Thanks CedarDave.
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KEYWORDS: catastrophism; globalwarminghoax; maunderminimum; valentinazharkova
Posted on 07/08/2019 3:18:24 PM PDT by CedarDave
Abstract:
Recently discovered long-term oscillations of the solar background magnetic field associated with double dynamo waves generated in inner and outer layers of the Sun indicate that the solar activity is heading in the next three decades (2019–2055) to a Modern grand minimum similar to Maunder one.
On the other hand, a reconstruction of solar total irradiance suggests that since the Maunder minimum there is an increase in the cycle-averaged total solar irradiance (TSI) by a value of about 1–1.5 Wm−2 closely correlated with an increase of the baseline (average) terrestrial temperature.
In order to understand these two opposite trends, we calculated the double dynamo summary curve of magnetic field variations backward one hundred thousand years allowing us to confirm strong oscillations of solar activity in regular (11 year) and recently reported grand (350–400 year) solar cycles caused by actions of the double solar dynamo. In addition, oscillations of the baseline (zero-line) of magnetic field with a period of 1950 ± 95 years (a super-grand cycle) are discovered by applying a running averaging filter to suppress large-scale oscillations of 11 year cycles. Latest minimum of the baseline oscillations is found to coincide with the grand solar minimum (the Maunder minimum) occurred before the current super-grand cycle start. Since then the baseline magnitude became slowly increasing towards its maximum at 2600 to be followed by its decrease and minimum at ~3700.
These oscillations of the baseline solar magnetic field are found associated with a long-term solar inertial motion about the barycenter of the solar system and closely linked to an increase of solar irradiance and terrestrial temperature in the past two centuries.
This trend is anticipated to continue in the next six centuries that can lead to a further natural increase of the terrestrial temperature by more than 2.5 °C by 2600.
(Excerpt) Read more at nature.com ...
In the immediate future (2019-2055) temperatures globally will decrease causing colder winters and cooler summers leading to shorter growing seasons. However, in the long term temperatures will increase by 2.6 degrees Celsius by the year 2600 when they will decrease again. The increase is natural and not a result of human activities whose impact was not considered in preparing the paper.
A YouTube presentation of the paper with discussion and questions for those less scientifically oriented can be found at this link:
Grand Solar Minimum Interview with Valentina Zharkova June 27, 2019
.... looking for my Goebbels pic.
Also, please see my earlier post back in January:
Amidst Global Warming Hysteria, NASA Expects Global Cooling
Sunspots have been no existent for a while and there is a 2-3 year lag, the Cooling will begin next year.
I say as soon as it starts Everybody File Lawsuits against every member of the Global Warming Religion and Asset Strip them into Homelessness.
Wow...just Wow!
“double dynamo waves”
I think that was the motivation behind the Commodore’s “Brick House”.
Looks like the climate catastrophe crowd accidentally let
some real science get out.
This is, in fact, what to expect from actual cycles we actually know something about.
Here is a good collection of climate change stuff, of the
flavor we don’t get to see enough of, because of politicians
deliberately ignoring clear simple facts from real
scientists, then repeatedly summarizing dogma and hogwash
“facts” they are relying on.
Warmists Stunned by Roger Pielke in Senate Testimony on Climate Change
https://youtu.be/oN_oynx1D8w
Mark Steyn vs Michael Mann, Climate Change: The Facts, Keynote 4, ICCC10
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6bARjABDqok
Mark Steyn rebukes democrats in climate hearing:
‘You’re effectively enforcing a state ideology’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bTM13sI2BFQ
A Dearth of Carbon (w/ Dr. Patrick Moore, environmentalist)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjlmFr4FMvI
Patrick Moore – The Sensible Environmentalist
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFHX526NPbE
World in midst of Carbon Drought
(W/Prof. William Happer, Princeton University
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-9UlF8hkhs
Corruption Of The US Temperature Record:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kUAtt2pXlc
The Experts Explain the Global Warming Myth: John Coleman:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AA3OA_2S4QY
25 NASA Scientists Question the Sanity of the Global Warmists:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhW-B2udhQw
Dr. William Happer, PH.D., Keynote 3, ICCC10:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXB5rR9JfKk
Mark Steyn’s Stand Against Climate Alarmism:
In-Depth with the Climate Crybully Conniption-Inducer
The Science Isn’t Settled: A response to the
Climate Change Crybullies.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4AADScyWwg&list=PLiXsuqQE1Fcy9dy6oVQURTwTERqRcSdJO
Climatologist David Legates - More CO2 is Good
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lOsmfAO2Gs
The above two documents found at co2science.org give
absolute lie to the claims that “climate change” is a
potential disaster that must be addressed by government
action.
