Posted on 02/18/2025 11:08:15 AM PST by rdl6989
The probability that a major asteroid, big enough to wipe out an entire city, will hit Earth in 2032 has just increased to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, according to NASA.
On Feb. 7, NASA increased the likelihood that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in seven years time from 1.2% to 2.3%. The odds of impact then climbed to 2.6%, and are now at 3.1%, according to the latest data on NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies website.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 has an estimated diameter of around 177 feet (54 meters), or about as wide as the leaning tower of Pisa is tall. But while it is too small to end human civilization, the asteroid could still wipe out a major city, releasing about 8 megatons of energy upon impact — more than 500 times the energy released by the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima, Japan.
(Excerpt) Read more at livescience.com ...
‘38 huh? Still time to elect a democrap and create a panic or try to break the thing into smaller pieces or divert it for maximum damage.
Yemen might do.
Either that or they’re trolling for a larger budget.
the probability of flipping 5 heads in a row is approximately 0.03125,
Given the small size of the asteroid and the likelyhood that it will break up entering the atmosphere I do not think it would happen. It would have to be a direct strike on the fault. At best, a dust cloud and maybe some lava flows, but you never know. Geology is usually snails pace and it would be instructive to see a rift and new inlet form within a human lifetime.
Dabbahu Volcano, Afar, Ethiopia
The lead actress was also in the day of the Triffids and Bikini Paradise and was married once to Mel Torme!
Along the same lines, James Bond movie "Never say Never again" Plot involves Evil Villian with a Nuclear weapon that will be detonated in a cave in Eritria to open up a channel that will flood the African Rift Valley probably to mess with former British colonies or something.
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