Posted on 09/24/2004 4:37:54 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!!
Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nation's military who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY #73
DISCUSSION
...IVAN WELL INLAND...
IVAN has moved inland and is weakening.
The LP center is forecast to move to near Houston, and then turn to the SW paralleling the coast.
It is possible that on Monday, IVAN will turn to the SE and re-enter the Gulf, if the LP center has not dissipated.
Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches may be expected in association with IVAN which can cause life-threatening flash floods.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[There are no tropical storm watches or warnings in effect for IVAN.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET / 4 AM CT (0900Z)
Location: 30.2N by 94.4W, or 35 miles NW of Port Arthur, TX.
Vector: NW at 8 MPH. A turn to the west and a decrease in slower speed is expected over the next 24 hours.
Winds: 30 MPH. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 1009 MB or 29.80"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: N/A.
Anticipated landfall time: IVAN has made landfall.
Anticipated landfall location: IVAN has made landfall.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
SLOSH DATA
[IVAN has made landfall.]
TOD DATA
[IVAN has made landfall.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[None at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
[IVAN has made landfall.]
At an Arizona fundraiser, Teresa predicted that The Evil One would be captured before the election.
She also said she was embarrassed to receive tax cuts from the Bush Administration. (But the real question is whether she sent a check to the Treasury returning them--bet she didn't!)
Oil has reached $49/bbl.
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
Your Mom will be fine, Dog. It sounds like her doc is really on top of it. Prayers continue for all involved.
Take care, Guennie! This is just too crazy.
OK....she will continue to be in my prayers!!
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE MOVING TOWARD FLORIDA...
JEANNE is moving west. The storm should begin to recurve starting at about VT forecast plus 48 hours.
Unfortunately, the storm will have reached very near the Florida coast by then.
From sundown tonight to sundown tomorrow is Yom Kipper. Jewish people may not be listening to radio and TV. Please try and keep them aware of the progress of JEANNE.
Note that the path of JEANNE is such that even though the landfall is in northern Florida, on the forecast track the effects of the storm's severity will be felt from Ft. Lauderdale, FL, to Kitty Hawk, NC.
JEANNE will likely be a category III at landfall.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
AT 5 AM THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS, INCLUDING THE ABACOS, ANDROS ISLAND, BERRY ISLANDS, BIMIMI, ELEUTHERA, GRAND BAHAMA, AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
AT 5 AM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 5 AM THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 26.1N by 71.6W, or 340 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: W at 8 MPH. Some acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some slow strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 969 MB or 28.61"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 280 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: 3 AM, Monday, September 27, 2004.
Anticipated Landfall Location: Halfway between Flagler Beach and Ormond Beach, FL.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD location.]
SLOSH DATA
[SLOSH data have not yet been calculated for JEANNE.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Bahamas, and along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Massachusetts should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
That's hilarious. Now we can all be evil plotters! Mwa-ha! ; )
DISCUSSION
...KARL COMPLETING TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL STATUS...
KARL has been interacting with a baroclinic zone and there isn't any deep convection near a poorly organized and ragged center. This is indicative of the final phases of transition to becoming an extratropical storm.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (2100Z)
Location: 40.8N by 41.0W, or 770 miles WNW of the Azores.
Vector: N at 30 MPH. This motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Winds: 85 MPH 1-minute sustained. Little change in strength is likely over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 965 MB or 28.50"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 170 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 810 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of KARL is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Faroe Islands should monitor the progress of IVAN.
DISCUSSION
...LISA STARTING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...SHEAR RELAXING...
LISA has moved its center under some deep convection. Shear that has been working across the storm from the north is relaxing, so LISA may become better organized today. In 48 hours, another round of shearing will work on the cyclone, but probably not enough to weaken it.
LISA will follow a path similar to KARL and remain over open water.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 14.6N by 43.5W, or 1305 miles W of the Cape Verde Islands.
Vector: W at 10 MPH. A turn to the NW is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 35 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some strengthening is forecast over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 1003 MB or 29.62"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: N/A.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of LISA is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
LISA is only a threat to shipping at this time.
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE HEADING FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...THEN FLORIDA...
JEANNE continues west.
From sundown tonight to sundown tomorrow is Yom Kipper. Jewish people may not be listening to radio and TV. Please try and keep them aware of the progress of JEANNE.
Note that the path of JEANNE is such that even though the landfall is in northern Florida, on the forecast track the effects of the storm's severity will be felt from Ft. Lauderdale, FL, to Kitty Hawk, NC.
JEANNE will likely be a category III at landfall.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS, INCLUDING THE ABACOS, ANDROS ISLAND, BERRY ISLANDS, BIMIMI, ELEUTHERA, GRAND BAHAMA, AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 8 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 26.1N by 72.0W, or 315 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: W at 8 MPH. Some acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some slow strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 969 MB or 28.61"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 280 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: 3 AM, Monday, September 27, 2004.
Anticipated Landfall Location: Halfway between Flagler Beach and Ormond by the Sea, FL.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD location.]
SLOSH DATA
[SLOSH data have not yet been calculated for JEANNE.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Bahamas, and along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Massachusetts should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
IG...Makes you wonder about kerry's motive for canceling his appearance.
Guennie, prayers for wisdom and safety.
