Posted on 09/21/2004 4:35:59 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!!
Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nations' miltary who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
CAT I HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY #31
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE--A THREAT, NOT A THREAT, A THREAT...LOW CONFIDENCE IN FORECASTS ON THIS SYSTEM...NOW A HURRICANE...ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE INTEREST WATCH AREA...
JEANNE has undergone explosive deepening of its central pressure, but the eye is still cloud covered and open to the south, indicating the presence of significant shear.
Yesterday, models came into good agreement. Today, models came into good disagreement.
The consensus--if it can really be called that--is what is being shown in the graphic. JEANNE will make a slow anticyclonic loop and then proceed westward. This is a very low confidence forecast, in the words of the NHC. But there's nothing better.
As stated earlier, JEANNE is in a relatively high shear environment. Several things could happen over the next several days. JEANNE could upwell significant amounts of cold water from staying in roughly the same spot for awhile, cutting off its "fuel," it could get sheared off by the SW flow over top of the cyclone, it could ingest the cold air from the shortwave to its north. Again, models are all over the place. NHC has prepared a forecast on the premise that none of these events will come to pass--the "safe" solution. It, like the path forecast, is of very low confidence.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[There are no watches or warnings associated with JEANNE at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET (0900Z)
Location: 27.6N by 70.0W, or 445 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: ENE at 6 MPH. Steering currents are falling apart, and JEANNE is expected to slowly turn to the E or SE later today.
Winds: 90 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some strengthening is likely over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 972 MB or 28.70"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 100 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 240 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD site.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Virginia should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
Top Bush advisors are said to be pushing for the removal of the moderator from the debate to be held at Arizona State University. The moderator is from CBS. The President has not made any indication he supports this notion.
USA Today is running a story that CBS arranged for a confidential source to talk to Joe Lockhart, an aide to John Kerry, after the network received the "unauthenticated" (forged, actually) documents.
The Criminal Party admits the documents are false, but Terry McAwful is pressing on: "Now that we know what's not true, let's focus on the facts..." [Yeah, right.]
Meanwhile, the GOP issued the following statement:
We accept CBS's apology for a breach of the journalistic standards that provide the American people confidence in news organizations, but some disturbing questions remain unanswered.
CBS has now answered questions about the authenticity of the documents but questions remain surrounding who created the documents, who provided them to CBS and if Senator Kerry's supporters, Party committee, or campaign played any role.
Did Bill Burkett, Democrat activist and Kerry campaign supporter, who passed information to the DNC, work with Kerry campaign surrogate Max Cleland? Did Bill Burkett's talks with ‘senior’ Kerry campaign officials include discussions of the now discredited documents? Was the launch of the Democrat National Committee's Operation Fortunate Son designed with knowledge of the faked forged memos? Terry McAuliffe said yesterday that no one at the DNC or Kerry campaign, ‘had anything to do with the preparations of the documents,’ but what about the distribution or dissemination?
In an effort to regain the trust of the American people CBS should not only investigate the process that led to the use of these documents but they should identify immediately those engaged in possible criminal activity who attempted to use a news organization to affect the outcome of a Presidential election in its closing days.
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
LET'S ROLL!!!
Good morning!!
Good morning.
The "day count" for today is correct. It was pointed out to me that yesterday's was not. I would appreciate it if the header on yesterday's thread could be changed to indicate "Day 1339"? Thanks in advance.
G'morning Chair. This story just isn't going to go away.
Has cbs said why they arranged for a confidential source to talk to Joe Lockhart ???
I want them to admit it. I want it to be front page healines on all newspapers. AND I want RATher to be FIRED.
DISCUSSION
...KARL MAY BE AT MAXIMUM STRENGTH...
KARL shows an image on satellite photos that supports an intensity of 140 MPH, but cloud tops near the eye are beginning to warm--suggesting the hurricane has probably "maxed out". Track guidance is a little different than previous, but not substantially.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (1500Z)
Location: 20.1N by 47.5W, or 1025 miles E of the Lesser Antilles.
Vector: NNW at 12 MPH. This motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Winds: 140 MPH 1-minute sustained. Strengthening is likely over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 940 MB or 27.76"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 140 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 400 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of KARL is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
KARL is only a threat to shipping.
I can't hear Bill Bennett's show via media player..can you? There doesn't seem to be any sound.
This needs to be vigorously prosecuted. The RATS are getting desparate and have attempted to steal THIS election, too.
In 2000, there was a democratic official who was found with voting boxes with punched ballots in his car. Why wasn't that pursued. Now, they have attempted to sway voters with fraudulent documents. It should be pursued as criminal activity.
Dog, I think this is big, too. Not because it will bring down a President (i.e. Watergate), but because it undermines the RAT party. CBS and the RATS are going to take a fall. At least, they should.
Definitely the same problem, lysie. Glad you mentioned it so we know we're not going crazy! LOL!
I don't think RATher should be fired. He should go to jail. So should Burkett. And the whole kit-and-kaboodle of 'em.
Me too!
But I'm selfish, I want this story to string along for another month. I want to watch Rather twist in the wind a while before they fire him.
And I want this story to be the only headline people pay attention to until just a couple of days before the election.
This really makes me mad. Americans betraying the American election process. It is not an outsider which hurts America, not really. It is laughing at our laws, undermining our courts and fraud in the election booth. These activities are down by AMERICANS and that is really treason.
After all, "Danny-boy" said he was sorry and if that is good enough for the Grinch, it's good enough for any RAT!
I would also like us to nuke Fallujah. Take no prisoners.
They aren't real Americans, they are liberal democRATS. There is a difference in the spelling. To them, it is "Amerika"!
Good morning everybody! Things are going well at Luther. Our lectures are under the not so great category, and church services are undisputably p.c. Even the Republicans here aren't really Republicans, they're the kind that stand right next to the fence so that it's really easy to jump back over, if needed. It's ok, but that's getting a little old...
Well, I hope you all have a wonderful Tuesday, and pray for people in the south, those getting pounded and those cleaning up. Good day.
Roy Blount coming up ina minute on Fox, and he is not going to let it blow over.
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