Posted on 01/01/2024 5:05:22 AM PST by Godzilla
Welcome to Threat Matrix 2024
For historical reference TM2023 link is
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4120141/posts?page=1#1
Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 23nd year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.
2023 has been “historic”: Continued inflation Record illegal immigration Record crime Record housing prices and Unprecedented prime lending rate increases. Push to globalize the economy, food production and energy
I expect 2024 to be even worse as we are facing, among many things -
- 2024 is a political year with all the deep divisions and turmoils that brings. - Political assassinations - The potential for a serious and deep recession - CBDC stripping Americans of their free use of money - Race and other ethnic wars in the US as illegals mark out territory - Continued massive increase in crime - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - - Continued combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Potential Chinese move on Taiwan – breaking analysis - Israel and Hezbollah/Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems. . And this is just a short list.
It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.
How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.
Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.
My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose and I don’t expect this to let up, only increase as the year progresses.
Will we even make it to the 2024 elections without things flying apart? Will the democrats / leftist manage a way to steal the election? Will the US find itself in the early stages of a civil war / national split up? The year promises to be very bumpy, so buckle up and prepare yourselves for what is to come.
>Remember, biden stole and stored highly classified, compartmentalized documents in a cardboard box in the garage next to his car - and he’s not getting a shortened edition of the intel briefing.
Remember, Biden did NOT have ultimate classification authority when he did that, as Trump did when he took docs to Mar-A-Lago.
Also, HRC put tons of highly classified info on an unsecure EXCHANGE EMAIL SERVER IN A BATHROOM AT HER RESIDENCE! While Secretary of State. It was insane. My expectation is that any country or non-state actor with an intelligence apparatus worthy of the name had the complete contents of that server. Allies, adversaries, heck maybe some of the cartels. She should have been imprisoned over that as an example.
I fully remember. Biden and shrillary should both be in prison for their actions
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
Governments of the European Union are engaged in wargames which simulate and foresee a global food crisis.
A mix of major factors including the Russia-Ukraine war and impact on grain supplies there, as well as weather events like El Niño and La Niña and their impact on Latin American soy output, and the anti-EU farmers’ protests which have disrupted supermarket supply chains, have been cause for alarm, European officials say.
Bloomberg reveals details of the conference held in Brussels last month that envisioned a 2024 to 2025 food shortage in Europe:
“Over two days in central Brussels last month, some 60 European Union and government officials, food security experts, industry representatives and a few journalists gathered to confront the possibility of something barely on the radar a few years ago: a full-blown food crisis.”
Below are some of the scenarios put before participants in the wargaming event last month:
- Harvest failures
- Palm oil exports cut
- Fertilizer crisis
- Unrest in the street as shortages hit locally
- Popular anger targets elites & corporations
As for “solutions” - interestingly conference participants were told (or rather took it as an assumption) that populations would have to be weaned off meat. Let them eat bugs?
“Day two started with a mindfulness session before focusing on policy proposals and any conclusions,” the Bloomberg journalist in attendance wrote. “There was little objection to the idea that diets need to shift toward healthier options and away from meat. Questions loomed over how best to manage food reserves and monitor the level of stockpiles.”
Just who it is that will “manage” food reserves is an interesting, and possibly scary, scenario to imagine as well.
Few governments in Europe are prepared for managing future food crises, according to Chris Hegadorn, a retired US diplomat who co-organized the workshop.
Originally published at Activist Post
https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=6751
OBSERVATION - They war-gamed the wuhan crisis months before it struck. Now they are wargaming a famine that begins this year sometime. Components of the engineered famine are already in place - such as fertilizer ‘shortages’ and EU limitations to reduce ‘global warming’.
This will be a manufactured crisis to wean off meat and onto bugs as well. There is as storm coming folks.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
CW2 issues are dominated today by acts of the Federal Govt directed against its citizens. These acts are in essence actions of war against a significant portion of the population. The fact that the govt has arrested and jailed individuals under these illegal and unethical acts is just gasoline of the fire.
***
Armed citizens start patrolling Hartford to keep streets clean and safe. This news item is still in progress. The section of Hartford has been plagued by violence over the past year, and locals are tired of the lip service paid by the mayor (who is against this) and govt. The group appears to be organized by a local minister and has in its midst “licensed “ CCW. They also spend time cleaning up trash and other issues in the neighborhood.
OBSERVATION - When I looked at the scale of violence in so many communities today, I’m surprised that there are not more community street ‘patrols’ out there. Though they don’t currently rise to what would be termed “vigilante”, that will not be too far off as local DAs and judges continue to cycle violent criminals and murders back onto the streets - with no consequences. Soon the dam may break and these criminals may face judgement on the street - but that time isn’t yet.
***
America First Legal filed a lawsuit Monday after the Justice Department refused to hand over its communications related to a report last June comparing parental rights organizations to the Ku Klux Klan.
The Southern Poverty Law Center, a leftist group known for putting mainstream conservative and Christian organizations on a “hate map” with Klan chapters, added parental rights groups such as Moms for Liberty and Parents Defending Education to that “hate map” in June.
Parental rights groups have raised the alarm about divisive racial lessons and transgender lessons in schools, often championed in the name of diversity, equity, and inclusion, or DEI. The SPLC supports these lessons through its education arm, Learning for Justice.
“The Department of Justice has made it a priority to silence parents who speak out against DEI and the government-sponsored transgender agenda that is being pushed in public schools to children as young as 5 years old,” Ian Prior, senior adviser at America First Legal, told The Daily Signal in a written statement Monday. “The Southern Poverty Law Center appears to have been part of that effort—adding parent organizations to its so-called ‘hate map’ in 2023.”
OBSERVATION - The news that the DoJ has been attached by the hip to the SPLC is not new news. Neither is the fact that DoJ targeted (and likely still does) parents expressing their rights and concerns over what public schools are teaching.
****
A special House Judiciary subcommittee has issued an alarming report that alleges federal law enforcement “commandeered financial institutions to spy on Americans” and used Merchant Category Codes (MCCs) “to search through transactions to detect potential criminals or ‘extremists.’”
According to the 56-page report’s Executive Summary, “These MCCs use keywords to comb through transactions, such as ‘small arms’ purchases or recreational stores such as ‘Cabela’s,’ ‘Bass Pro Shop,’ and ‘Dick’s Sporting Goods.’ Americans doing nothing other than shopping or exercising their Second Amendment rights were being tracked by financial institutions and federal law enforcement.”
OBSERVATION - Govts do not generate this kind of databases unless they are planning to use them against the citizens. And if / when they do it, how will they apply it? Under current conditions, a mass operation to disarm Americans will result in massive push back, and likely dead/wounded. A more likely process would be to nibble around the edges, targeting ‘key leadership’ and cowing the rest to voluntarily surrender. The third is via a false flag event that devolves into martial law and massive sweeps to disarm. Bottom line, the swamp is planning on a CW2 scenario and is preparing the intelligence battlefield.
***
Detractors say that the law effectively grants intelligence agencies a means of circumventing the Constitution, while proponents say the law is necessary to stop time-sensitive terror threats.
Speaking to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on March 11, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said that the mechanism was invaluable to the interagency apparatus.
“The intelligence gathered pursuant to Section 702 was essential in preparing this annual threat assessment and is absolutely fundamental to every aspect of our work, as I know you know,” Ms. Haines told the committee.
OBSERVATION - Section 702 has been grossly violated - deliberately by democrat leftists in the DoJ - to illegally spy on Americans. I do not remember a single time-sensitive terror threat that has been stopped via 702 surveillance. Even after demonstrated lies to the FISA court, there has been no accountability for past abuse. Section 702 has grown into a monster.
