Posted on 04/21/2016 8:20:11 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd
Before we begin debunking, lets start with the obvious: It was undoubtedly a good night for Trump and unsurprisingly so, as NRs Henry Olsen predicted on election eve.
Trump looks to have taken 90 delegates and 60 percent of the vote, somewhat better than projections, although most election-eve forecasts had him taking at least 85 or so of New Yorks 95 delegates (Olsen had him pegged for 87).
But despite his victory, Trump got only a very modest bump from New York last night. And despite the breathless TV and print commentary from our New Yorkcentered media, he still faces huge obstacles if he wants to get a sufficient number of delegates to be nominated on the first ballot. And if he is not nominated on the first ballot, given Cruzs wildly successful delegate strategy, it is unlikely he will be nominated at all.
In fact, according to the analysis of the widely-respected 538.com, Trump actually fell just short of the number of delegates he needed in New York to put himself on the path to the magic number of 1,237.
And, though he should have a good week next week when Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote, he will need a New Yorklevel performance, not just a victory, if he wants to substantially improve his nomination odds.
New York and the five states voting next Tuesday are all part of the Democrats blue wall. Democrats have won all of these states in each of the last six elections. Only one of these states (Pennsylvania) has given more than 45 percent of its vote to the GOP candidate in any of the last six elections. New York and Rhode Island have never even given 40 percent to GOP candidates during this time.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
At this point, positions have so hardened that opinions here are not likely to change. Mr. Trump clearly has an advantage but the race is not over. There must be a vote in the convention before anyone can be the nominee. If the convention selects a nominee on the first ballot, Mr. Trump is almost certain to win, but if it goes to a second ballot, all bets are off.
Regarding the Wisconsin and New York votes, there is one interesting point. New York has close to 3 1/2 times the population of Wisconsin yet the winner of the republican primary in New York received less total votes than the winner of the Wisconsin republican primary. When it comes to the general election, which of these traditional democrat states is more likely to end up in the republican column.
I can’t believe it was a Congressman(?) who flew down there. Got killed, too, I think.
Congressman Leo Ryan. He may have been a ‘RAT but from what I recall, he wasn’t necessarily a bad guy. Was concerned for his constituents, and in an odd twist of fate and dodging a bullet, he had invited his close friend Dan Quayle to accompany him on that trip, and Quayle was unable to go.
wow
It was a bleep a few minutes ago on Rush Limbaugh—right at the start I think he said it originated on NBC network. I have been warming to Trump (please don’t let anyone know) but this bugs me. thanks for your kind words.
We called Jerry Brown “Governor Moonbeam” way back in the 70’s. Only California would be psycho enough to bring him back!
Now he says illegal immigrants can vote. Lock the SOB up!
Let’s all have a Canadian Club on the rocks in honor of Ryan.
The article...yet another infectious, eruptive, drip, designed to contaminiate the heart, soul, and mind of decent, gentle people who love this country, seeking to salvage it from filthy pustules intent to destroy it.
And you are still as dumb as a rock.
Lol, thanks for clearing that up. It’s the Great Pumpkin.
"Our lives, our souls and our sacred honor, in devoted service to our glorious celestial Emperor Cruz! BANZAAAAAIIIIIIIII -- !!!"
No problem! I’m very tired of the infighting just because we support different candidates. God Bless!
The NR has gotten to the point where none of its contributors even pass the giggle test anymore.
The delusions run strong over there
And those folks who post such comments probably haven’t watch Trump over the years as he worked behind the scenes for Ronald Reagan or read either of his two policy books one from 2000 and one from 2011.
It is easy to throw names around and to suggest that someone who doesn’t support a person’s favorite candidate is of low information or low intelligence. That usually comes from the left. I guess this year the circle is completed and it comes from both ends
That is not the only thing in Trump’s tax plan...His rational for taxing the uber wealthy (he cites hedge fund folks) certain’y has a place in the debate. The rest of his economic policy and tax plan is most excellent.
“Too few Americans are working, too many jobs have been shipped overseas, and too many middle class families cannot make ends meet. This tax plan directly meets these challenges with four simple goals:
Tax relief for middle class Americans: In order to achieve the American dream, let people keep more money in their pockets and increase after-tax wages.
Simplify the tax code to reduce the headaches Americans face in preparing their taxes and let everyone keep more of their money.
Grow the American economy by discouraging corporate inversions, adding a huge number of new jobs, and making America globally competitive again.
Doesnt add to our debt and deficit, which are already too large.
The Trump Tax Plan Achieves These Goals”
Read more at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/tax-reform
He died doing what he loved best: managing the Cruz 2016 campaign. ;)
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