Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Did it to Manny,got beat there too.
What’s with the Taco Bell commercial? The guy doesn’t take his own advice, and seems sheepish when found out. It makes no sense to me.
Well, I will still try to score my free taco this week!
Damn, I was going to say that!
Let’s go Lester!!!
Ugh, any team but the Yankees in the World Series. Even if we were watching the Cleveland Indians vs the Rockies right now, I'd still be fairly happy, knowing that the Yanks season was over, and I wouldn't have to listen to endless gloating around here in Connecticut by Yankee fans.
I’m glad to see that the Colorado fans brought their hankies again.
LOL!
You obviously are not familiar with the “stupid white male” that is so much in vogue in today’s media.
I guess Taco Bell isn’t worried about people following the punchline.
This ends tonight, lol.
How about the 2 kids pitching? They both overcame some hurdles to even be here.
That's why I have the sound down while I listen to last thursday's Rush Limbaugh show on my Rush 24/7.
I'm a single guy. I always have dishes in the sink. I have them trucked in specially and placed strategically in the sink to keep up the bachelor image.
Women dig it - they think I need to be "taken care of."
Great lesson for us all. Perseverance.
First I couldn't figure out why all those fans in Cleveland were French and now Colorado, what do they do, commute?
That’s a good idea. I might go stream a Mark Levin show I missed. At least I’ll have some thoughtful commentary.
No, they float like lil fairies.
1-2-3!
I was mystified by his batting the DH 9th in the order. That's bizarre. If your batting the DH 9th then the available hitters must not be that good.
Has anybody ever been in a Taco Bell? I see them everywhere but never went in one before. Are their margaritas any good? I like the silver patron margaritas at On The Border.
“First I couldn’t figure out why all those fans in Cleveland were French and now Colorado, what do they do, commute?”
In all seriousness—when I first saw the hanky waving during yesterday’s pregame, I thought it was tape of Cleveland. I then saw that they were wearing Rockies shirts..
How do you trust a guy whose hats bobs up and down as he chews gum?
That is just wrong.
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