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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^
| 10-23-07
| Yahoo! Sports
Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)
Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)
Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)
Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)
Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)
Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game |
Starters |
COL |
BOS |
|
|
| Game 1 |
Francis vs. Beckett |
31.2% |
68.8% |
|
|
| Game 2 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 3 |
Matsuzaka vs. Fogg |
52.1% |
49.2% |
|
|
| Game 4 |
Lester vs. Cook |
56.3% |
43.7% |
|
|
| Game 5 |
Beckett vs. Francis |
45.9% |
54.1% |
|
|
| Game 6 |
Jimenez vs. Schilling |
35.7% |
64.3% |
|
|
| Game 7 |
Fogg vs. Matsuzaka |
39.0% |
61.0% |
|
| |
WIN SERIES |
33.2% |
66.8% |
|
Red Sox 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
Rockies 25-man Roster
PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier. CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Beckett is ON... he looks like the Terminator!
101
posted on
10/24/2007 5:45:33 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
To: All
Get this - my buddy scored excellent tickets to the game tonight. How? His girlfriend is Julio Lugo’s hairstylist.
Lucky devil.
To: #1CTYankee
Got parts on that plane!Keep them flying.
To: GraniteStateConservative
To: pending
105
posted on
10/24/2007 5:47:06 PM PDT
by
#1CTYankee
(That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
To: pending
The Little Big Man does it again.
To: big'ol_freeper
To: All
We get homers from our 5' 1" second baseman, Rox.
108
posted on
10/24/2007 5:47:49 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: Boston Blackie
109
posted on
10/24/2007 5:47:56 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: warsaw44; misterrob
WOO HOO!!! Dustin “Little Big Bat” Pedroia strikes again!
110
posted on
10/24/2007 5:48:08 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
Lil' guy goes Yaaaa'hd.
111
posted on
10/24/2007 5:48:12 PM PDT
by
Lil'freeper
(Don't taze me, bro!)
To: GraniteStateConservative
Hey, no making fun of short people lol.
112
posted on
10/24/2007 5:48:29 PM PDT
by
darkangel82
(And the band played on....)
To: pending
Petey.
Unbelievable.
YOOOOOOOOOK
113
posted on
10/24/2007 5:48:30 PM PDT
by
pending
(TODAY)
To: big'ol_freeper
114
posted on
10/24/2007 5:49:04 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: All
I didn't know the Rox were actually as good as the Devil Rays. The more you know.
115
posted on
10/24/2007 5:49:13 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: big'ol_freeper
Manny!!!!!! Being Manny!!!
116
posted on
10/24/2007 5:51:51 PM PDT
by
big'ol_freeper
("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
To: All
Manny loves facing NL pitchers.
117
posted on
10/24/2007 5:52:16 PM PDT
by
GraniteStateConservative
(...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
To: GraniteStateConservative
Manny..
My word.
Looks like Pats/Miami so far.
118
posted on
10/24/2007 5:52:54 PM PDT
by
pending
(TODAY)
To: All
Correct me if I am wrong FR Baseball experts....but I believe this might be the first game 1 lead-off HR since Don Buford in 1969. Is that correct?
119
posted on
10/24/2007 5:53:34 PM PDT
by
fkabuckeyesrule
(Revenge begins on December 22nd!!!!!)
To: GraniteStateConservative
Crap, it’s starting to rain at Fenway. Could create problems...
120
posted on
10/24/2007 5:54:22 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." - Hillary Clinton 6/28/04)
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