Molly, thanks for all the links, excellent as usual.
Dog, prayers continue for your mother.
Chairman, thanks for updating us on our weather conditions.
Why did Kerry switch to Iraq? If "the economy is falling" failed that doesn't leave much. Universal health care only appeals to those who do not have insurance. And most of the uninsured are people who do not vote or already vote for Democrats. There are no vote pickups for Democrats in that group.
Supporting the teachers union is not a winner. There are more parents than Teachers union members so that is out. Other social programs have no following. Good for student and good for the teachers union are mutually expclusive proposals. As we go through the possible issues all that is left is Iraq.
Why Kerry ignores the most basic principles used to defeat incumbents is a mystery to me. The first principle of defeating an incumbent is one must offer a better solution to the problems that face voters.
Think of it as someone trying to get an employee to leave his employer for them. Telling an employee how bad his employer is only works if the employee agrees. If the prospective employer fails to lay out better conditions, more opportunity, and better pay the recruiting effort will fail.
What it boils down to is Kerry is failing to offer a reason to vote for him. He is down to his base and Bush has his base and a significant hunk of the centrists.
What the Kerry attacks do is provide cover for Bush to refute the Kerry positions. There are so many inconsistencies in the Kerry pitch. As they are pointed out.. Kerry's support falls.
For example Kerry paints Iraq as a quagmire and then says he will get other nations to take over much of that quagmire. What are the chances of Kerry getting other nations to take our place the quagmire? The only logical answer, is it is not a quagmire. If it is a success then many nations will join us in our success. One of Kerry's two most recent assertions is a lie. In the past when Kerry's lies are revealed he has changed the subject. But even changing the subject will be seen as one more flip flop.
The only possible explanation for the Kerry strategy is that he is not very bright and thinks the voters are dumber than he is.
With the media credibility lost in just 60 minutes, there is little way for Kerry to get effective help from the media.
Kerry must be betting on the debates. They are the only 3 cards he has left. I suspect Kerry will drone on and on. I suspect that Bush will have a quiver full of devastating one liners that will eat Kerry's lunch. Kerry shows evidence of being uncoachable, and Bush is an order of magnitude better than he was in 2000.
I would not be surprised to see President Bush defeat both Kerry and the Media in this years debates.
I wonder if this moran is sitting in a cell at this moment.
Good Morning Everyone.
I just read the article where kerry says he was at the signing of the end of the Gulf war. I too wonder if he really was there. He's everywhere, he's everywhere. haha
Good morning.
I would love to know if kerry was in fact really there. Surely this can be proven??
How's the weather up your way?
Take care Guenie. You've had your share of inconvience this season.
He's morphing into Algore, without the personality...
I'm going to get ready to head over to the hospital....back later today..
Perhaps Kerry needs to reverse the situations in other states before he can bother with Iowa. It may that Kerry winning Iowa while losing where he is currently losing will result in certain defeat.
It may be a case of "Doomed Without" taking precedence over "Gotta Have"
I remember watching the first debate in 2000, and towards the beginning, Dubya looked kinda lost on a question, and saying to myself, "Oh no". Then he jockeyed out of it with a decent answer, and Algore's juvenile behavior and that 19th century mortician's makeup job did the rest. From that night, I knew we had it wrapped up.
Even though they say Ketchup Boy is a great closer(in Massachusetts), and they portray the President as an idiot, the new strategy is to downplay expectations for Cabana Boy next week. After weeks of telling us how great he's been in debates in Massachusetts, now they tell us he's the underdog in the debate. Which is it?
Actually, if I were on Dubya's SS detail, I'd be wary about Kerry trying to get in fisticuffs. That man is missing a can or two in his 6-pack. The Swifties unhinged him.
Our weather will turn to rain sometime today, according to what I've heard.
I think General Swartzkopf could tell us if kerry was at the signing.
Tancredo is a member of my church. It's huge and has 2 services, so I have never noticed him there. I was in his district (6th) until the redistricting due to the addition of the 7th District from the 2000 census. The 6th District was overwhelmingly Republican. Then a LIBERAL judge carved it up to make the 7th District using a very Gerrymandering technique, leaving no doubt, and I believe even admitted to drawing it up BASED ON POLITICAL BOUNDARIES, NOT GEOGRAPHIC BOUNDARIES! The Republicans took it to the Colorado Supreme Court, but lost :((.
The first election for the 7th District pitted our Bob Beauprez against the despicable, horrible clinton demoCRAT mike feely. feely brought about the first time I remember the phrase 'chicken hawk' surfacing nationally. I think it happened on Hugh Hewitt's show. I was listening at the time.
I forgot the total number of votes cast, but I remember it being on the order of a couple of HUNDRED THOUSAND. Beauprez had won by LESS THAN 200 VOTES. After a mandatory recount that I thought would never be finished, the results remained that Beauprez won by something around 150 votes. I just cannot contain my frustration that I live in a district with almost half of those that vote are so stupid they STILL believe the demoCRAT lie, just like my unfathomable frustration that I live in a country that some 40 MILLION voters STILL believe the demoCRAT lie.
Kerry throws a baseball like a girl. Kerry throws a football like a girl. Kerry would throw a punch like a girl.
The only down side of a physical attack by Kerry on President Bush is the president just might knock some sense into him..
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