A lot of this is reflective of the fact that we’re under the jackbooted tyranny of our Governor, and every other day Trump steps to a microphone and says he is doing a great job.
BS
They’re going to vote for the racist, senile white man whose party is leading a communist insurrection?
bump
Not good.
the murdered elderly in Transylvannia cannot vote
any more.
they have been HERSHY’d.
This poll stuff always cracks me up. I remember 2016 quite clearly. I also remember, during the democrat debates, that polls had Trump losing to pretty much ALL of them by double digits.
I don’t know anyone that takes these polls seriously.
It is not my sense at all that Trump is down in PA. The climate is such that if you don't want to rock the boat, you keep your damn mask on and shut up. People are not expressing their opinions, and polls are skewed from the onset.
For those of us that do express our opinions and resist Tommie the Commie and his dickless wonder health secretary's edicts there are glimpses of approval in the eyes from many wearing their masks.
Mass media gaslighting:
Vote for BLM! That’s the ticket!
I live in Westmoreland County, which will go for DT. I wouldn’t be too surprised if he were down by a few statewide. There is an older population here that has been blindly voting “D” their entire lives. But I’ll say this, while I don’t see as much DT stuff in Allegheny (Pittsburgh), I sure as hell see very little to no Biden stuff. The enthusiasm gap is absolutely real, and that has to count for something.
The poll by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College......
Shocker. America hating college lefties do a “poll”. Trump’s doomed now, finally, we got him now....
For comparison, other fantastic polls done by this group in the last presidential election:
https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/976089416682518756-f-m-poll-release-august-2016-1.pdf
https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/517148503881751921-f-m-poll-release-july-2016.pdf
https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/416992691463386772-f-m-poll-release-october-2016.pdf
(Trump won PA by less than 1%)
I’m skeptical of this report, i.e., “lie”. Biden/Bernie plan to get rid of coal, and that’s what brought Trump through in 2016.
Again, this is why I quit doing polls. F&M was among the absolute WORST in 2016 up there with Quinnipiac.
Yet in last two weeks we have
1) Both Trafalgar and Baris, the only two pollsters getting PA (and the 2016 election right) say Trump is ahead Baris) by 2 or down 1 (Trafalgar), yet the head of Trafalgar yesterday said Trump would win PA.
2) We have had the guru of all leftist polling, Nate Cohn at 538 saying if the election were held today, Trump would win.
3) We have many, many sources more than just Trafalgar and Baris saying that the Trump voter this time around is almost impossible to count.
4) PA voter registration has seen Rs shave 100,000 of Ds since 2016.
5) And I haven’t even started on the incredibly high (for an R) black approval of Trump 16-26%, but as high as 41% in Rasmussen, or the astounding crash in student voting (down 1 to 1.5m due to no colleges being opened).
In short, the actual evidence we have (higher R registration), more difficulty polling Rs suggests just the opposite of F&M, that Trump will win.
PA needs to look to their Governor for the problems their state has.
“But the poll also found only 24% of Pennsylvania respondents believe the United States is “headed in the right direction,””
Well, can anyone say that logically? Nothing to do with Trump. The whole world is not headed in the right direction. The driver is the Chinese virus, now.
biased sample weighting
shy Trump voters and
registered vs. likely voters
....you can generally count on a 10 point swing from what's reported.
NPR Battleground Map: Hillary Clinton Solidifies Lead Against Donald Trump
August 16, 20165:05 AM ET
Heard on Morning Edition