***
If Trump wins the 2024 election, 57 percent of Democrat voters would oppose certifying the election, according to new polling from Rasmussen.
For all of their talk about how sacred ‘our democracy’ is over the last several years, Democrat voters don’t seem too keen on the idea of actual democracy.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/poll-majority-democrat-voters-oppose-certifying-2024-election/
OBSERVATION - Not unlike what they did with trump’s first election. What this may drive though is a greater degree of violence protesting.
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
***
FBI Director Chris Wray is concerned that illegal migrants coming across the southern border could potentially launch another 9/11 terrorist attack on U.S. soil.
The intelligence chief’s disclosure came during a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on the greatest worldwide threats facing the U.S. today.
The hearing was interrupted several times by pro-Palestine protestors shouting ‘ceasefire now!’ during remarks by the nation’s top spy chiefs.
When pressed by Cornyn about whether terrorists may be among the over 1.8 million ‘gotaways’ who have evaded capture by border officials, Wray said it’s possible.
He cited former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld saying ‘we don’t know what we don’t know.’
‘And I think there are many ways the national security ramifications of the issues at the border are better reflected in some ways more by what we don’t know about the people who snuck in, provided fake documents or in some other way, got in when there wasn’t sufficient information about the time they came in to connect the dots,’ said Wray.
OBSERVATION - SMH, Wray has directed so much resources to defining most of America as domestic terrorists, he has failed to fully go after REAL terrorists, relying on the largely hit and miss interceptions on the border. He is in CYA mode, so he can say “I told you so” when it hits the fan.
Economy-
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon on Tuesday urged the Federal Reserve to wait past June before cutting interest rates, arguing the central bank needs to shore up its inflation-fighting credibility.
“I think they have to be data-dependent. If I were them, I would wait,” Dimon said at the Australian Financial Review business summit via a livestream from New York.
“You can always cut it quickly and dramatically. Their credibility is a little bit at stake here. I would even wait past June and let it all sort it out.”
Markets are seeing an 84% probability the Fed will cut in June, while a total easing of 90 basis points have been priced in for the year.
OBSERVATION - Just what the Fed will do is a debated issue among economists. I recently noted that there are some who look to a potential increase in the prime, should the pending inflation numbers continue to rise like they have.
***
For the past nine months, the annual rate of inflation has held between 3% and 4%.
On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index climbed 3.2% in February — missing expectations of a slightly lower 3.1% reading, and coming in higher the 3.1% seen in January.
On a month over month basis, prices climbed 0.4% in February compared to 0.3% in January. That was in line with expectations. But the so-called core reading, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4%, above expectations for a reading of 0.3%.
The biggest hurdle, he said, has been getting what the Bureau of Labor Statistics refers to as shelter costs to come down. Those costs come in two main categories: rent and homeownership, called owners-equivalent rent.
Both categories have now spent months defying forecasts of a meaningful slowdown in price growth, remaining above 6% on a 12-month basis in January.
In February, shelter costs once again proved stubbornly high, climbing 5.7%.
OBSERVATION - This will kick off further speculation on what the Fed’s next move will be. Be advised, these numbers, like all govt economic numbers, are likely skewed to a degree and will likely be adjusted in a negative manner (with respect to the desired narrative) at a later date.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Biden administration’s proposed 2025 budget would cut the Department of Veterans Affairs’ (VA) funding while pushing for increased spending for the wars in Ukraine and Gaza.
The budget “prioritizes Veterans’ Mental Health Services and Suicide Prevention for Veterans and Military Service members” by allocating $135 million to suicide prevention programs, according to a fact sheet.
The proposal would ultimately cut more than $5.6 billion from the VA’s budget, lowering the department’s discretionary allocation by about 4.2 percent.
OBSERVATION - More on biden’s 2025 budget under Political Front.
***
Libs of TikTok on “X” revealed disturbing military training -
Mandatory training for military members teaches that America was founded on racism, and parents are too ignorant and dumb to teach their children about it. They think parents need to stay out of their kids’ education and shouldn’t have a say in what they learn.
Only ‘The State’ knows what’s best for your child and how to properly educate them.
An unclassified document for the U.S. Command and General Staff College in Fort Leavenworth, (K)ansas, allegedly shows that mandatory training for U.S. military members includes teachings that race is fictional; that racism is engrained in education, economic systems, and current laws; and that parents are incapable of properly teaching their children about racism.
OBSERVATION - I cannot conceive just what the heck this is doing as a component of CGSC? It is part of the cancerous CRT indoctrination that is designed to turn the military leaders against established American culture and norms. It is designed to further isolate the military from the civilians they are support to serve.
***
The US Air Force will request a total of $188.1 billion in the 2025 fiscal year, part of a budget submission that asks lawmakers to greenlight the retirement of 250 aircraft, officials revealed today.
The total list of the 250 retirements the service is seeking in FY25 is as follows:
- 32 F-22s
- 26 F-15Es
- 11 F-16C/Ds
- 65 F-15C/Ds
- 56 A-10s
- 22 T-1As
- 12 HH-60Gs
- 6 C-130Hs
- 1 EC-130H
- 2 CV-22s
- 1 E-11
- 16 KC-135s
OBSERVATION - When global threats from the likes of China are growing, USAF wants to shrink.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
John Stockton has filed a lawsuit over state sanctions on doctors who spread alleged COVID-19 disinformation.
The lawsuit names Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson and the executive director of the Washington Medical Commission as defendants. It seeks a preliminary and permanent injunction against a policy that allows the commission to discipline doctors who promote COVID-19 misinformation.
“There is no place for the government, under the guise of regulating physicians and protecting the public, to censure, restrict or sanction the content and viewpoint of the publicly expressed views of physicians on Covid or any other subject, just because the government does not like the message or thinks it is wrong,” the lawsuit states. “Going back 70 years every judge and Supreme Court justice who has written on professional soapbox speech has stated that it is fully protected by the First Amendment and/or said that it cannot be the subject of government regulation or restriction.”
OBSERVATION - Never forget what the tyrannical govt and med community forced upon us in name of wuhan - the deliberate destruction of multiple aspects of peoples lives. They get no mulligans.
POLITICAL FRONT –
March 22, second funding deadline
Biden’s FY 2025 budget has hit the street with a magnitude 8.0 effect.
Rep. Jason Smith, R-Mo., chair of the House Ways and Means Committee, told Newsmax on Monday that President Joe Biden’s proposed $7.3 trillion budget for the 2025 fiscal year includes staggering tax increases for every American.
“His budget that he released today is the largest tax increase in the history of our country,” Smith told “The Record With Greta Van Susteren.” “Almost $5 trillion in new taxes, and that’s not even counting his proposal that he wants all of the 2017 Trump tax cuts to expire, as well.”
Smith said Biden’s budget includes an additional $104 billion for the IRS so it can audit more taxpayers. He said Americans don’t want to see a larger IRS but a more simpler tax code.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/jason-smith-joe-biden-budget/2024/03/11/id/1156857/
Some initial analysis indicates that there is almost $36,000 of tax hikes per family - includes direct as well as those passed through from businesses via higher costs.
This aims to increase GAS PRICES with over $100 billion in new taxes on traditional energy sources.
Over $300 BILLION to construct housing specifically for illegals.
Budget on paper will increase the deficit by well over 2 TRILLION.
OBSERVATION - The audacity of such a tax and spend heavy budget in the middle of a presidential election year is historically unheard of. What is appears that biden is trying to accomplish is to buy the election support, counting on the MSM keeping discussion of the price tag surpassed. Also, may indicate a degree of ‘confidence’ of reelection? This could turn into another dumpster fire for biden.
