Posted on 04/21/2016 8:20:11 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd
Before we begin debunking, lets start with the obvious: It was undoubtedly a good night for Trump and unsurprisingly so, as NRs Henry Olsen predicted on election eve.
Trump looks to have taken 90 delegates and 60 percent of the vote, somewhat better than projections, although most election-eve forecasts had him taking at least 85 or so of New Yorks 95 delegates (Olsen had him pegged for 87).
But despite his victory, Trump got only a very modest bump from New York last night. And despite the breathless TV and print commentary from our New Yorkcentered media, he still faces huge obstacles if he wants to get a sufficient number of delegates to be nominated on the first ballot. And if he is not nominated on the first ballot, given Cruzs wildly successful delegate strategy, it is unlikely he will be nominated at all.
In fact, according to the analysis of the widely-respected 538.com, Trump actually fell just short of the number of delegates he needed in New York to put himself on the path to the magic number of 1,237.
And, though he should have a good week next week when Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote, he will need a New Yorklevel performance, not just a victory, if he wants to substantially improve his nomination odds.
New York and the five states voting next Tuesday are all part of the Democrats blue wall. Democrats have won all of these states in each of the last six elections. Only one of these states (Pennsylvania) has given more than 45 percent of its vote to the GOP candidate in any of the last six elections. New York and Rhode Island have never even given 40 percent to GOP candidates during this time.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Those 4 words say it all.
They say a lot.
ANATHEMA, gopE, neocons, what else? /trump hysteria
didn’t you get the memo? trump=good; anyone who is not pro-Trump=antichrist.
Read more at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/tax-reform
The idea that Trump cannot win in some of the States where he is crushing his Party opposition, because they are supposed to be permanently Democratic--what is implied by the misuse of the term "blue," now so prevalent--is pure fantasy. One of the many factors being basically overlooked, is the contemporary American fascination with "celebrities." (An obvious case in point, would be the successful "Arnold" foray into a California election, some years back.)
Moreover, much of the Trump phenomenon relates to issues that cut as strongly in Democratic circles as in Republican--such as outsourcing jobs, etc.. Donald can greatly increase his support by simply explaining the fallacies inherent in "macro economic" analysis, which both the Democrats and inside the Beltway Republicans regularly engage in.
Terrible writing, to think that National Review was actually once a decent credible mag.
lol
NR is unhinged, nothing they write holds any weight as they’ve sold themselves. Pity
Of all of the publications that have lost all credibility this season, I’m sorriest about the once great, now simply tawdry, NR. RIP.
Bill Buckley is twisting in the grave over most of the crap you print.Bill Buckley would never have responded to a burning house by calling for an arsonist.
Hardly. Trump will be a great president.
I don’t get it. Trump took Jeb’s likability down to zero in a couple of months.. these people don’t think he can bring Hillary down a few notches?
Both Hillary and Trump have 100% name id - there is little Trump can say about Hillary that is not already priced in. Same thing about Trump. The problem is Trump starts out down by double digits, and has little opportunity to improve those numbers just by attacking.
Can you help a brother out?
Vote Trump!
Hardly. Trump will be a great president.A man (or womanperson---hello, Hilarious Rodent Clinton!) who either a) knows little to nothing about the Constitution or b) would flout it willingly based on his (her) public remarks on the trail to date will be anything but a great president.
After one Clinton presidency, two terms of Bush II (and his good-for-nothing-but-metastasising-big-government Republican Congress), and two regimes of His Excellency Al-Hashish Field Marshmallow Dr. Barack Obama Dada, COD, RIP, LSMFT, Would-Have-Been-Life-President of the Republic Formerly Known as the United States (and his god-for-nothing-but-metastasising-big-government Congresses, Damnocrat and Republican't alike), I've about had a bellyful of presidents (and Congresses) who know as much about the Constitution (and upholding it) as a platypus knows about needlepoint.
Yes, they're the reason the house is on fire.
But you still don't trust fighting the fire to an arsonist. Which looks to be what our choice for November will be, barring some unforeseen political awakening or miracle.
A new reply Did you know Cruz got more votes in Wisconsin (531,129) than Trump got in NY (531,129) where is the media on that???
And imagine if Cruz got 90% of the delegates with only 60% of the vote?
Trump would “sue”. And the fanbois would be all in a rage.
Right and the Trumpsters can’t stand these facts. Why was a comparison of these states done on the media. The never said a word about Cruz having any momentum. before NY all they did was talk about Trump.
Jerry Brown met with Jim Jones? How bizarre even for the Moonbeam.
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