barrel, so of course they can make a profit. But they need $90 a barrel to cover the government budget, which is an entirely different metric.
Many U.S. producers say they can turn a profit at $50 a barrel and even as low as $30 in the Permians most productive regions. Yet most OPEC members need prices ranging between $70 and $90 per barrel to balance their budgets.
It's not just OPEC that is breaking, the EU sources 45 percent of its petroleum from gangster-run Russia.
The spread of illiberal ideology is threatening the euro, but it is an illusion that leaving it would offer an easier path, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Saturday... Draghi, credited with saving the euro in the worst of Europe's crisis, called for deeper private risk sharing, the completion of the banking and capital market unions and argued for euro-wide backstops that could help the blocs weaker members in case of market stress.
OPEC Has Already Turned to the Euro
February 18, 2004
...The source for the euro exchange rate is the Federal Reserve, and I have calculated the euro's average exchange rate to the dollar for each year based on daily data.We can see from column (4) in the above table that in 2001, each barrel of imported crude oil cost $21.40 on average for that year. But by 2003 the average price of a barrel of crude oil had risen 26.0% to $26.97 per barrel. However, the important point is shown in column (6). Note that the price of crude oil in terms of euros is essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period.
US Imports of Crude oil (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Year Quantity (thousands of barrels) Value (thousands of US dollars) Unit price (US dollars) Average daily US$ per € exchange rate Unit price (euros)
3,471,066 74,292,894 21.40 0.8952 23.91 2002 3,418,021 77,283,329 22.61 0.9454 23.92 2003 3,673,596 99,094,675 26.97 1.1321 23.82
As the dollar has fallen, the dollar price of crude oil has risen. But the euro price of crude oil remains essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period. It does not seem logical that this result is pure coincidence. It is more likely the result of purposeful design, namely, that OPEC is mindful of the dollar's decline and increases the dollar price of its crude oil by an amount that offsets the loss in purchasing power OPEC's members would otherwise incur. In short, OPEC is protecting its purchasing power as the dollar declines.
No more gold toilets in their customized 747’s.
Its not a stretch to say without US fracking our economy could have slid into a depression during the Obama era. As it was it was touch and go. Oil & gas production thanks to fracking was the only industry growing for a time...and leases saved many family farms. Then OPEC went to war and tried to collapse the price of oil to kill it. Lower energy prices helped other parts of our economy, the less profitable producers went under and the better capitalized bought their assets pennies on the dollar. We avoided trouble in the financial sector that had financed that early growth and waited out OPECs attack. We now are the worlds largest producer and as of last month essentially self sufficient. GOD BLESS THE HARD WORKING MEN AND WOMEN that produce our oil & gas.
They might get so low on cash that they cut down on funding terrorism.
That won’t happen. That’s their top priority. If they don’t fund the wahhabis, the wahhabis will go jihad on THEIR butts! They don’t have the guts to stand up to the wahhabi mullahs in Saudi Arabia, so they buy them off by funding their jihadis around the world.
Wait, I thought carbon was BAD, and building a fossil plant, especially a coal one, was going to bankrupt a person. Now he’s Mr. Oil?
We’re not the last major superpower for nothing.
Not thst we’re not on the decline, but we can still do things many other places cannot.
You made an EXCLLENT poit about needing $ 90 to cover the government’s budget.
Having said that I feel compelled to more accurately define the term “Government Budget”. Like almost all third world countries, and Saudi Arabia is definitely a third world country, the bulk of the government’s budget is spent suppressing rebellion. In Saudi Arabia’s case this means direct payments to their citizens so they don’t have to work.
What happens if the government misses a payment? Look to Paris for an answer.
Yeah, I doubt that those muzzie terrorists won’t do their killing for free.
I worked the oil fields of west Texas in the late 70s and early 80s during my summer break. Talk about rear-end busting work and looooong hours. Many nights I slept in my truck because I was too tired to drive and would have to be at work in the next few hours.
An old comment made to me one time by a guy who owned rigs - “See that rig? Every time it goes up and down I get $20”
That was a long time ago.
It's also not a stretch to say that the reason so many manufacturers are moving back to the USA is because we now have a cheap, reliable, dependable and secure source of energy which is a key component of any manufacturing process.
Companies moved to China and elsewhere to offset their rising energy costs (because of OPEC, rising prices) with cheaper labor.
They don't have to do that anymore. Best trained labor force in the world is right here and a secure, reliable, cheap source of energy is here also. It's a win-win for our economy and that asshole Barack Insane OBama had nothing to do with it.
The icing on the cake— we are hurting our enemies Russia, Iran, Venezuela....
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