***
Judge Scott McAfee of Fulton County Superior Court is expected to rule this week on whether special prosecutor Nathan Wade, who had a romantic relationship with district attorney Fani Willis, should be excluded from its investigation and subsequent indictment of former President Donald Trump.
After listening to final arguments for three hours on March 1st from lawyers for Willis and a few of Trump’s co-defendants, McAfee stated that he intended to rule on the matter “over the next two weeks.”
https://www.oann.com/newsroom/da-fani-willis-disqualification-ruling-expected-this-week/
OBSERVATION - Liberal attorneys like Dershowitz and Turley have come out and said this should be a slam dunk - Willis and her paramour should be canned. The liberal judge in the case is in a pickle because by doing so, it likely will kill the case against Trump and bring down the heat of Soros-supported attacks.
Biden / Harris Watch –
In a shocking announcement, Special Prosecutor Robert Hur resigned Monday from the DOJ in order to testify Tuesday before Congress as a private citizen. Such a move would reportedly allow his testimony without any restrictions from the DoJ.
This could turn the cart over for biden on the whole ‘mental’ capacity issue from his investigation and reveal DoJ interference in the final report.
Break out the popcorn.
North/South Korea –
Despite large orders from Russia for weapons to use against Ukrainians, shortages of raw materials and electrical power have left some North Korean arms factories only able to produce 30 percent of their full capacity. North Korea has not been able to obtain the metals and explosives needed to build lots more 152mm shells or unguided rockets fired in salvos from launchers on trucks that hold 20 or 40 rockets that can be launched at once. The problem is that North Korea is unable to obtain the metal, explosives and gunpowder needed to build enough 152mm shells and unguided rockets to fill Russian orders. North Korea had already shipped millions of old 152mm shells and thousands of old unguided rockets from its stockpiles. It took North Korea decades to accumulate these stockpiles. When Russia offered to buy these weapons and pay with cash and food, the North Koreans could not resist. Now they are encountering problems producing more shells and rockets for Russia, and replacements for their own stocks, but find they don’t have raw materials to build more than 30 percent of the Russian demand. For decades North Korea arms factories operated at low capacity to produce shells, rockets, and bullets for stockpiles to be used in a war with South Korea. Now North Korea has unexpectedly large orders from Russia but can’t obtain the raw materials needed to fill those orders.
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htproc/articles/20240312.aspx
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
Economic Impact –
Russia is weighing options for big tax increases to raise as much as 4 trillion roubles (US$44 billion) as the war in Ukraine puts growing pressure on the government’s coffers.
Tax hikes on corporate profits and on high-earning individuals are being considered, two people involved in the discussions said, asking not to be identified because the matter isn’t public.
The government may raise personal income tax to 20 per cent from 15 per cent now for those earning more than 5 million roubles, and company taxation to 25 per cent from 20 per cent, according to the “Important Stories” news site and confirmed by two people involved in the discussions.
https://www.scmp.com/news/world/russia-central-asia/article/3255013/russia-weighs-post-election-tax-rises-fund-war-ukraine?utm_source=rss_feed
OBSERVATION - The suspected timing of these tax increases is post Russian election - so as not to inflame any further resistance to putin.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow in the forecast..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Things remain relatively stable along the fronts. Activity by the Legion of Freedom of Russia will provide some degree of distraction. Even greater if they have a better plan than last year.
Avdiivka -
Russian Ministry of Defense claimed control over Nevelske of Donetsk region
Russian Territory –
The military alliance of the “Legion of Freedom of Russia”, the RDK and the Siberian Battalion has started a spring liberation campaign, - the statement of the Freedom of Russia Movement.
Firefight reported in Belgorod.
A number of electronic services of the government of the Belgorod region were hacked in a cyberattack, messages from governor were distributed
Partisan Resistance ——
Several streets closed in Russian occupied Bryansk. According to governor, due to the counterterrorism measures.
Outlook —
The “Legion of Freedom of Russia” has popped back up on the radar screen with more sortes into Russian border areas. Evidence seen in the notes above.
Inspire of persistent attacks, the front lines have generally stabilized to a new normal. Russia is making progress retrofitting massive bombs into gliding munitions, allowing jets to stand off from Ukraine ADA and launch attacks.
Ukraine, on its part is keeping the pressure up on the deep war, continuing to hit soft Russian petroleum and manufacturing sites that are poorly guarded by ADA.
Europe / NATO General –
Portugal has now joined the growing list of nations embracing right-nationalism.
In yesterday’s parliament election,the “far-right” Chega party won a shocking FORTY EIGHT parliamentary seats.
For perspective, these were their previous electoral performances:
2019: 1.3% (1 seat)
2022: 7.2% (12 seats)
2024: 18% (48 seats)
The oppose globalism, immigration, and socialism.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8
Key overnight developments -
- The immanency of the push into Rafah is stimulating more cries from the west and arab countries not to do it.
- Significant escalation of strike/counter strikes between Hezbollah and Israel.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
***
Politico - Biden is considering imposing conditions on military aid to Israel if it proceeds with the invasion of Rafah
***
European Union leaders will demand an “immediate humanitarian pause leading to a sustainable ceasefire” in Gaza and urge Israel not to launch a ground operation in Rafah, according to draft conclusions of a summit to take place next week.
“The European Council urges the Israeli government to refrain from a ground operation in Rafah, where well over a million Palestinians are currently seeking safety from the fighting and access to humanitarian assistance,” says the draft text, seen by Reuters.
***
Israeli security services are considering enlisting the aid of the Palestinian Authority in building the system that will be responsible for running the Gaza Strip and dispensing humanitarian aid. One of the names being considered is Majid Faraj, the head of PA intelligence and a close confidant of PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas.
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reportedly raised the possibility, alongside that of other Palestinian officials, in one of the closed meetings regarding the management of civilian life in Gaza.
Officials involved in the meeting stated that those mentioned are not appointed by Hamas and not affiliated with them, and that Faraj is not the only such name.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/386610
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israel launched several major airstrikes in the far northern end of the Bekaa valley. Lebanese media reporting an alleged Israeli strike in northeastern Lebanon’s Baalbek, close to Dar al-Amal Hospital, near the town of Saraain in the Baalbek District, and in Nabi Chit, Beqaa governorate.
At least 30 rockets fired towards northern Israel in the recent sirens in Kiryat Shmona, Ma’alot Tarshikha and surroundings. A missile was launched at the Israeli site of Al-Samaqa in the Kafr Shuba hills in southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah fired some 70 rockets at the Golan Heights, according to the Israeli army. There are no reports of injuries
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces arrested 25 Palestinians in the West Bank, including former prisoners.
***
Israeli security forces operating in Samaria killed a Palestinian terrorist on his way to carry out an imminent attack, the Israel Defense Forces and Israel Security Agency (Shin Bet) said in a statement on Monday.
Muhammad Jaber, a resident of the terror hub of Jenin in northern Samaria, was killed by the IDF’s Duvdevan undercover counterterror unit in Zeita, in the area of the Judea and Samaria security barrier.
According to local media reports, Jaber was caught “en route to Israeli territory” armed with weapons and explosives. The Kan News public broadcaster said he had planned to carry out an attack in Tel Aviv.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
CENTCOM - Iranian-backed Houthi terrorists fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles from Houthi-controlled areas of into the Red Sea toward merchant vessel Pinocchio, a Singaporean-owned, Liberian-flagged ship. The missiles did not impact the vessel and there were no injuries or damage reported. Between 2:50-11:30 p.m. (Sanaa time) on March 11, United States Central Command conducted six self-defense strikes destroying an unmanned underwater vessel and 18 anti-ship missiles in Houthi controlled areas of Yemen.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.
Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.
