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I thought this would be interesting, if accurate. In addition, with a total of 1,290 cases and the population for Fifty states + D.C. being 328,239,523, then is an infection rate of 0.000393 correct?
1 posted on 03/12/2020 4:59:50 PM PDT by daniel1212
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To: daniel1212

It’s tooooo hard.


2 posted on 03/12/2020 5:01:56 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: daniel1212

PA now has 22 cases. That works out to be 0.0001718483%


3 posted on 03/12/2020 5:05:11 PM PDT by RubinBoomer (Wash your hands and keep your fingers out of your orifices. Go on with life.)
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To: daniel1212

Bottom line, we should move to Alaska :-)


4 posted on 03/12/2020 5:05:36 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: daniel1212

Some official in Ohio said 100,000 people likely have it there.

It’s a serious issue, this virus, but shouldn’t there be piles of corpses SOMEWHERE in the US if millions have it and may have had it for more than a month now?

Maybe it’s just getting started I dunno.

I guess we shall see.


5 posted on 03/12/2020 5:06:19 PM PDT by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point fingers at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin to make ends meet)
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To: daniel1212

You can’t talk rationally with hysterical people, can’t be done. Give it a couple of weeks, when they and their loved ones realize they are still alive they will listen then.


6 posted on 03/12/2020 5:06:48 PM PDT by JoSixChip (I'm an American Nationalist)
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To: daniel1212

RE: I thought this would be interesting, if accurate. In addition, with a total of 1,290 cases and the population for Fifty states + D.C. being 328,239,523, then is an infection rate of 0.000393 correct?

Yes, but you cannot assume that all the table column numbers will be static like the first two columns.

The third column will be INCREASING in number for each row as more testing continues. Hence, the numbers in the fourth row will be increasing too.


8 posted on 03/12/2020 5:07:46 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: daniel1212
-- then is an infection rate of 0.000393 correct? --

Unlikely that low. Plus there is no data on infection there. Only test rate (how many tests taken), and death rate (either per population, or per positive test).

9 posted on 03/12/2020 5:08:13 PM PDT by Cboldt
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To: daniel1212

One one hundredth of one percent. So far so good.


10 posted on 03/12/2020 5:10:49 PM PDT by sanjuanbob (Yes, I CAN take a joke /s)
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To: daniel1212

The number infected figures are wrong.


11 posted on 03/12/2020 5:11:49 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: daniel1212

This evening, our Democrat Fear-Mongering (Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste!) Governor had decided that Wisconsin is NOT Open For Business and has cancelled just about everything the rest of us hold dear: The HS Boys Basketball Tournament!

Also, Beau and I are no longer kissing.

We are doing an elbow bump or a hip-bump. Just to be safe. ;)

Good Golly, the USA has gone INSANE!


12 posted on 03/12/2020 5:12:04 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'hobbies.' I'm developing a robust post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: daniel1212

“I thought this would be interesting, if accurate. In addition, with a total of 1,290 cases and the population for Fifty states + D.C. being 328,239,523, then is an infection rate of 0.000393 correct?”

not quite, as you left out two zeroes: the infection rate is 0.00000393.


13 posted on 03/12/2020 5:12:23 PM PDT by IWONDR
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To: daniel1212

Should I worry? Would it help?


14 posted on 03/12/2020 5:12:39 PM PDT by READINABLUESTATE
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To: daniel1212

And as Rush pointed out, 26 of the 38 deaths so far in the US were in one building in Seattle. That leaves 12 dead among 328,000,000 people. There are more living Daytona 500 winners than that. What are your odds of winning the Daytona 500? Higher than of dying of Covid-19 (outside of that Seattle nursing home).


17 posted on 03/12/2020 5:15:38 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: daniel1212

Brian Williams will tell you there’s something like a million Coronavirus cases for each American, plus change.


18 posted on 03/12/2020 5:16:11 PM PDT by Telepathic Intruder
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To: daniel1212

Seems calls or visits to doctor for “flu/virus” would be better as a denominator...or maybe separate them.


20 posted on 03/12/2020 5:17:23 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: daniel1212

driving you crazy is it?


29 posted on 03/12/2020 5:26:18 PM PDT by Pollard (If you don't understand what I typed, you haven't read the classics.)
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To: daniel1212

I find when the percentages are really small it’s hard for most people to comprehend what that small number means. Much easier to analyse the results if you view on an infected person per per the population. For us here in Texas that would be 1:1360756

So, not many. When it gets to be 1:1000 then there is a big problem. Let’s see how it goes from here.


30 posted on 03/12/2020 5:26:33 PM PDT by PeatownPaul (Engineer's moto: It's working, let's fix it)
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To: daniel1212

california is .000315178% 139 devided by over 39500000 people.


31 posted on 03/12/2020 5:29:46 PM PDT by oldenuff35 (-)
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To: daniel1212
...with a total of 1,290 cases and the population for...

Tell me again how many people in the US have actually been tested to see if they have the Corona virus. I seem to have missed the number in your post above...

32 posted on 03/12/2020 5:35:38 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: daniel1212

Infectious diseases spread according to an exponential function. That means that during the initial phases of the spread, the number of cases is barely even noticeable. But as the number of cases grows, the spread becomes faster.

The R0 of Covid-19 is around 2.5. Thus, one case might infect two or three others, so now there are 3 or 4 cases. Each of those new cases infects on average 2.5 more, so now there are 8 or more cases. With exponential growth, it does not take long for every susceptible person in the population to be infected. Since no one has preexisting immunity to Covid-19, we can assume that most people are susceptible.

I am amazed at the number of people who do not understand how infectious diseases are transmitted, the characteristics of pandemic capable viruses, or what exponential growth is. We should not panic, but we also should not dismiss this because there are currently very few cases as a function of the population. The people who shrug this off are the ones who will end up spreading it, because they did not take the warnings and precautions seriously enough to take any infection control measures.


33 posted on 03/12/2020 5:36:00 PM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
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