Again, this is why I quit doing polls. F&M was among the absolute WORST in 2016 up there with Quinnipiac.
Yet in last two weeks we have
1) Both Trafalgar and Baris, the only two pollsters getting PA (and the 2016 election right) say Trump is ahead Baris) by 2 or down 1 (Trafalgar), yet the head of Trafalgar yesterday said Trump would win PA.
2) We have had the guru of all leftist polling, Nate Cohn at 538 saying if the election were held today, Trump would win.
3) We have many, many sources more than just Trafalgar and Baris saying that the Trump voter this time around is almost impossible to count.
4) PA voter registration has seen Rs shave 100,000 of Ds since 2016.
5) And I haven’t even started on the incredibly high (for an R) black approval of Trump 16-26%, but as high as 41% in Rasmussen, or the astounding crash in student voting (down 1 to 1.5m due to no colleges being opened).
In short, the actual evidence we have (higher R registration), more difficulty polling Rs suggests just the opposite of F&M, that Trump will win.
“Again, this is why I quit doing polls. F&M was among the absolute WORST in 2016 up there with Quinnipiac.”
This might explain why, from article:
“The poll was done July 20-26 and includes responses from 667 registered voters in Pennsylvania, including 314 Democrats, 267 Republicans and 87 independents.”
Registered voter poll, plus a little special sauce to produce a fake Biden lead.
Your professional analysis of all these election tea leaves is extremely important, LS.
It’s amazing how noticeable and significant one small light can be in contrast to all the FAKE NEWS darkness.
Please keep it coming!