Escalation of the fight in the north is becoming serious. Approximately 100 rockets overall launched at various targets, while IAF strikes major Hezbollah targets deep in the northern Bekaa valley - heart of Hezbollah ‘safe’ territory. Will the cycle spin up even harder remains to be seen in the next few days.
Iran –
(FO) Tomorrow, Iran will kick off its annual Maritime Security Belt exercise, historically referred to as its “Trilateral Exercise. The exercise will now include Iran, Russia, China, Oman, Azerbaijan, Pakistan, and South African Naval forces. The stated purpose is to “strengthen regional security, promote collective cooperation, display the capabilities to provide concerted support for world peace and maritime security, and create a sea-based community with a common fate.”
Self-defense and citizen patrols are NOT vigilante.
It really bothers me that when people take care of themselves instead of depending on the government and law enforcement, it’s branded as *vigilante* with it’s full on negative connotation of being lawless and ruthless.
The Second Amendment allows for militias, which likewise have been smeared by the left as lawless.
Armed citizen patrols are the ONLY option for safety when the duly elected government does not do its job. It’s a far cry from forming a retaliation group with the legal and justice system works as it should.
When they abdicate, then people are forced into a position of self-defense, which is NOT vigilantism.
If nothing is done, we become a drug cartel, gang controlled hell hole like Mexico or Haiti.
Interesting coalition of nations there.
What a joke. Iran concerned about world peace????
Their idea of it is complete conversion to islam.
Nope.
Hmmmm
🤔🤔🤔
Correct. Only the Progs insist just "government" is responsible for our defense. But "We The People" are the government. If those we hire/elect won't or can't do it somebody must step in to stop the inevitable chaos, gangsterism, and anarchy.
That doesn't mean lynch mobs. The "Committees of Vigilance" of yesteryear not only rounded up miscreants but gave them fair trials using whatever official courts or procedures were mostly already in place.
What we’re trying to prevent is the vigilantism.
I think we are saying the same thing. "Lynching" is part of the anarchy which is lawless.
Check out this link. It has some information on "vigilantes" of yore down in the article. These traditionally were not lynch mobs. It sounds more like where Hartford may be ultimately headed if the government doesn't straighten out it's act. These weren't KKK or similar mobs.
Sounds like it.
The problem is, the left portrays vigilante and militias as lawless anarchists with no respect for the rule of law and casts them in a very negative light.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
The Canadian government is proposing a bill that would raise the maximum punishment for online hate speech from five years to a life sentence.
The proposal forms part of the latest Online Harms Bill, put forward by Justin Trudeau’s left-wing government, which seeks to its assert control over online discourse:
The National Post reports:
Bill C-63 aims to force social-media, user-uploaded adult content and live-streaming services to reduce exposure to online content deemed harmful, to strengthen the reporting of child pornography and to better address hate propaganda and provide recourse to victims of hate online.
It also amends the Criminal Code to create a new standalone hate crime offence that would allow penalties up to life imprisonment to deter hateful conduct, as well as raise the maximum punishments for hate propaganda offences from five years to life imprisonment for advocating genocide.
Some of those provisions, including a clampdown on child pornography and other adult content, are obviously noble causes. Yet it is the definition of what the government calls “hate propaganda” that should cause all conservatives concern.
As we have seen countless times in the last decade, what the liberal establishment believes is “hate speech” is often just a method of silencing and punishing those in vocal opposition to their progressive ideology.
OBSERVATION - If anyone wants to see the developing model of what the WEF and other globalists envision for their brave, new world - just look to Canada. Things like this are built upon redefined terms - hate speech, health care (gun control), etc.
Here in America, the 1st amendment is fast being redefined by the left to facilitate their versions of these draconian speech laws. Its coming folks.
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
Economy-
More than 1,000 workers at another Tyson Food plant are out of work after the company announced it is permanently closing one of its Iowa facilities.
The move comes after the Arkansas-based company closed two chicken plants and announced job cuts last year and said four other plants were expected to cease operations within the first half of fiscal 2024, with related charges − at the time, expected to cost the company $300 million to $400 million.
On Monday Tyson announced it would shutter the doors to its Perry, Iowa pork-packing plant.
The move comes after the pork industry encountered staggering losses over the past year.
“I’m disappointed but not surprised,” given the grim economic conditions pork producers are struggling with, said Pat McGonegle, CEO of the Iowa Pork Producers Association.
Last year marked the worst financial downturn in a quarter century for Iowa and U.S. pork producers, with rising costs outstripping prices farmers received for their livestock, experts have said.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/food/2024/03/12/tyson-plant-closing-perry-iowa/72941284007/
OBSERVATION - One can project this onto the WEF’s plan to control food supplies. The chaos caused by the wuhan lockdowns to the meat supplies are also a contributing factor. Like the beef industry, pork has had its associate problems as well with high costs for just about everything. The shut down will eventually echo through the food system with higher prices. Hopefully, the move to create smaller, more regional meat processing plants will get a boost out of this and fill the gap.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
A packed migrant shelter in Chicago with over 1,800 residents (including 95 children two years old and younger) is experiencing a measles outbreak that has prompted the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to dispatch a team to help battle the outbreak. The team is expected to arrive on Tuesday. Two children and two adults have been diagnosed with measles in the past few days. One child has recovered, the other is in the hospital in good condition. The two adults, diagnosed Monday, are reported in stable condition. A fifth unrelated case popped up elsewhere in Chicago last week.
OBSERVATION - Cross ref with illegal immigration. Nearly 10 million virtually unvetted illegals have entered this nation - bringing third world health threats with them.
***
Carcinoma is the most common type of cancer. It occurs when the DNA of a cell is damaged or altered, causing the cell to grow uncontrollably and become malignant. A Croatian pathologist told Steve Kirsch that 65 per cent of all carcinoma cases among people aged 15 to 59 had received one or more covid injections. This means that getting injected for covid increases one’s risk of this particular form of cancer by 52 per cent.
https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-03-10-cancer-risk-increases-52-percent-fully-vaccinated.html
POLITICAL FRONT –
March 22, second funding deadline
***
Both Trump and biden have achieved enough delegates from the primaries to secure their respective nominations for president.
***
GOP Colorado Rep Ken Buck to resign from Congress by end of next week. Buck had already announced he would not seek another term.
OBSERVATION - This action further reduces the republican majority in the House to less than three. The resignation early, rather than waiting until the end of the term is a trend that others have followed and is concerning. Buck’s early resignation is causing some to suspect that there is something significant about to take place before the elections that could flip control to the democrats. This could cause a massive upheaval in that the democrats - even in a minor fashion controlling congress, could press forward with an amnesty bill that could be signed by biden. Really nasty to even think about.
***
Hur’s testimony in congress yesterday just further confirmed the material in his report and the transcripts of his interview with biden added to the bad day for the WH. I’ll leave most of the commentary to the other FR threads, but for here the day showed the double judicial standards of the swamp - further evidence that the govt is waging war against the right.
Illegal Immigration –
Justice Samuel Alito extended a temporary freeze on a decision that would have allowed Texas’ law enabling local police to arrest illegal migrants to take effect.
Alito issued an administrative stay to consider the request, which he extended in a Tuesday order through March 18.
