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2018 PREAKNESS LIVE THREAD
various sources | May 19, 2018

Posted on 05/19/2018 12:03:03 PM PDT by ETL

Post Horse Trainer Dosage Jockey M/L
Odds
1 Quip Rodolphe Brisset 3.00  Florent Geroux 12-1
2 Lone Sailor Tom Amoss 2.71  Irad Ortiz Jr. 15-1
3 Sporting Chance D. Wayne Lukas 2.20  Luis Contreras 30-1
4 Diamond King John Servis 2.60  Javier Castellano 30-1
5 Good Magic Chad Brown 3.40  Jose Ortiz 3-1
6 Tenfold Steve Asmussen 3.00  Ricardo Santana Jr. 20-1
7 Justify Bob Baffert 3.00  Mike Smith 1-2
8 Bravazo D. Wayne Lukas 2.75  Luis Saez 20-1


TOPICS: Hobbies; Sports
KEYWORDS: 2018preakness; 2018triplecrown; horseracing; preakness
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To: ETL

He ain’t no Man O’War. ;-)


21 posted on 05/19/2018 1:15:07 PM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs.)
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To: SomeCallMeTim
Pretty hard to make any money on this race.

Pretty hard to see anything in this race. It has stopped raining, and thick fog has rolled in.

22 posted on 05/19/2018 1:16:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: cardinal4; ETL

It is 6:48, not 6:20.


23 posted on 05/19/2018 1:18:19 PM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs.)
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To: ETL

He did not do too well in the slop at Louisville, so today may be a bummer for him again.


24 posted on 05/19/2018 1:23:39 PM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs.)
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To: ETL

If I could wager, it’d probably be a 10 cent super : Justify/all/all/all

Just so I could say I hit the super!


25 posted on 05/19/2018 1:25:48 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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To: ETL

Thanks for posting. I had forgot about the Preakness today. I’m rooting for Justify and Mike Smith.


26 posted on 05/19/2018 1:27:06 PM PDT by freedom1st
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To: ETL

Being a short field (8 compared to the Derby’s 20) and having two horses getting MOST of the money, those being Justify getting the Lion’s Share, and Good Magic getting sloppy seconds, every other horse will have (I hope ) even more inflated win odds. I have 3 longshots figuring into my superfectas ( I have a tvg.com account) and I am very excited about D. Wayne’s entries, Bravazo and Sporting Chance. ALSO, Lone Sailor cannot be excluded from either the trifecta or superfecta. Irad Ortiz is a jockey who can do anything, and I saw this about 4 years ago when he was still a bug boy. He and his brother are in the Preakness, (Jose is on Good Magic) and if the race plays out the way it might, he would be the only really LIKELY one to catch Justify at the wire, if Justify happens to try a repeat of the Derby on the lead all the way.I have win bets on 4 long shots #1 Quip #2 Lone Sailor #3 Sporting Chance and #8 Bravazo-—I have a very strong feeling that both Lukas horses will be in the top four-—If Good Magic and Justify finish 1-2 or 2-1 , it won’t much matter who is 3rd or 4th-—the payoffs will almost make it not worth betting.So I am going with Sporting Chance to win.


27 posted on 05/19/2018 1:43:13 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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To: SomeCallMeTim

For a dime it’s just possible, in this short field, that you’d make make $2 on that bet, but not impossible in Good Magic comes in 2nd, you’d actually LOSE money.


28 posted on 05/19/2018 1:46:07 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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To: ETL

Hey guys! That was a great derby for me. I actually got lucky for once. Exacta Justify Good Magic.

We put a few bets on the Preakness but I will have to listen in the car on XM cause I am GOING TO TAYLOR SWIFT and I’m as excited as a 14 year old. :)


29 posted on 05/19/2018 2:22:22 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: ETL

They just showed this “justify foal pic”on tv. Adorable.


30 posted on 05/19/2018 2:23:50 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: ETL

Yeah, $ is on the tri / or betting against Justify. It’s just for fun.

Must not be too cold there. Star Spangled Banner being sung now. And some woman are in sleeveless dresses! Looks cold and foggy.


31 posted on 05/19/2018 2:26:01 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: ETL
Flag on the wrong side. DISGUSTING!

ML/NJ

32 posted on 05/19/2018 2:26:55 PM PDT by ml/nj
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To: supremedoctrine

My son has Lone Sailor in his bets, I have Quip in mine, and I like good magic too.


33 posted on 05/19/2018 2:27:49 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: supremedoctrine

Yea... I actually was also thinking Justify/Good Magic/all/all

That could break even


34 posted on 05/19/2018 2:42:21 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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To: ETL

I have had a few beers in the infield at Pimlico. Always extra funny watching the crowd when it rains.


35 posted on 05/19/2018 2:43:55 PM PDT by Kid Shelleen ((Beat your plowshares into swords. Let the weak say I am strong))
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To: the OlLine Rebel

Slop at the K.Derby wasn’t the problem. He had a bad start, then was stymied several times as he tried to make his late move. He won a maiden race in the slop by 11 lengths.

Check out the Past Performances link I posted above.


36 posted on 05/19/2018 2:48:09 PM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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To: the OlLine Rebel

“Lone Sailor is the only other runner with a triple-digit figure from the last three outings, receiving a 100 for a close second in the Louisiana Derby.

The Tom Amoss-trained late runner brought improving form into the Kentucky Derby but was repeatedly stopped and forced to regain his momentum recording a severely-troubled eighth. Irad Ortiz Jr. will pick up the mount for the Preakness.

Good Magic has not run back to the 105 he earned posting an upset win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Del Mar.

The Kentucky Derby runner-up will be the clear second choice in the wagering, but Good Magic’s Speed ratings are far from overwhelming.”

https://www.twinspires.com/blog/2018/5/16/2018-preakness-bris-speed-rating-report


37 posted on 05/19/2018 2:53:23 PM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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To: cardinal4

Sorry, looks like post time is actually around 6:50. I’m outside using a tablet. Don’t have easy access to the internet right now. If I am wrong someone please correct. Thanks.


38 posted on 05/19/2018 3:01:19 PM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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To: All

...make that, around 6:47pm.


39 posted on 05/19/2018 3:04:01 PM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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To: All

Current odds, as of 6:17pm ET (about 30 mins ‘til post time):

1) 10
2) 11
3) 21
4) 17
5) 5
6) 23
7) 2-5
8) 13


40 posted on 05/19/2018 3:13:43 PM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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