Posted on 04/02/2020 9:56:02 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday is here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3830614/posts?q=1&;page=1
HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — Two CVS stores in the Houston area shut down this week after three employees tested positive for COVID-19. Officials from CVS said they were informed that one employee at its W. Fuqua Street location and two employees at their location on Kirby Drive tested positive for coronavirus.
“we should do it every two days”
Are you referencing the archival links?
If so, I agree.
I have read you can see when the cuts or insertions were made.
You are amazing!
our grocers are also limiting people in the store. Including Costco now.
that’s what i’m sayin’.
my best to you and yours :)
I could have sworn you just posted something to the opposite...
I agree. Mutations are random and not uniform. Virus don’t have brains, and so can’t know when their host is at the die or live point until they ‘look around’ and see, hey, no more cells to infect, uh oh, dead host. Find another one.
I’d say what ‘mutates’ is our immune system. Want to kill me? Fat chance buddy watch this trick! Sometimes our immune system can’t mutate fast enough, tho. Especially with a virus like this that attacks so many systems at once.
dude, you just ate waaay to many brownies
Thanks for the links. I’d like to add one of my favorite flashbacks:
January 26, 2020
Government health agency official (Dr.Anthony Fauci): “Coronavirus ‘isn’t something the American public need to worry about”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3811054/posts
Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), said Sunday the American public shouldn’t worry about the coronavirus outbreak in China.
“It’s a very, very low risk to the United States,” Fauci said during an interview with radio show host John Catsimatidis.
Fauci goes on to say they we can monitor all travelers that come in from China to prevent the spread.
This was a few weeks before Fauci started quoting the Imperial Model saying 2-4 million Americans may die if we don’t shut down the American Economy and require social distancing.
Now after Trump’s actions, Fauci’s new model is 100,000-200,000 dead Americans from Covid-19, in the worse case scenario, and likely far less.
Yeah, then in a couple of days, Chris will be all well, and we’ll wonder just how the heck that happened.
In other words, I bet he doesn’t have it at all. He’s faking it.
You assume that I am relying on publically accessible data.
Nope. You’re reading into your biases.
Look at the total death rate in Italy, YOY. Tell me why 16x as many people are choosing to die this year than did on average for the prior decade - yet only 4 of the 16 are attributed to CCP-19. So what explains the 12x death rate from other causes? Occam’s Razor says they are undercounting CCP-19 deaths big time.
We have a 100% tested cohort to generate stats from. 55% asymptomatic. 25% mild. 15% serious. 5% critical. 1.8% of the cases are dead with 11% left to resolve. We have the entire cohort, so we know there can be no new infections and that 1.8% can not go down, only go up.
We know that the best we can expect is a 2% CFR. We also know that there is no mass of hidden asymptomatics or we’d have hotspots popping up all over the place. Well, we knew that, but since Exodus NYC (thanks, de Blasio!) the whole eastern seaboard is polluted. I pray people had the common sense to stay as far away from anybody from NYC as they could. But I expect to see surges all up and down the coast starting right about now.
Flu infects about 20% of the population every year. We get around 100 deaths per day from the flu during flu season. So far about 1% of the US population is infected with CCP-19 (we don’t have any way to get an exact number, the estimate is based on some very generous assumptions about the current confirmed case count). People are dying from CCP-19 at a pace of about 1,000 per day right now. 10 times the flu with 1% infection rate versus 20%. That’s pretty bad.
Our HCS is designed to handle a bad flu season, not 11 simultaneous flu seasons.
Some definitions for you, so we will all be talking the same language. Case Fatality Rate is deaths over (deaths plus recovered). Deaths-to-Cases Ratio is deaths/(total cases).
The DCR and CFR converge as cases resolve. That 1.8% is the DCR for that cohort referenced above. The CFR is currently 2.1%. They’ll meet somewhere in between, barring a surprise spike in deaths among the unresolved cases.
In other populations the DCR and CFR don’t necessarily meet in the middle. In some cases they can both go below or above the range if a large number of cases are discovered. That is what will happen in NYS and NYC most likely. The CFR and DCR for the state of NY (currently at 75% (yes, 75%) and 2.7% respectively) should converge below that 2.7% as long as NY holds its HCS together. And that is without any cures or treatments beyond what we have, so we can hope for better numbers than that. But that is optimistic until they actually do it.
6075 US deaths now
2929 of those, or 48%, have come in the last 3 days
https://youtu.be/wXTJBr9tt8Q. Yesterday
Panic-Buying Erupts Across China, Prompting Food Shortage Concerns
Public data above.
I know you are not accessing public data for information- yours matches mine in many ways. Western thought understands China as well as it does the Middle East. Tribal thoughts evade western logic.
“I’m asking why do you guys keep repeating that it is the death rate?”
When ever the FluBros invade the threads and post (often times completely bogus) stats they (often times deliberately) conflate the definitions. It simply isn’t worth the time to correct the terminology (even though I just posted such to you) and as long as we all know what ratios we’re talking about, we only have to sort out the occasional new reader.
Basically, the FluBros keep trying to (deliberately) muddle things up and most people can’t be bothered to straighten them out.
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