TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA ADVISORY #20
DISCUSSION
...LISA STARTING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...SHEAR RELAXING...
LISA has moved its center under some deep convection. Shear that has been working across the storm from the north is relaxing, so LISA may become better organized today. In 48 hours, another round of shearing will work on the cyclone, but probably not enough to weaken it.
LISA will follow a path similar to KARL and remain over open water.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 14.6N by 43.5W, or 1305 miles W of the Cape Verde Islands.
Vector: W at 10 MPH. A turn to the NW is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 35 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some strengthening is forecast over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 1003 MB or 29.62"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: N/A.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of LISA is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
LISA is only a threat to shipping at this time.
CAT II HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY #43A
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE HEADING FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...THEN FLORIDA...
JEANNE continues west.
From sundown tonight to sundown tomorrow is Yom Kipper. Jewish people may not be listening to radio and TV. Please try and keep them aware of the progress of JEANNE.
Note that the path of JEANNE is such that even though the landfall is in northern Florida, on the forecast track the effects of the storm's severity will be felt from Ft. Lauderdale, FL, to Kitty Hawk, NC.
JEANNE will likely be a category III at landfall.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS, INCLUDING THE ABACOS, ANDROS ISLAND, BERRY ISLANDS, BIMIMI, ELEUTHERA, GRAND BAHAMA, AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 8 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 26.1N by 72.0W, or 315 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: W at 8 MPH. Some acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some slow strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 969 MB or 28.61"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 280 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: 3 AM, Monday, September 27, 2004.
Anticipated Landfall Location: Halfway between Flagler Beach and Ormond by the Sea, FL.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
MIAMI FL
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD location.]
SLOSH DATA
[SLOSH data have not yet been calculated for JEANNE.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
State of Florida
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Bahamas, and along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Massachusetts should monitor the progress of JEANNE.