Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Sox have stranded 10 runners ... how many times have we heard that this year?
BC scores two TD’s in final 2 minutes and 13 seconds, WIN 14-10 over VT!
USC needed that clutch TD against Notre Dame, too, a couple of years ago.
LOL.
They’re part of the game. Bunts, hit and run, stealing... stuff the Red Sox would never do...
>>The deeper the Sox get into the Rockies’ bullpen, the better their chances.
Just in time for Halloween
The Rockies Horror Pitcher Show...
Part of that is a function of our having so many people get on base due to superior on-base ability.
I hear ya, when I see the bat go down..I say “ya...great”
ya ya Strawtegery and all that but still.
Fuentes was the Rox closer until he got injured.
Ortiz has left 4 men on base tonight.
However, if Francoma had run Ellsbury early in the count instead or relying on the bunt then Pedroia drives him in with that ground out. Instead he forces his guys to try and get a hit of a tough reliever.
Bad.......
Oki looks great...
Lol, we are still winning, I almost forgot.
I saw that in the New York Post today...they still have the best headline writers in the country. ;-)
Yeah...
who pitches the 8th?
Exactly. I think you should very very rarely bunt (give the other team an out).
Francona has done a GREAT job getting the most out of his guys. He really manages with his head.
Ideas?
“Funky Okijima?”
Good job by Oke
Tito wouldn't.... couldn't... put in GagMe, could he?
Timlin?
“God Bless America”
Much better than last night... Boyz 2 Men.
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