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Buckaroo! Why The Fed Won’t Be Able To Contain Inflation (Taylor Rule Suggests A Target Rate Of 23.30%, A Bridge Too Far)
Confounded Interest ^ | 07/17/2022 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 07/17/2022 8:03:54 AM PDT by Browns Ultra Fan

The Federal Reserve has behaved like buckaroos! Why? Since the financial crisis, The Fed has left its enormous monetary stimulus outstanding for too long.

The Fed initiated asset purchases in a series of moves (aka, QE) culminating in Covid QE that has been barley removed. With The Fed’s stimulypto (and Federal spending), we have seen the S&P 500 index soar along with home prices.

Of course, this begs the question as to whether the stock market and housing market can withstand The Fed’s tightening plans.

A closer look at the S&P 500 index and the Case-Shiller National home price index under Biden. The S&P 500 has been declining since The Fed started their monetary tightening. But the Case-Shiller National home price index as of April ’22 was still soaring.

With inflation at a 40-year high, the Taylor Rule suggests a Fed target rate of … 23.30%. It is currently at 1.75%. That is an unrealistic target rate that The Fed will never do. It is, in fact, a Bridge Too Far.

Markets are conditioned to massive Fed stimulypto, so how will markets react to stimulus reduction?

While The Fed is intent on withdrawing SOME of the enormous monetary stimulus, they are still buckaroos. And Biden/Congress still want to distort markets by Federal spending such as the Build Back (Inflation) Better bill that Manchin has blocked … so far.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: biden; blogpimp; fed; inflation; spending
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Inflation is NOT going away with Biden spending and Buttigieg in charge of transportation.
1 posted on 07/17/2022 8:03:54 AM PDT by Browns Ultra Fan
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Did The View solve inflation?
https://twitter.com/jobobtaeleifi/status/1548468365307494401?s=10&t=8g1aF-wq1K8AoFDUM5TE0A


2 posted on 07/17/2022 8:08:58 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

People are getting a real taste of what democrat economic policies will do to our beloved Republic.


3 posted on 07/17/2022 8:12:26 AM PDT by 2001convSVT (Asking questions is your right.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

If they’re behaving like Buckaroos, where was Buck Owens?


4 posted on 07/17/2022 8:15:09 AM PDT by OKSooner ("That was then, this is now." - S.E. Hinton, Tulsa, OK)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

The damage is done. It will take years to burn through all the fiat money cursing thru the economy.


5 posted on 07/17/2022 8:15:16 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Bttt.

5.56mm


6 posted on 07/17/2022 8:16:56 AM PDT by M Kehoe (Quid Pro Joe and the Ho got to go.)
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To: central_va

Sadly you are right about that.
We were partying on credit card.
But all credit cards eventually get maxxed out.


7 posted on 07/17/2022 8:18:48 AM PDT by entropy12 (Trump/DeSantis & MAGA! are the only way to keep USA viable. Are so many somany)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan
> The Federal Reserve has behaved like buckaroos! <

I agree with the premise of this article. But I see no reason to slander the entire buckaroo community.


8 posted on 07/17/2022 8:19:36 AM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan; Pelham
With inflation at a 40-year high, the Taylor Rule suggests a Fed target rate of … 23.30%.

What numbers are they using to get to 23.3%?

9 posted on 07/17/2022 8:25:10 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (TANSTAAFL)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

The man behind the scenes is Bronco Bama.


10 posted on 07/17/2022 8:25:28 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (We are already in a revolutionary period, and the Rule of Law means nothing. It's "whatever".)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

More like Buckaroo Banzai across the 8th Dimension.


11 posted on 07/17/2022 8:29:00 AM PDT by LastDayz (A blunt and brazen Texan. I will not be assimilated.)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

And with HeelsUp in charge of the border along with traitor Mayorkis.

Jenny NotsoGrandholm [”You’ll be brown away”] @ Energy

The EPA

That Yellin’ woman

etc.


12 posted on 07/17/2022 8:29:20 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

How’s that MMT working out for ya, dems?


13 posted on 07/17/2022 8:30:30 AM PDT by OpusatFR
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To: 2001convSVT
People are getting a real taste of what democrat socialist economic policies will do to our beloved Republic.

All of this is a consequence of over a century of planning to push global socialism/communism. The collapse of the USSR didn't stop it. It actually made those pushing world socialism/communism more aggressive.

We are in an ideological war for our nation and way of life.

14 posted on 07/17/2022 8:31:14 AM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: Browns Ultra Fan
With inflation at a 40-year high, the Taylor Rule suggests a Fed target rate of … 23.30%. It is currently at 1.75%. That is an unrealistic target rate that The Fed will never do. It is, in fact, a Bridge Too Far.

If the July numbers continue the trend of the last 6 months, the FED may be forced to take more drastic measures. The meager 1/2 to 3/4 point increases are drops in the bucket.

There are already rumors that the 2023 Social Security COLA may be in the 10.8% range.
Social Security increase may have to be as high as 10.8% in 2023

The SS COLA rumors last month were anticipating around a 9.1% increase for 2023.

FED inaction is only feeding the economic monster.


15 posted on 07/17/2022 8:47:56 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: TomGuy

Good post.

This is why claims about “inflation ending soon” are absurd.

There are systemic reasons (in both private and public sectors) why once inflation ignites it becomes a wildfire—and the only way to stop it is with drastic Fed action—which will still take months to have an effect.


16 posted on 07/17/2022 8:52:45 AM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: OKSooner

Oh man, do I love that tune. I can even play it, sort of.

https://youtu.be/-2VLIO14dns


17 posted on 07/17/2022 8:53:37 AM PDT by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

You’ve griped when they’ve raised.
You’ve griped when they’ve didn’t.

You’ve got it covered.

The only answer is more exclamation points.


18 posted on 07/17/2022 9:26:27 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: central_va
What are you complaining about? You got the inflation you begged for.
19 posted on 07/17/2022 9:51:01 AM PDT by Poison Pill
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To: Browns Ultra Fan

Let me know when I can get some CDs paying 23.3%. Except there’ll be no banks then.


20 posted on 07/17/2022 10:16:30 AM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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