Anyone that actually pays attention to real scientists
realizes that if one thinks CO2 is an issue, the first thing
to figure out is...
What is the OPTIMUM CO2 level for us and our planet?
Real science suggests that optimum plant and animal growth
would put that somewhere around TWICE what we have today.
In fact, mining deep ocean hydrates and carbonates for
carbon will likely become necessary at some point in the
distant future, before “we” have too little CO2 for life
should “we” never learn how to live independent of this planet.
https://youtu.be/M_yqIj38UmY
Professor Valentina Zharkova: The Solar Magnet Field and the Terrestrial Climate
https://youtu.be/2WaU_NJfKOE Meteorologist David Dilley breaks down why ‘Climate Change’ means “Global Cooling”
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11207-019-1447-1
A Model of a Tidally Synchronized Solar Dynamo
~Easy
MAGA
Not that I can actually comment on her science. That math is way out of my league.
But the reason I'm applauding her, is that she has been forced out symposia and run into roadblocks to publishing, simply because she persuasively argues a paradigm for global temperature fluctuation which is in no way connected to runaway fertility in Manhattan or Madagascar, Northern Hemisphere air conditioning in August, or ruminant flatulence.
But she keeps churning out the meticulous solar data. You go, girl.
YOURS is the only post I have understood so far :)
You won’t need your Goebbels pic with this one. Unlike the alarmists Zharkova has a scientific theory.
Unlike them, she has back-tested the theory before making any projections for the future. No alarmist models have succeeded in doing this.
Unlike the alarmists, her theory has a measurable basis for its content. The alarmists have models whose basis is a short time of measurements of temperatures which have to be massaged to make the models fit.
Zharkova’s work represents testable science.
Don’t give me any of that pseudo science. Humans have angered the Earth goddess with their craven carbon excesses, and the polar bears have to suffer for it.
Duh!
One of the YouTube comments put it this way that explains the complexity:
The grand cycle is not a solar cycle, it is an orbital cycle superimposed on the the solar cycle. Complicated business.
This article was published in Nature, a well-respected peer-reviewed journal. If other competent scientists review it, hopefully it will begin a change in the way climate change is presented, first in the scientific community and then in lay society. But "warmist" thinking is set in concrete, especially in education, and the political left who see it as a way to gaining power. And in the university system, change is very much opposed as it threatens those whose lifetime of research and publishing is of man-made climate change.
Ya gotta feel for the scientists who researched and wrote this. All the work, all the thought, all the meticulous effort to ensure it is perfect and ready for their peers to critique and review, then use this ground breaking research as citation in their works, explaining the cosmos, stellar physics, and solar climatology. And then, crickets. No one will cite them, no one will critique them, praise them, or even acknowledge them, thus reinforcing the threat of banishment or ostracization for daring to challenge the “consensus”.
Duh. You cannot correlate average land temp to solar irradiance dingbats. Atmospheric land temperatures are insiginificant across density when compared to ocean temps. And you have to measure the entire ocean. All depths. You are not even close to that capability.
Way cool !
I was starting to wonder what I was going to read Tomorrow Morning while eating My Sugar Frosted Flakes. I finished the Help the Polar Bear save his Friends from Gorebull Warming’s Effect game on the back of the Cereal Box.
Thank You,
CedarDave
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