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Bank Contagion? First SVB Crashes, Now First Republic Bank (Down -28% At Open)
Confounded Interest ^ | 03/10/2023 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 03/10/2023 6:59:20 AM PST by Kaiser8408a

Ah, memories! I still remember the 2000s housing bubble and subsequent financial crisis and bank bailout from 2008/2009 like it was yesterday. And I remember Representative Barney Frank (D-MA) claiming that the Dodd-Frank legislation would end bank bailouts. I laughed out loud when I heard Mr. Frank utter those preposterous words.

Now here we are again with yet another bank contagion. First it was Silicon Valley Bank, now it is First Republic Bank (down -28% at opening).

And there is a trading halt on First Republic. But YoY growth on FRC’s earnings of -34.7% is horrendous.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: banks; biden; fed; inflation; svb
A large part of the problem was Yellen as Fed Chair keeping rates super low to protect Obama/Biden, then raising rates only after Trump was elected. Now The Fed is playing catchup and we are paying the price.
1 posted on 03/10/2023 6:59:20 AM PST by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

Ernie the cab driver-—”I’ve never seen one before but that has all the earmarks of a run...you better get your money out of the bank before it’s gone”

George Baily-—”Stop the car....”


2 posted on 03/10/2023 7:06:26 AM PST by mikelets456
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To: Kaiser8408a

Chase bank is actually up a little


3 posted on 03/10/2023 7:11:06 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

$212B assets...thats a big one. I wonder what their exposure is to this stuff? They read as if they are almost a “private” bank.


4 posted on 03/10/2023 7:12:07 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: Vermont Lt

Here is their “investor” presentation.

https://ir.firstrepublic.com/static-files/3b4ae05a-2266-4d02-a1c3-983384454708

They don’t don’t seem “crazy.”


5 posted on 03/10/2023 7:13:38 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: Kaiser8408a

We had a discussion yesterday about economic numbers released by the government and how they were skewed and intentionally misleading, today the government announced job numbers and they were “surprisingly” very good, which will prompt the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates and these bank contagions are result of misleading economic statistics coming from the government


6 posted on 03/10/2023 7:15:54 AM PST by srmanuel
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To: Kaiser8408a

Let it Burn, NO BAILOUTS. These people HATE us.


7 posted on 03/10/2023 7:16:59 AM PST by JonPreston
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To: Kaiser8408a

Banks bought treasuries at low interest rates. Now that the borrowing and spending caused inflation, expectedly, those holding those low rate treasuries lost a lot of money due to the rate increase. Government manipulation of the economy.


8 posted on 03/10/2023 7:24:16 AM PST by Rusty0604 (Desperately looking for new conspiracy theories as all the old ones have come true)
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To: Kaiser8408a

My daughter has $600k mortgage at 3.75%.
How does the lender handle that when bank CD’s are paying higher rates than 3.75%?


9 posted on 03/10/2023 7:30:46 AM PST by entropy12 (Food is most popular anxiety drug, exercise is the least popular.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

The inverse Jim Cramer effect is alive and well, less than one month ago he was touting this company on CNBC

https://twitter.com/watcherguru/status/1634039856924860416?s=46&t=z9JhsJSWwNkmble_RiGVIQ


10 posted on 03/10/2023 7:30:55 AM PST by srmanuel
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To: nuconvert

Chase and other large banks in the “too big to fail” category gain a competitive advantage in times of financial stress and dislocation.


11 posted on 03/10/2023 7:32:16 AM PST by Rockingham
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To: Rockingham

Wall Street’s 4 top banks just had $55 billion wiped off their market value in a single day

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/wall-streets-4-top-banks-121159690.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuYmluZy5jb20v&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADr_332Ha37lk2f_y3lK4RGiaWZLjViLysLmvX6u8CpypBS_1oiSVhwfbQ4kThbpaaqmSz1d1bxlIbQxJac9m8R99Pcijtt3L-4LXxUciDgZ5yrOiZLpflK8OpSF5VfWqt_pr7u7ALBsBHXPe_MhHycIKaEB3sw6MjcQjIr6x_9T


12 posted on 03/10/2023 7:38:11 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: Vermont Lt

They are a publicly held bank with a business specialized in “private banking” (for HNW individuals) and, especially, similar, limited, commercial markets. It is San Fran-based, so with an in some ways similar concentration of exposure as SVB.


13 posted on 03/10/2023 7:41:12 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: JonPreston
Let it Burn, NO BAILOUTS. These people HATE us.

No worries. No bailouts. It will be bail-ins. The bank will just take your money. Because of bills like Dodd-Frank, the money you deposit in the bank becomes the bank's property. If the bank is feeling charitable, they might offer you some "shares" in the bank.

The next ugly development is the US Dollar is repudiated as legal tender. Look for the term "force majeure". Businesses unable to pay employees, contractors or suppliers.

14 posted on 03/10/2023 8:22:53 AM PST by Myrddin
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To: entropy12

They just pay less than 1% for savings, mm & checking accts. Sometimes, a LOT less.


15 posted on 03/10/2023 8:28:58 AM PST by Roccus (Veritas, non verba magistri)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Folks! This is right out of the Fed’s play book. Hang on! Be assured that the taxpayers will be made to bail out these incompetent fools. It is ‘deja vu’ all over again.


16 posted on 03/10/2023 8:53:23 AM PST by Parmy
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To: Parmy
I keep suggesting that those of you who are interested to get a copy of 'The Creature from Jekyll Island' and read it. It will give the reader an understanding of what is going to happen in the wake of these bank failures.This is the reason the Federal Reserve Act was enacted in 1913.

The operative word is 'bailout' of the biggest and wealthiest banks when they made dumb, and or fraudulent business deals.

17 posted on 03/10/2023 9:00:20 AM PST by Parmy
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