Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Thanks... if we get sick of Buck/McCarver...no, WHEN we get sick of Buck/McCarver, we’ll turn on the radio...
Buck: "Jimenez is a stud!" [on the mound. ]
McCarver: paraphrasing..."Shilling is old, not as good as he once was..." and "Rox need to get tho Shilling early...the first time through the line up."
Thanks for the ping. Should be an interesting night.
Let’s see what Jimenez has...
WOW! That is cool.
Wow Taveres leaned over the plate to get hit.
One down...twenty-six to go.
I’m set...I’ve got the game on FOX while listening to the red sox announcers over the net.
Ruh roh
fkabuckeyesrule said “while listening to the red sox announcers over the net...”
The actual Sox announcers?
May i ask where you are getting that feed?
Thanks
Glad you like it :). I thought it was fitting.
Also, the ad behind home plate when the Rox were up had me in stitches.
rofl
I have the MLB audio deal. It’s $15 for the season....you can listen to all games during the season/post season. I don’t know if they have some deal for the world series or not.
They’re going to be able to hit this kid.
Just great... 5 pitches to the Sox... 3 outs. I don’t like the way this game is going so far...
Yes. Jimenez stats this year for the Sky Sox:
ERA 5.85 in 19 starts and a WHIP of 1.67.
They were not patient in the first.
oh boy...I suspect I will be drunk by the 5th at this rate.
MLB wants 4.95 for the World Series audio feed ticket.
I’m here too! So the Rockies take the early lead cause of agressive baserunning, something the Indians would NEVER dream of doing.
I hope this is a jow scoring 3-2 game that Colorado wins, Schill goes 7 but the pen blows it. Then last nights blowout means nothing.
Heads up all! Preview of season 7 of 24 on at the END of the 7th inning.
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