***
DoD officials testify before the House Armed Services Committee that the Biden Administration acknowledges there IS an anticipated mass migration from Haiti into the United States through Florida
OBSERVATION - I noted yesterday, US law allows Haitians access to the US. Now we’ll have more unwashed masses of uneducated and criminally inclined pouring into the nation is a short time.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Russian presidential election on March 17
NUCLEAR THREATS –
President Vladimir Putin said Wednesday that Russia is ready to use nuclear weapons if its sovereignty or independence is threatened, issuing another blunt warning to the West just days ahead of an election in which he is all but certain to secure another six-year term
Russian Personnel Issues –-
The Russian Armed Forces suffered its bloodiest month since Vladimir Putin ordered his invasion of Ukraine, and while February did see Moscow make gains, the British Ministry of Defence reported those gains were costly.
https://www.msn.com/en-ie/cars/news/russia-just-suffered-its-costliest-month-of-the-war/ss-BB1jGsCG
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 20-40 range. Rain and snow in the forecast..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian Ministry of Defense claims 58 drones were shot down over Russia in last hours: 11 over Belgorod region, 8 over Bryansk region, 29 over Voronezh region 8 over Kursk region, 1 over Leningrad region and 1 over Ryazan region
In a joint statement “Legion Freedom of Russia” and other Russian armed opposition forces call for civilians in Belgorod and Kursk to evacuate the cities, as more strikes will be conducted at the military facilities inside the cities.
Information on the associated fighting is still very fuzzy - fog of battle with a dose of propaganda. There is evidence that the initial assaults by the Legion were costly in men and material. According to Russian MoD - “Ukrainian groups attempted an invasion on three fronts this morning, but all attacks by Ukrainian terrorist formations have been repelled, the Ministry of Defense reported. The Ukrainians lost 234 militants, 7 tanks, 3 US-made Bradley IFVs, and 2 armored personnel carriers. NOTE - The Russian MOD has not been the most trustworthy source of information in this war.
However, once the initial obstacles were breached the poorly trained and equipped conscripts of the Russian Nat’l Guard folded and retreated. The Freedom of Russia Legion claims to have completely captured Tetkino in Russia’s Kursk region. The fighters said that the Russian military were leaving the settlement, abandoning heavy equipment.
Unconfirmed reports that a Russian Su-27 was shot down over Belgorod Oblast in Russia.
This assault apparently was also coordinated with a very large Ukraine drone attack on Russian sites. A fire was ignited at the Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez refinery in the city of Kstovo, Nizhniy Novgorod region, after it was attacked by the UAV . Other facilities were hit as well. The administration of Belgorod was attacked by unknown UAVs. Ukrainian drones also hit Moscow, Kursk, Tula, Voronezh, Belgorod & Nizhny Novgorod. Ukrainian drones struck a power station in St Petersburg, setting it on fire.
The attack was also reportedly associated with a massive cyber attacks that have reportedly crippled part of Russia’s critical infrastructure.
Finally, an Il-76 aircraft was reportedly downed by a bird that allegedly flew into one of the four engines. This caused an engine fire and eventually, the engine fell off the plane. It is highly uncertain if this was related to the Legion’s actions or not. Other rumors suggest it was carrying a crew for an A50 AWAC jet. All aboard were lost.
Outlook —
The Legion’s assault combined with the large drone attack also serve a second purpose - drawing attention to the war and bringing it to the Russia people as they ready themselves to vote on Russian presidential election on March 17.
The selection of the axis into Russian and towards Belgorod was well made. Besides a limited border guard presence, deeper Russian units consist primarily of aviation related units - as all major combat units are committed to the current offensive. Wagner’s march across the Russia rear last year exposed the same weakness - no significant combat units. Thus the limited Legion forces have been able to penetrate into a soft region and it will take time for Russia to move other Guard units to block further advances. Time will tell how deep Legion forces are willing to penetrate into Russia before withdrawing like last time.
The front lines have stabilized and the offensive struggles to maintain the initiative.
Its kinda nice to see that my assessment of significant Russian losses is echoed by British intelligence (see Russia above). This is a contributing factor to the offensive beginning to stall.
Ukraine’s asymmetrical warfare continues to keep Russia on their toes.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8
Key overnight developments -
- Israel takes out senior Hamas operative, Hadi Mustafa.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israeli army confirms carrying out a strike on a vehicle near southern Lebanon’s Tyre earlier today, targeting a senior Hamas operative. According to the Israeli army, Hadi Mustafa was involved in directing terror cells in Lebanon, as well as advancing attacks against Israelis and Jews in several countries abroad. The Israeli army says Mustafa was also part of a Hamas unit in Lebanon headed by Samir Fandi, who was assassinated in Beirut along with Hamas deputy leader Salah al-Arouri in January.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army announces the bombing of two Hezbollah targets in Syria.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Clashes broke out between youths and Israeli security forces in the village of Jalboun, east of Jenin
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.
Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.
Escalation between Hezbollah and Israel seems to have hit a pause button for now. But Israel’s strikes deep in the Bekaa Valley hitting Hezbollah HQs shows that they are aggressively pursuing battle field preparations for the war in Lebanon.
Canada. You guys thot the Nazis went to Argentina.
~~~~~
‘Search and Destroy’ in Gaza. Please, Dont stop.
~~~~~
“drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses.”
“Meat Attack?”
Meat attack - human wave assaults
Oh, its well understood. Im just shaking my head.
Report production interrupted for the following of the SpaceX Starship test launch. Incredible!
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
Justin Trudeau’s government has proposed a law giving judges the power to put someone under house arrest if they fear they could commit a hate crime.
Critics have warned the “draconian” bill is an overreach of power and could stifle free speech and difficult discussions.
But Canada’s justice minister defended the measure, claiming it would be an “important” tool to help protect potential victims.
One of the suggested measures would give judges the ability to put people under house arrest who they worry could commit a hate crime in the future. The person could also be made to wear an electronic tag if the attorney-general requested it.
Arif Virani, the justice minister, said the measures could prove “very important” in restraining the behaviour of someone who might be targeting minority groups.
”[If] there’s a genuine fear of an escalation, then an individual or group could come forward and seek a peace bond against them and to prevent them from doing certain things,” Mr Virani said.
OBSERVATION - Bill C-63 was commented on yesterday, now more is being peeled back and its not pretty. These ‘precrime’ arrests and punishments have been floating around for many years. Now the WEF’s testbed country - Canada - is attempting to put them into practice in a nasty manner.
Coming soon to an America near you.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
GOP Colorado Rep Ken Buck departure leaves the House Republicans with a 218-213 majority and three vacancies that will be filled by special elections before November. House Democrats have only one vacancy to fill after Rep. Brian Higgins (D-NY) resigned on Feb. 2.
However, there is RUMINT of a darker side to Buck’s departure - reports that he said 4 more people will leave with him. If this happens, it could swing the House under control of Hakeem Jeffries and the democrats. Same democrats who are making preparations NOT to certify the results of Nov’s election if Trump wins. With control of the house, such an action would almost be a certainty.
As a big time never-Trumper, is Buck willing to destroy the election process in his hate of Trump?.
OBSERVATION - I’m searching to see if this rumored threat by Buck is valid or something cooked up on the web. If this pans out as the worst case scenario, it could trigger real violence in January. Instead of largely peaceful protestors entering the capitol - unarmed, the real guns may well come out. Democrats will be full on guilty of what they’ve accused republicans of over the past 3+ years. The constitutional crisis will be off the charts.
How far off the charts is this scenario? It is plausible, given that the majority of democrats favor an attempt to stop the certification if Trump wins and there are democrats in congress already openly making plans to do so. Jeffries is a hard core leftie, who like pelosi, would have no qualms over the action and would actively support it. This could become one of the many triggers democrats use to permit imposition of martial law and attempt to eliminate Trump supporters all together. The situation must be watched carefully.
***
On Saturday, a San Bernardino sheriff’s deputy shot and killed a 15-year-old. According to BLM and the media, the deputy slaughtered an autistic black teenager in cold blood. According to known facts, 15-year-old Ryan Gainer’s family called the sheriff because the allegedly autistic teen was terrorizing them. Gainer attacked the deputy, who fired in self-defense.
