Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
I forgot that line!!! This gal has been around for a few years. Was a big homer for the Yankees back in 2003 and 2004.
Hooah.
Colorado sure can pick better singers than Boston.
BIG GRIN, followed by a resounding NO! :)
I don’t know. I hear that if the series goes back to Boston they will have Dropkick Murphys doing the National Anthem.
I saw Trisha sing the national anthem at a Braves game once.
One's man's prick is another man's view of one that is opinionated.
All depends.
I live in Connecticut so considering the subject I will refrain from making any judgment.
That said, let's try to keep in the spirit of a baseball thread, we may not have much longer to talk about it.
Go Sox!!!
I’m still cringing from Boyz II Men during the 7th inning stretch in game 2.
I’ve learned- I walk the dogs during the stretch:)
Good evening.
Taking a breath after the Pats.
Looks like it could be quite a memorable day for us Boston fans,
Good luck Rock fans.
**********
T Yearwood nailed the Anthem,most of the time
I wince through them.
That was excellent.
...plus if it ends tonight no Tim McCarver till next April. Yeah!!!
Same here... I can't stand Taylor's WIMPY version of our National Anthem.
Amen, I cooked dinner, the kids are ready for bed and my wife is cleaning up the mess. ;-D
Let's enjoy the game!
JT is a big lefty, like Tom Werner.
Oh my husband and I sang choir in HS (he was All State soloist all 4 yrs) so we are absolutely BRUTAL on people singing the Anthem.
Hmmm... that would be... interesting. ;-)
Sink's full of dishes, kids are back at my ex-wife's, and just had a drive through Mickey D's double cheeseburger for dinner.
Takes all kinds!
:-D
I wonder what gimmick McCarver will give us tonight. Last night, it was Sergeant Major Varitek. I’m waiting here with bated breath....
I can't stand the Red Sox owners personally, but I'm grateful to them for finally giving us a World Series-caliber team (2004 and 2007), and for saving beautiful Fenway Park - built in 1912 - rather than razing it for some soul-less glitzy new 55,000-seat "stadium" that looks like all the other new stadiums.
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