Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Fed’s BIG Green Bag (Of Money)! Goldman Sees Fed Rate Peaking In March At 5%, Core Inflation Rate UP > 400% Under Biden (US Yield Curve Inverted Prior To Nov 2nd FOMC Meeting)
Confounded Interest ^ | 10/30/2022 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 10/30/2022 9:29:49 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a

The next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in on Wednesday, November 2nd. Let’s see what The Fed does with its BIG GREEN BAG … OF MONEY.

As I set here on Sunday morning waiting to see how the Cleveland Browns will lose to cross-state rival Cincinnati Bengals, I see that both the US Treasury 10yr-2yr and 10yr-3mo yield curves are inverted (below zero).

Core inflation (CPI less food and energy) YoY (blue line) was only 1.3% in February 2021 shortly after Biden was sworn-in as President and is now 6.6% in September 2022. That is over a 400% increase in core inflation!

We have this tantalizing headline on Bloomberg:

Goldman Sachs Now Sees Fed Rates Peaking at 5% in March By Simon Kennedy(Bloomberg) —

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said they now expect the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to 5%, higher than previously predicted.

The central bank will lift its benchmark rate to a range of 4.75% to 5% in March, 25 basis points more than earlier expected, economists led by Jan Hatzius wrote in an Oct. 29 research report.

The route to the new peak includes increases of 75 basis points this week, 50 basis points in December and 25 basis points in February and March, they said.

The economists cited three reasons for expecting the Fed to hike beyond February: “uncomfortably high” inflation, the need to cool the economy as fiscal tightening ends and price-adjusted incomes climb, and to avoid a premature easing of financial conditions.

Regardless of what Goldman Sachs thinks, Fed officials are expecting a peak in 2023 followed by a decline to 2.5%.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: biden; economy; fed; federalreserve; inflation; interest; interestrates; rates
I didn't see this posted, but it is interesting on how interest rates are predicted to peak in either March or May 2023. Then come down again.

Look at core inflation rate, up over 400% under Biden!!

1 posted on 10/30/2022 9:29:49 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a
Transitory!

Nothing to worry about.

2 posted on 10/30/2022 9:33:29 AM PDT by caltaxed (ake)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

The Federal Reserve and its printed, fiat, controlled money is the foundation of our woke prog nanny state


3 posted on 10/30/2022 9:37:13 AM PDT by PGR88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

Anyone who spends any time at all in a grocery store can see that anything that this current government says or does about ‘inflation’ is totally concocted BS that MSM dutifully reports it without question.

I’m not even gonna get into what utilities are offering for fixed-price rates.

This debacle is real, and it is being furthered in support of a demented and very possibly senile husk of a lying pervert’s administration.

You can’t vote him out right now (that’s in 2024) but you can start on November 8th by throwing out those sycophant Congressmen/women who are supporting him. But go VOTE! Vote them out.


4 posted on 10/30/2022 9:37:49 AM PDT by Gaffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

Right now the Democrats control everything. They started the fire. Don’t blame the Firemen, the FED, for the way they fight the fire that Biden Admin started.

It will be interesting after the Republicans win in Nov.
How much blame, how much credit will go to the R team, how much will go to the D team? Good will happen, Bad will happen. Republicans should cut regulations and free the economy. It they do not do that will they get the blame if the economy does not improve?

It will be a split government. But the R team will have control of the purse. Will they use it? Or will they go along to get along?


5 posted on 10/30/2022 9:55:05 AM PDT by spintreebob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

I predict a pivot before March.


6 posted on 10/30/2022 10:14:30 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

Sounds about right, that’s what it will take to lower inflation. Like oil, the cost of money influences everything.


7 posted on 10/30/2022 10:41:45 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: spintreebob

But the R team will have control of the purse. Will they use it? Or will they go along to get along?

R’s solved all this decades ago. Have you forgotten Graham-Rudman?
/s


8 posted on 10/30/2022 10:46:59 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson