Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Yum Yum....I cooked up London Broil steak and the last piece of my Apple Pie.
I agree. Without them, we’d be watching the Yanks or someone else playing in the WS.
I’m glad to see that the Colorado fans brought their hankies again.
First nail in tonight’s coffin.
Yeah, first start since Aug. What the HELL was Colorado thinking?
I guess civility isn’t one of your virtues and neither is awareness of the facts. The Red Sox and especially the Yankees subsidize teams like the Brewers with “revenue sharing” and “luxury taxes” which is nothing more than forced transfer payments from one business entity to another. After he became commissioner Selig had the team placed in a family trust so he has no say over the team’s direct operations. However, the fact that the Brewers get money from big market under an agreement that he championed as a way to create more parity in the game. He benefited from that policy until the team was sold.
My timeline was off so I acknowledge my error.
I agree,bunch of shmucks.
Team is working though.
BiNgo..JACoBY...
sOX SHOULD KEEP THAT GUY,EH?
hEH
darn cap lock
McCarver was totally wrong on that call at Home Plate last night. Manny was out and the umpire was making the out call it was just a delayed arm cocking motion.
That was easy! 1-0 Sox
Ortiz singles home Ellsbury, 1-0 Sox.
Here we go!
McCarver talks to viewers like Algore talks to his gullible audiences.
Let’s guess how many innings this guy will last. I’d say no more than 3.
First blood!
Had the infield in for David..
wassup wit daT?
I have not been impressed with Clint Hurdle as a manager. He makes some very odd moves.
He got his first DP of the game on a smash by Manny.
Takes all kinds!
:-D"
You can't even blame dinner on the dishes in the sink!
This game may be worthless to watch unless you’re a Soxs fan.
ellsbury is going to score on just about anything save for a rocket shot to Tulips the SS. You have to just eat that run and move on.
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