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CAT I HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY #31

DISCUSSION

...KARL COMPLETING TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL STATUS...

KARL has been interacting with a baroclinic zone and there isn't any deep convection near a poorly organized and ragged center.  This is indicative of the final phases of transition to becoming an extratropical storm.

WATCHES/WARNINGS

[None at this time.]

STORM DATA

Fix Time:  5 AM ET/AT (2100Z)

Location: 40.8N by 41.0W, or 770 miles WNW of the Azores.

Vector: N at 30 MPH.  This motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Winds: 85 MPH 1-minute sustained.  Little change in strength is likely over the next 24 hours.

Pressure: 965 MB or 28.50"

Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 170 miles.

Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 810 miles.

Anticipated Landfall Time:  N/A

Anticipated Landfall Location:  N/A

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS

[None at this time.]

NEXRAD IMAGERY

[No portion of KARL is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]

SLOSH DATA

[None at this time.]

TOD DATA

[None at this time.  TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]

STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION

[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]

INTEREST WATCH AREA

Interests in the Faroe Islands should monitor the progress of IVAN.

25 posted on 09/24/2004 5:31:10 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society (John Kerry wants to understand Al Qa'eda. President Bush wants to destroy them.)
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To: All
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA ADVISORY #20

DISCUSSION

...LISA STARTING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...SHEAR RELAXING...

LISA has moved its center under some deep convection.  Shear that has been working across the storm from the north is relaxing, so LISA may become better organized today.  In 48 hours, another round of shearing will work on the cyclone, but probably not enough to weaken it.

LISA will follow a path similar to KARL and remain over open water.

WATCHES/WARNINGS

[None at this time.]

STORM DATA

Fix Time:  5 AM ET/AT (0900Z)

Location: 14.6N by 43.5W, or 1305 miles W of the Cape Verde Islands.

Vector: W at 10 MPH.  A turn to the NW is expected during the next 24 hours.

Winds: 35 MPH 1-minute sustained.  Some strengthening is forecast over the next 24 hours.

Pressure: 1003 MB or 29.62"

Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.

Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: N/A.

Anticipated Landfall Time:  N/A

Anticipated Landfall Location:  N/A

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS

[None at this time.]

NEXRAD IMAGERY

[No portion of LISA is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]

SLOSH DATA

[None at this time.]

TOD DATA

[None at this time.  TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]

STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION

[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]

INTEREST WATCH AREA

LISA is only a threat to shipping at this time.

26 posted on 09/24/2004 5:36:58 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society (John Kerry wants to understand Al Qa'eda. President Bush wants to destroy them.)
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