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Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports
https://www.livescience.com/space/asteroids/chance-of-city-killer-asteroid-2024-yr4-smashing-into-ea ^ | Feb 18, 2025 | Patrick Pester

Posted on 02/18/2025 11:08:15 AM PST by rdl6989

The probability that a major asteroid, big enough to wipe out an entire city, will hit Earth in 2032 has just increased to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, according to NASA.

On Feb. 7, NASA increased the likelihood that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in seven years time from 1.2% to 2.3%. The odds of impact then climbed to 2.6%, and are now at 3.1%, according to the latest data on NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies website.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has an estimated diameter of around 177 feet (54 meters), or about as wide as the leaning tower of Pisa is tall. But while it is too small to end human civilization, the asteroid could still wipe out a major city, releasing about 8 megatons of energy upon impact — more than 500 times the energy released by the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima, Japan.

(Excerpt) Read more at livescience.com ...


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KEYWORDS: 2024yr4; asteroid; asteroids; astronomy; chat; science
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1 posted on 02/18/2025 11:08:15 AM PST by rdl6989
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To: Admin Moderator

Can you please delete this. I don’t know what is wrong with the link to the story. Sorry.


2 posted on 02/18/2025 11:09:41 AM PST by rdl6989
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To: rdl6989
'city-killer' asteroid

Might not be so bad if we could just pick the city.
3 posted on 02/18/2025 11:10:59 AM PST by EastTexasTraveler
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To: EastTexasTraveler

I have a couple in mind, so we need more than 1. :)


4 posted on 02/18/2025 11:12:57 AM PST by Resolute Conservative
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To: All

Sorry about the link. Try this:

https://www.livescience.com/space/asteroids/chance-of-city-killer-asteroid-2024-yr4-smashing-into-earth-rises-yet-again-to-3-1-percent-nasa-reports


5 posted on 02/18/2025 11:14:18 AM PST by rdl6989
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To: rdl6989

Better check the asteroid damage clause in your home insurance policy!


6 posted on 02/18/2025 11:16:42 AM PST by Carl Vehse (Make Austin Texas Again!)
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To: rdl6989

They always assume it will hit the land.

What if it hit the ocean?

Would there be a tsunami 100 feet tall headed in all directions at the speed of sound?.....................


7 posted on 02/18/2025 11:17:45 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: rdl6989
"Chance of 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 smashing into Earth rises yet again to 3.1%, NASA reports"

Do we have time to nominate a preferred city?!?

8 posted on 02/18/2025 11:19:35 AM PST by Carl Vehse (Make Austin Texas Again!)
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To: rdl6989

Trumps fault. Elon too!

Do I really need a /s here?


9 posted on 02/18/2025 11:28:29 AM PST by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and don't wish to smile.)
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To: Red Badger

I think that would be the worst scenario. It would be worse than that earthquake about 20 years ago that caused that tsunami.


10 posted on 02/18/2025 11:30:14 AM PST by rdl6989
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To: EastTexasTraveler

I’m sure God has one or two in mind.


11 posted on 02/18/2025 11:33:48 AM PST by waterhill (Nobody cares, work harder!)
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To: Red Badger

What is the total area of all cities in the world, compared to the area of the entire earth, including ocean? Odds are low it will hit anywhere on earth, much lower that it would hit a densely populated area. More likely to hit ocean. Tsunami a concern.


12 posted on 02/18/2025 11:38:09 AM PST by desertsolitaire ( Lee Harvey Oswald and the Bands final performance)
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To: desertsolitaire

Another concern would be if it hit a major fault line!................


13 posted on 02/18/2025 11:39:27 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: rdl6989

Mecca, bonus if during Hajj.


14 posted on 02/18/2025 11:40:37 AM PST by mikey_hates_everything
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To: rdl6989

CAN WE CHOOSE WHERE???


15 posted on 02/18/2025 11:41:24 AM PST by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: EastTexasTraveler

Casting my vote for Mecca.


16 posted on 02/18/2025 11:41:55 AM PST by HartleyMBaldwin
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

To: rdl6989

NASA must be worried about the Department of Government Efficiency sniffing around...


18 posted on 02/18/2025 11:44:10 AM PST by Ronaldus Magnus
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To: rdl6989

Why do I get the feeling that the probability is even higher, but for some reason NASA wants to kind of sneak it up on us?


19 posted on 02/18/2025 11:44:54 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Red Badger

Persian Gulf would be perfect.


20 posted on 02/18/2025 11:46:35 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
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