A story from Britain’s Guardian tips you off to how the piece will be covered: “California officer shoots and kills boy, 15, holding gardening tool.” Imagine a peaceful child raking the lawn when a sheriff drives by and fires. However, even The Guardian explains that the family called 911 because they were afraid and that Gainer charged the deputy:
OBSERVATION - BLM scrounging around for a ‘victim’ that they can use to rally the troops and begin another round of violence and rioting. I don’t think this is going to work for them as the optics are not optimal
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
POLITICAL FRONT –
March 22, second funding deadline
***
Biden’s 2025 budget proposal includes billions of dollars to push gender fluidity, sexuality, and (racist) race ideology — including $30 million to increase the number of educators completing a program that trains teachers to teach (indoctrinate) kids on the “inclusivity” of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusivity (DEI).
Released this week, Biden’s massive $7.3 trillion budget includes $3 billion to, as the White House touted “advance gender equity and equality worldwide.”
With due respect to Congressman Good, Biden’s 2025 budget proposal goes beyond merely pandering to the Democrat base. All Democrat proposals pander to rank-and-file Democrat voters.
The difference is Joe Biden and the Democrats have crossed the Rubicon and are now at a place where they seek nothing less than the re-education of some and the indoctrination of others with an insidious sickness that would ultimately destroy America as we know it if they succeed.
OBSERVATION - This is going far beyond the old fashioned culture wars - into direct indoctrination at a federal level. Further, to accomplish this, the regime must continue to shatter the family, separating children from parents - so expect further attacks on parent’s rights.
***
The judge overseeing the Georgia 2020 election interference case on Wednesday dismissed some of the charges against former President Donald Trump and others, but the rest of the sweeping racketeering indictment remains intact.
Fulton County Superior Court Judge Scott McAfee quashed six counts in the indictment, including three against Trump, the presumptive 2024 Republican presidential nominee. But the judge left in place other counts — including 10 facing Trump — and said prosecutors could seek a new indictment to try to reinstate the ones he dismissed.
OBSERVATION - This greatly helps Trump and sets the law fare of the activists DA back a few paces. Still pending is whether Willis and her lover are going to get canned from the case altogether.
Illegal Immigration –
Ron DeSantis will send over 250 additional soldiers - and a fleet of aircraft and boats - to ‘protect’ Florida from vessels carrying Haitian asylum seekers.
The conservative governor made the edict Wednesday, as unrest in the Caribbean country continued for a second week.
The deployment will include 48 National Guardsmen, as well as four helicopters that will add to an already boisterous line of defense along the state’s southern coast.
A further 39 officers from the Florida Department of Law Enforcement, 30 from Florida Highway Patrol, and 23 from the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission will also join the front, as well as a litany of aircraft and drones and eight boats.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13195411/DeSantis-sends-soldiers-protect-florida-haiti.html
OBSERVATION - DeSantis has resumed doing good now that he has stopped his campaign for the ’24 presidency. Florida will be ground zero for the attempts by Haitians to enter the US.
IN RELATED - The govt is evaluating whether or not to use facilities at Gitmo to process the wave of Haitian refugees that are expected to flood this way.
MORE RELATED - Coast Guard Cutter Benard C. Webber’s crew repatriated 33 migrants to Haiti, Monday, following an interdiction of a migrant venture near Fort Pierce Inlet, Florida.
A good Samaritan notified Sector Miami watchstanders of a grounded fishing vessel, at approximately 10:30 a.m., on Feb. 3.
The Coast Guard and its Homeland Security Task Force - Southeast partners will continue to be a presence in the air and on the waters to detect and deter migrants from attempting to unlawfully enter the U.S. by sea.
“U.S. maritime borders are not open to unauthorized entry or illicit trafficking,” said Lt. Cmdr. Sean Newmeyer, Coast Guard District Seven. “Coast Guard and our partners are committed to stopping illegal ventures, preventing unsafe voyages at sea and enforcing U.S. immigration laws and regulations.”
Coast Guard crews repatriated 53 migrants to Haiti in fiscal year 2024, which began on Oct. 1, 2023.
***
A second wave of Venezuela’s worst criminals could soon be rushing over the US border after being released from prison in their home country.
DailyMail.com was first to report on the first wave of Venezuelan gangsters to cross the border and filter into American cities - including henchmen for dictator Nicolas Maduro and members of the notorious Tren de Aragua gang.
Now, more gang bangers and thugs who had been locked away are being released, according to a government official.
Since Friday, we have been carrying out in the state of Miranda, an operation looking into preventative centers and prisons,’ Supreme Court of Justice Magistrate Edgar Gavidia said, adding that 100 prisoners had already been turned loose.
‘We’re looking case-by-case at anyone, giving justice to those who at one time made a mistake in their lives to expedite justice.’
Speaking to DailyMail.com by phone Monday, Miami immigration attorney Rolando Vazquez warned, ‘These are killers.’
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Russian presidential election on March 17
The Russian Foreign Ministry announced the introduction of personal sanctions against 227 U.S. nationals involved in “the development of Washington’s Russophobic course”
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Where is Gerasimov? Well, he is reportedly dismissed as Chief of the Russian General Staff. According to Russian media, Lieutenant General Viktor Poznihir will temporarily perform the duties of the Chief of the General Staff.
The question remains. Where is Gerasimov?
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-50 range. Slight chance of snow/rain showers in extended forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 22 of 36 drones overnight. Damage to civilian infrastructure in Velykyi Burluk and Lozova of Kharkiv region as result of drone strikes
Legion forces are engaged at the border in Glotovo, Spodaryushino, Zarechye-Pervoye of Belgorod region
Action along other fronts appears to be stable, with no significant actions.
Crimean front —
Explosions were reported in Skadovsk.
Russian Territory –
Explosion was reported in central Belgorod, smoke was observed rising.
2 drones attacked Prokhorovka village of Belgorod region
The FSB reports the detention in St. Petersburg of four members of the organization “Russian Volunteer Corps” (RDK).
Outlook —
Ukraine’s drone blitz yesterday did substantial damage to Russian targets. Ukraine destroyed 10% of Russia’s oil refining capacity in two days, according to Bloomberg. That is a big hit.
Ground action remains at a stalemate, with the exception of the actions by the Legion. Actual Legion status is not clear - fog of war and OPSEC.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
***
Israel Defense Forces may soon begin the long-awaited ground offensive into the town of Rafah, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant hinted while visiting IDF troops in the western portion of Gaza City on Wednesday.
“I met the troops who are conducting extraordinary work above and below the ground. Our forces reach every location [necessary], and we can conclude that there is no safe haven for terrorists in Gaza.”
“Even those who think we are delayed will soon see that we will reach every location [necessary]. We will bring to justice anyone who was involved in the events [massacre conducted] on October 7th. We will either eliminate them [the terrorists] or bring them to trial in Israel,” Gallant vowed.
“There is no safe haven – not here, not outside of Gaza, not across the Middle East – we will bring them to justice.”
***
Washington has told Jerusalem it could support a limited IDF military operation against “high value” Hamas targets in Rafah in southern Gaza, according to a report published Wednesday in Politico.
The American news outlet wrote that senior Biden administration officials conveyed to their Israeli counterparts that the United States could support targeted raids against the terrorist group’s top officials both above ground and in the vast tunnel system running underneath the city along the Egyptian border.
