Why did Kerry switch to Iraq? If "the economy is falling" failed that doesn't leave much. Universal health care only appeals to those who do not have insurance. And most of the uninsured are people who do not vote or already vote for Democrats. There are no vote pickups for Democrats in that group.
Supporting the teachers union is not a winner. There are more parents than Teachers union members so that is out. Other social programs have no following. Good for student and good for the teachers union are mutually expclusive proposals. As we go through the possible issues all that is left is Iraq.
Why Kerry ignores the most basic principles used to defeat incumbents is a mystery to me. The first principle of defeating an incumbent is one must offer a better solution to the problems that face voters.
Think of it as someone trying to get an employee to leave his employer for them. Telling an employee how bad his employer is only works if the employee agrees. If the prospective employer fails to lay out better conditions, more opportunity, and better pay the recruiting effort will fail.
What it boils down to is Kerry is failing to offer a reason to vote for him. He is down to his base and Bush has his base and a significant hunk of the centrists.
What the Kerry attacks do is provide cover for Bush to refute the Kerry positions. There are so many inconsistencies in the Kerry pitch. As they are pointed out.. Kerry's support falls.
For example Kerry paints Iraq as a quagmire and then says he will get other nations to take over much of that quagmire. What are the chances of Kerry getting other nations to take our place the quagmire? The only logical answer, is it is not a quagmire. If it is a success then many nations will join us in our success. One of Kerry's two most recent assertions is a lie. In the past when Kerry's lies are revealed he has changed the subject. But even changing the subject will be seen as one more flip flop.
The only possible explanation for the Kerry strategy is that he is not very bright and thinks the voters are dumber than he is.
With the media credibility lost in just 60 minutes, there is little way for Kerry to get effective help from the media.
Kerry must be betting on the debates. They are the only 3 cards he has left. I suspect Kerry will drone on and on. I suspect that Bush will have a quiver full of devastating one liners that will eat Kerry's lunch. Kerry shows evidence of being uncoachable, and Bush is an order of magnitude better than he was in 2000.
I would not be surprised to see President Bush defeat both Kerry and the Media in this years debates.
I remember watching the first debate in 2000, and towards the beginning, Dubya looked kinda lost on a question, and saying to myself, "Oh no". Then he jockeyed out of it with a decent answer, and Algore's juvenile behavior and that 19th century mortician's makeup job did the rest. From that night, I knew we had it wrapped up.
Even though they say Ketchup Boy is a great closer(in Massachusetts), and they portray the President as an idiot, the new strategy is to downplay expectations for Cabana Boy next week. After weeks of telling us how great he's been in debates in Massachusetts, now they tell us he's the underdog in the debate. Which is it?
Actually, if I were on Dubya's SS detail, I'd be wary about Kerry trying to get in fisticuffs. That man is missing a can or two in his 6-pack. The Swifties unhinged him.
Good rundown, as usual, about the sKerry campaign now. That sKerry has to work on his base now has to be a great source of depression for that campaign, and they know how very easy it is to turn large segments against him. Take the black voters, for instance, or the young voters. In both cases sKerry has been attempting to walk a tight rope. This explains his difficulty, touting "civil rights leader" while opposing voucher/religious interest since he has to keep his union teachers. His 'don't privatize SS' in the other scare tactic to keep older voters turns off the younger voters who clearly benefit from being able to do their own investing, so he has to bring out the "Bush will draft you" stupid lie to try to keep them.
The sKerry campaign is a real mess, but an honest assessment reveals that is only a window on the mess the Demodogs have with their "base".
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