DISCUSSION
...JEANNE MOVING TOWARD FLORIDA...
JEANNE is moving west. The storm should begin to recurve starting at about VT forecast plus 48 hours.
Unfortunately, the storm will have reached very near the Florida coast by then.
From sundown tonight to sundown tomorrow is Yom Kipper. Jewish people may not be listening to radio and TV. Please try and keep them aware of the progress of JEANNE.
Note that the path of JEANNE is such that even though the landfall is in northern Florida, on the forecast track the effects of the storm's severity will be felt from Ft. Lauderdale, FL, to Kitty Hawk, NC.
JEANNE will likely be a category III at landfall.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
AT 5 AM THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS, INCLUDING THE ABACOS, ANDROS ISLAND, BERRY ISLANDS, BIMIMI, ELEUTHERA, GRAND BAHAMA, AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
AT 5 AM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 5 AM THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET/AT (0900Z)
Location: 26.1N by 71.6W, or 340 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: W at 8 MPH. Some acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some slow strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 969 MB or 28.61"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 280 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: 3 AM, Monday, September 27, 2004.
Anticipated Landfall Location: Halfway between Flagler Beach and Ormond Beach, FL.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD location.]
SLOSH DATA
[SLOSH data have not yet been calculated for JEANNE.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Bahamas, and along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Massachusetts should monitor the progress of JEANNE.