Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
The DH is something they are not accustomed to. If anything you should make that guy a second lead off type.
You know when you go to a ballpark and order nachos and they come out with Velvita? That’s Taco Bell. Very cheap commercial Mejican food.
What are the stories?
rofl
I guess it’s pretty good at 2:00 AM
Could be, always on a night when I have to get up early for work. ;-D
Has anybody ever been in a Taco Bell? I see them everywhere but never went in one before. Are their margaritas any good?
Lester is a cancer survivor and Cook came back from blood clots in his lungs
That may not always be a attractive trait.
Unless they find them in strange places and find it cute. ;-D
Plus I have a business dinner tomorrow night and I'd rather not cancel it.
5 GB outs from this pitcher. Sox are not willing to work deep into the counts to try and get a mistake.
He’s got 19 pitches through 2 innings.
Thanks.
It’s early. They’ll be more patient.
I believe everyone can get a free taco on tuesday from 2-5PM. You just know theres gonna be some soccer mom in her minivan wanting to order a dozen free tacos.
The need to try and elevate the ball a bit but Cook is making his pitches.
LOL...I thought there was an actual bug on my laptop.
They didn’t take long to put a crooked number up tonight.
The only sport where salary controls works is the NFL. You build a quality baseball team through the minor leagues and the right mix of veterans.
The most notable exception was the ‘01 D-backs.
Man did you see that Botox momma in the stands?
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