Concern has been mounting in Washington and European capitals about the safety of noncombatants during an Israeli offensive to defeat the final four Hamas battalions concentrated there, consisting of roughly 3,000 fighters, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the AIPAC conference via video link on Tuesday is essential to winning the war.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/u-s-idf-military-operation/2024/03/14/id/1157223/
OBSERVATION - This will most likely be totally rejected by Israel. The US is trying to force the fight into Hamas favor - this is what Hamas planned for. The only way to eliminate Hamas forces in Rafah is on the ground, locating and destroying the underground network and potentially freeing hostages. The biden regime want us to ignore the fact that Hamas tunnels are extensive and consistently buried under common facilities granted exemptions from attack, such as hospitals, schools and residential areas. Selective bombing would accomplish Israel’s goals.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
IAF increased its air strikes across Gaza overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF and artillery struck Hezbollah positions all along the Israeli/Lebanese border zone overnight.
Hezbollah launched 6 missiles towards the Ruwaisat Al-Alam in the Kafr Shuba hills, N Israel.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israel security forces arrested at least 20 Palestinians from the West Bank last night, including former prisoners.
Israeli security forces raided numerous towns across the West Bank, targeting terrorist holdouts.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
UKMTO has received a report of an incident 50NM southeast of Aden, Yemen. The vessel’s Master reports an explosion at a distance astern of the vessel, the vessel has sustained no damage and the crew are reported safe. The vessel is proceeding to its next port of call.
***
Houthi rebels have successfully tested a hypersonic missile and the group intends to use such missiles against Israel and targets at sea, a source close to the group tells RIA Novosti
OBSERVATION - Release for propaganda. They’ve only utilized Iranian supplied rockets and technology.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.
Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.
I don’t believe the Houthi claim of a hypersonic weapon. Internally, they don’t have the capability. If they have something, it has been smuggled in by Iran which has recently made claims of developing one.
Iran –
Biden Administration has reportedly approved the renewal of an Iran sanctions waiver what will allow the Iranian regime to Collect upwards of $10 Billion from Iraq for electricity payments through third-party countries such as Qatar and Oman; this waiver was previously approved by Biden in November of 2023 and was set to expires this month.
OBSERVATION - Another 10 BILLION for the support of terrorism.
Report production interrupted for the following of the SpaceX Starship test launch. Incredible!
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
Justin Trudeau’s government has proposed a law giving judges the power to put someone under house arrest if they fear they could commit a hate crime.
Critics have warned the “draconian” bill is an overreach of power and could stifle free speech and difficult discussions.
But Canada’s justice minister defended the measure, claiming it would be an “important” tool to help protect potential victims.
One of the suggested measures would give judges the ability to put people under house arrest who they worry could commit a hate crime in the future. The person could also be made to wear an electronic tag if the attorney-general requested it.
Arif Virani, the justice minister, said the measures could prove “very important” in restraining the behaviour of someone who might be targeting minority groups.
”[If] there’s a genuine fear of an escalation, then an individual or group could come forward and seek a peace bond against them and to prevent them from doing certain things,” Mr Virani said.
OBSERVATION - Bill C-63 was commented on yesterday, now more is being peeled back and its not pretty. These ‘precrime’ arrests and punishments have been floating around for many years. Now the WEF’s testbed country - Canada - is attempting to put them into practice in a nasty manner.
Coming soon to an America near you.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
GOP Colorado Rep Ken Buck departure leaves the House Republicans with a 218-213 majority and three vacancies that will be filled by special elections before November. House Democrats have only one vacancy to fill after Rep. Brian Higgins (D-NY) resigned on Feb. 2.
However, there is RUMINT of a darker side to Buck’s departure - reports that he said 4 more people will leave with him. If this happens, it could swing the House under control of Hakeem Jeffries and the democrats. Same democrats who are making preparations NOT to certify the results of Nov’s election if Trump wins. With control of the house, such an action would almost be a certainty.
As a big time never-Trumper, is Buck willing to destroy the election process in his hate of Trump?.
OBSERVATION - I’m searching to see if this rumored threat by Buck is valid or something cooked up on the web. If this pans out as the worst case scenario, it could trigger real violence in January. Instead of largely peaceful protestors entering the capitol - unarmed, the real guns may well come out. Democrats will be full on guilty of what they’ve accused republicans of over the past 3+ years. The constitutional crisis will be off the charts.
How far off the charts is this scenario? It is plausible, given that the majority of democrats favor an attempt to stop the certification if Trump wins and there are democrats in congress already openly making plans to do so. Jeffries is a hard core leftie, who like pelosi, would have no qualms over the action and would actively support it. This could become one of the many triggers democrats use to permit imposition of martial law and attempt to eliminate Trump supporters all together. The situation must be watched carefully.
***
On Saturday, a San Bernardino sheriff’s deputy shot and killed a 15-year-old. According to BLM and the media, the deputy slaughtered an autistic black teenager in cold blood. According to known facts, 15-year-old Ryan Gainer’s family called the sheriff because the allegedly autistic teen was terrorizing them. Gainer attacked the deputy, who fired in self-defense.
A story from Britain’s Guardian tips you off to how the piece will be covered: “California officer shoots and kills boy, 15, holding gardening tool.” Imagine a peaceful child raking the lawn when a sheriff drives by and fires. However, even The Guardian explains that the family called 911 because they were afraid and that Gainer charged the deputy:
OBSERVATION - BLM scrounging around for a ‘victim’ that they can use to rally the troops and begin another round of violence and rioting. I don’t think this is going to work for them as the optics are not optimal
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
POLITICAL FRONT –
March 22, second funding deadline
***
Biden’s 2025 budget proposal includes billions of dollars to push gender fluidity, sexuality, and (racist) race ideology — including $30 million to increase the number of educators completing a program that trains teachers to teach (indoctrinate) kids on the “inclusivity” of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusivity (DEI).
Released this week, Biden’s massive $7.3 trillion budget includes $3 billion to, as the White House touted “advance gender equity and equality worldwide.”
With due respect to Congressman Good, Biden’s 2025 budget proposal goes beyond merely pandering to the Democrat base. All Democrat proposals pander to rank-and-file Democrat voters.
The difference is Joe Biden and the Democrats have crossed the Rubicon and are now at a place where they seek nothing less than the re-education of some and the indoctrination of others with an insidious sickness that would ultimately destroy America as we know it if they succeed.
OBSERVATION - This is going far beyond the old fashioned culture wars - into direct indoctrination at a federal level. Further, to accomplish this, the regime must continue to shatter the family, separating children from parents - so expect further attacks on parent’s rights.
***
The judge overseeing the Georgia 2020 election interference case on Wednesday dismissed some of the charges against former President Donald Trump and others, but the rest of the sweeping racketeering indictment remains intact.
Fulton County Superior Court Judge Scott McAfee quashed six counts in the indictment, including three against Trump, the presumptive 2024 Republican presidential nominee. But the judge left in place other counts — including 10 facing Trump — and said prosecutors could seek a new indictment to try to reinstate the ones he dismissed.
OBSERVATION - This greatly helps Trump and sets the law fare of the activists DA back a few paces. Still pending is whether Willis and her lover are going to get canned from the case altogether.
Illegal Immigration –
Ron DeSantis will send over 250 additional soldiers - and a fleet of aircraft and boats - to ‘protect’ Florida from vessels carrying Haitian asylum seekers.
The conservative governor made the edict Wednesday, as unrest in the Caribbean country continued for a second week.
The deployment will include 48 National Guardsmen, as well as four helicopters that will add to an already boisterous line of defense along the state’s southern coast.
A further 39 officers from the Florida Department of Law Enforcement, 30 from Florida Highway Patrol, and 23 from the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission will also join the front, as well as a litany of aircraft and drones and eight boats.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13195411/DeSantis-sends-soldiers-protect-florida-haiti.html
OBSERVATION - DeSantis has resumed doing good now that he has stopped his campaign for the ’24 presidency. Florida will be ground zero for the attempts by Haitians to enter the US.
IN RELATED - The govt is evaluating whether or not to use facilities at Gitmo to process the wave of Haitian refugees that are expected to flood this way.
