Posted on 09/23/2020 4:48:18 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
If there was some feeling over the last couple of weeks that Donald Trump was moving in the right direction electorally, we now have more empirical evidence to back that up.
ABC News has released their latest state polling and the President has now taken the lead in two key states, pointing to a race that is tightening and moving in Trump’s direction as Joe Biden continues to hide in his basement most days.
Biden still leads Trump with support among registered hispanic voters in the states — a voting group w/ a diversity of opinions.
In Florida, his 13-point lead trails the 27 point lead @HillaryClinton had in 2016
In Arizona, Biden leads 61%-34% among Hispanic registered voters
— Molly Nagle (@MollyNagle3) September 23, 2020
There’s obviously a lot of moving parts when it comes to an election ultimately decided by the electoral college. The response from Democrats to this will be that Biden doesn’t need Florida and Arizona. Yet, that eschews how connected everything ultimately is. If Trump wins Florida by 3 points, he’s going to be a clear favorite to snag one or two of the former “blue wall” states he took from Hillary in 2016. There’s not much of a scenario where Trump wins with that margin in Florida but can’t pull Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.
Arizona was also a state Democrats were really banking on to cement a Biden victory. It has been trending blue for a while. But if Trump is able to hold on there again, it’s a very good sign for possible shifts happening elsewhere.
Another thing to note here is that Trump is far outpacing Joe Biden with Hispanic voters compared to Hillary Clinton. We’ve seen hints of that in other polls and this newest offering undergirds that notion. If Trump over-performs 2016 with Hispanics by 5-10 points, that could swing the election in his favor. We are also seeing reports of sky-high voter registration among non-college-educated whites in the midwest. That’s a demographic that heavily favors Trump. In other words, there are a lot of factors lining up here for a photo finish, and all of the recent news is bad news for Biden.
I’ll note that the former VP has been calling lids (i.e. no more press access) on his campaign early in the morning a lot lately. It sure seems like his handlers are having to keep him inside because he’s having good and bad days mentally. There’s little other explanation for a presidential candidate who refuses to campaign, and when he does, he often shows up hours late. Something is going on the voters deserve to know about it. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris hasn’t answered questions in 42 days of being the VP nominee for Biden. That’s incredibly unusual.
Biden is floundering right now, and while I suspect Democrats have plenty to unleash in October, Trump has made up most of the ground he needed to make up to be competitive in November. Now, he just needs to remain disciplined, which he’s done a great job of lately, and finish this out. Biden’s playing prevent-defense against a top offense. That doesn’t usually work out well.
(Please follow me on Twitter! @bonchieredstate)
20/20 in 2020 — perfect vision in the perfect candidate so Joe doesn’t know what hit him.
Kelly isn’t good looking and doesn’t have any angle other than his communist wife got shot. That’s his platform. Ducey just told the Bolshevik secretary of state to get bent.
Now if our McCain/Flake style legislature would quit letting the Democrats draw congressional districts we might get somewhere.
RE:The only way he loses is with massive and I mean MASSIVE mail in voter fraud
I’m afraid that’s what we should be expecting. Mark Levin already said that Biden’s team and the DNC are even as I write this, hiring an army of lawyers in anticipation of the day after November 3, at least a thousand of them...
I agree with you. She finally put out a decent campaign ad, showed her striding through a hanger and out into a jet. It was strong and compelling. She needs to make more like it.
I tried to look at the internals of that poll. WAPO is pay-walling it. I bet the dems are oversampled.
“..I suspect Democrats have plenty to unleash in October...”
Oh just wait for the Durham bombshells in October!
yep
she’s running against The gun grabber
FMCDH(BITS)
McSally is paying for her Anti-Trump stances. Lately, I’ve been receiving funding emails from her daily touting her support for the President. Too little too late it appears. I hope she pulls off a win simply because her opponent is a fanatical anti 2nd amendment. But, because of this, his coffers are overflowing with outside cash and he is dwarfing her in ads.
Once again, polling registered voters this close to an election is worthless. Likely Voters in the proper numbers have to be polled for it to have any semblance of reality.
Maybe so they can switch back after the debate and say Biden is having a surge
Certainly possible. Something is up. They don’t “just” publish a poll where Trump is winning an important state like Florida by 4 points.
That is possible. It’s certainly not to accurately show where the race is.
The constant kowtowing to blacks just might annoy browns?
and what has she done since her jet days??? that’s old news she cant keep trying to run on that.
In a fair election, with an electorate that took life seriously, and didn’t have socialism as their religion, this Presidential election would be a landslide of literally historic proportions. The Democrat Party would be a bad dream.
Fed up Reporters Blow Lid off Kamala’s Limited Availability, One Says It ‘Has a Foul Stench of Insecurity’
RedState ^ | September 23, 2020 | Sister Toldjah
FR Posted by CheshireTheCat
That Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s handlers are keeping him sequestered in the basement as often as possible from the mainstream media is not new news.
But on Tuesday, many members of the mainstream media broke their silence on social media regarding what has become another access issue for them – this time concerning Kamala Harris.
NBC News reporter Deepa Shivaram, who is embedded with Harris’s traveling press corps, took to the Twitter machine last night to vent about how the Democratic vice presidential nominee “has not once formally taken questions from the press” since becoming the nominee...
Shivaram noted a few minutes later that sometimes they get to “shout” questions at her as they travel from event to event but it’s never in a formalized setting like a press gaggle where reporters surround the candidate in order to get answers to questions and to ask important follow-ups:...
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
on every issue....within a few minutes, she applies that stupid jet pilot non sense....horrible candidate.
McSally needs a strong turnout, would be a shame if that hypocrite Kelly wins.
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