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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Beckett is ON... he looks like the Terminator!


101 posted on 10/24/2007 5:45:33 PM PDT by nutmeg ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
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To: All
Get this - my buddy scored excellent tickets to the game tonight. How? His girlfriend is Julio Lugo’s hairstylist.
Lucky devil.
102 posted on 10/24/2007 5:45:34 PM PDT by warsaw44
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To: #1CTYankee
Got parts on that plane!

Keep them flying.

103 posted on 10/24/2007 5:46:14 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Oh lawd.


104 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:03 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: pending

OMG, I like this start!


105 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:06 PM PDT by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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To: pending

The Little Big Man does it again.


106 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:15 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: big'ol_freeper

Gone! 1-0


107 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:33 PM PDT by scott says
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To: All

We get homers from our 5' 1" second baseman, Rox.


108 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:49 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: Boston Blackie
iPod!!!!!!! Gone!!

109 posted on 10/24/2007 5:47:56 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: warsaw44; misterrob

WOO HOO!!! Dustin “Little Big Bat” Pedroia strikes again!


110 posted on 10/24/2007 5:48:08 PM PDT by nutmeg ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
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Lil' guy goes Yaaaa'hd.

111 posted on 10/24/2007 5:48:12 PM PDT by Lil'freeper (Don't taze me, bro!)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Hey, no making fun of short people lol.


112 posted on 10/24/2007 5:48:29 PM PDT by darkangel82 (And the band played on....)
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To: pending

Petey.

Unbelievable.

YOOOOOOOOOK


113 posted on 10/24/2007 5:48:30 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: big'ol_freeper
YOUKKKKKK!!!!!!

114 posted on 10/24/2007 5:49:04 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: All

I didn't know the Rox were actually as good as the Devil Rays. The more you know.


115 posted on 10/24/2007 5:49:13 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: big'ol_freeper
Manny!!!!!! Being Manny!!!

116 posted on 10/24/2007 5:51:51 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: All

Manny loves facing NL pitchers.


117 posted on 10/24/2007 5:52:16 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Manny..
My word.

Looks like Pats/Miami so far.


118 posted on 10/24/2007 5:52:54 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: All

Correct me if I am wrong FR Baseball experts....but I believe this might be the first game 1 lead-off HR since Don Buford in 1969. Is that correct?


119 posted on 10/24/2007 5:53:34 PM PDT by fkabuckeyesrule (Revenge begins on December 22nd!!!!!)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Crap, it’s starting to rain at Fenway. Could create problems...


120 posted on 10/24/2007 5:54:22 PM PDT by nutmeg ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
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