MORE RELATED - Coast Guard Cutter Benard C. Webber’s crew repatriated 33 migrants to Haiti, Monday, following an interdiction of a migrant venture near Fort Pierce Inlet, Florida.
A good Samaritan notified Sector Miami watchstanders of a grounded fishing vessel, at approximately 10:30 a.m., on Feb. 3.
The Coast Guard and its Homeland Security Task Force - Southeast partners will continue to be a presence in the air and on the waters to detect and deter migrants from attempting to unlawfully enter the U.S. by sea.
“U.S. maritime borders are not open to unauthorized entry or illicit trafficking,” said Lt. Cmdr. Sean Newmeyer, Coast Guard District Seven. “Coast Guard and our partners are committed to stopping illegal ventures, preventing unsafe voyages at sea and enforcing U.S. immigration laws and regulations.”
Coast Guard crews repatriated 53 migrants to Haiti in fiscal year 2024, which began on Oct. 1, 2023.
***
A second wave of Venezuela’s worst criminals could soon be rushing over the US border after being released from prison in their home country.
DailyMail.com was first to report on the first wave of Venezuelan gangsters to cross the border and filter into American cities - including henchmen for dictator Nicolas Maduro and members of the notorious Tren de Aragua gang.
Now, more gang bangers and thugs who had been locked away are being released, according to a government official.
Since Friday, we have been carrying out in the state of Miranda, an operation looking into preventative centers and prisons,’ Supreme Court of Justice Magistrate Edgar Gavidia said, adding that 100 prisoners had already been turned loose.
‘We’re looking case-by-case at anyone, giving justice to those who at one time made a mistake in their lives to expedite justice.’
Speaking to DailyMail.com by phone Monday, Miami immigration attorney Rolando Vazquez warned, ‘These are killers.’
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Russian presidential election on March 17
The Russian Foreign Ministry announced the introduction of personal sanctions against 227 U.S. nationals involved in “the development of Washington’s Russophobic course”
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Where is Gerasimov? Well, he is reportedly dismissed as Chief of the Russian General Staff. According to Russian media, Lieutenant General Viktor Poznihir will temporarily perform the duties of the Chief of the General Staff.
The question remains. Where is Gerasimov?
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-50 range. Slight chance of snow/rain showers in extended forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 22 of 36 drones overnight. Damage to civilian infrastructure in Velykyi Burluk and Lozova of Kharkiv region as result of drone strikes
Legion forces are engaged at the border in Glotovo, Spodaryushino, Zarechye-Pervoye of Belgorod region
Action along other fronts appears to be stable, with no significant actions.
Crimean front —
Explosions were reported in Skadovsk.
Russian Territory –
Explosion was reported in central Belgorod, smoke was observed rising.
2 drones attacked Prokhorovka village of Belgorod region
The FSB reports the detention in St. Petersburg of four members of the organization “Russian Volunteer Corps” (RDK).
Outlook —
Ukraine’s drone blitz yesterday did substantial damage to Russian targets. Ukraine destroyed 10% of Russia’s oil refining capacity in two days, according to Bloomberg. That is a big hit.
Ground action remains at a stalemate, with the exception of the actions by the Legion. Actual Legion status is not clear - fog of war and OPSEC.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
***
Israel Defense Forces may soon begin the long-awaited ground offensive into the town of Rafah, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant hinted while visiting IDF troops in the western portion of Gaza City on Wednesday.
“I met the troops who are conducting extraordinary work above and below the ground. Our forces reach every location [necessary], and we can conclude that there is no safe haven for terrorists in Gaza.”
“Even those who think we are delayed will soon see that we will reach every location [necessary]. We will bring to justice anyone who was involved in the events [massacre conducted] on October 7th. We will either eliminate them [the terrorists] or bring them to trial in Israel,” Gallant vowed.
“There is no safe haven – not here, not outside of Gaza, not across the Middle East – we will bring them to justice.”
***
Washington has told Jerusalem it could support a limited IDF military operation against “high value” Hamas targets in Rafah in southern Gaza, according to a report published Wednesday in Politico.
The American news outlet wrote that senior Biden administration officials conveyed to their Israeli counterparts that the United States could support targeted raids against the terrorist group’s top officials both above ground and in the vast tunnel system running underneath the city along the Egyptian border.
Concern has been mounting in Washington and European capitals about the safety of noncombatants during an Israeli offensive to defeat the final four Hamas battalions concentrated there, consisting of roughly 3,000 fighters, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the AIPAC conference via video link on Tuesday is essential to winning the war.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/u-s-idf-military-operation/2024/03/14/id/1157223/
OBSERVATION - This will most likely be totally rejected by Israel. The US is trying to force the fight into Hamas favor - this is what Hamas planned for. The only way to eliminate Hamas forces in Rafah is on the ground, locating and destroying the underground network and potentially freeing hostages. The biden regime want us to ignore the fact that Hamas tunnels are extensive and consistently buried under common facilities granted exemptions from attack, such as hospitals, schools and residential areas. Selective bombing would accomplish Israel’s goals.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
IAF increased its air strikes across Gaza overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF and artillery struck Hezbollah positions all along the Israeli/Lebanese border zone overnight.
Hezbollah launched 6 missiles towards the Ruwaisat Al-Alam in the Kafr Shuba hills, N Israel.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israel security forces arrested at least 20 Palestinians from the West Bank last night, including former prisoners.
Israeli security forces raided numerous towns across the West Bank, targeting terrorist holdouts.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
UKMTO has received a report of an incident 50NM southeast of Aden, Yemen. The vessel’s Master reports an explosion at a distance astern of the vessel, the vessel has sustained no damage and the crew are reported safe. The vessel is proceeding to its next port of call.
***
Houthi rebels have successfully tested a hypersonic missile and the group intends to use such missiles against Israel and targets at sea, a source close to the group tells RIA Novosti
OBSERVATION - Release for propaganda. They’ve only utilized Iranian supplied rockets and technology.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.
Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.
I don’t believe the Houthi claim of a hypersonic weapon. Internally, they don’t have the capability. If they have something, it has been smuggled in by Iran which has recently made claims of developing one.
Iran –
Biden Administration has reportedly approved the renewal of an Iran sanctions waiver what will allow the Iranian regime to Collect upwards of $10 Billion from Iraq for electricity payments through third-party countries such as Qatar and Oman; this waiver was previously approved by Biden in November of 2023 and was set to expires this month.
OBSERVATION - Another 10 BILLION for the support of terrorism.
We are in a moment of almost unprecedented peril in this country, and yet perhaps the most remarkable aspect of the present situation is that almost no one is talking about it. Imagine yourself on a storm-tossed vessel headed for the rocks in a thunderstorm — and everyone blissfully asleep below decks. The war in Ukraine continues without any sign of a serious effort to bring it to a negotiated conclusion. Our only “plan” seems to be to continue to pour jet fuel on the fire. Virtually every week another senior Russian official threatens the use of nuclear weapons. This is the kind of thing that used to be considered a “crisis.” Now it barely merits mention.
Excerpted
Sam Faddis on Steve Bannon's War Room:
https://rumble.com/v4j8pvt-fmr.-cia-operative-sam-faddis-warns-of-possible-terrorist-attacks-that-woul.html
Globalism / Great Reset –
Upcoming meetings of importance
- WHO pandemic ‘treaty’ May 2024
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
The weekend is upon us and I expect that the pro-hamas elements will be scattered about attempting to disrupt traffic, air travel and any govt legislature. Schumer’s statement on the Senate floor yesterday may stir up some energy, we’ll have to see.
Terrorism -
Ramadan begins March 11th.
This warning UPDATED as of March 3, 2024
ELEVATED RISK - Potential military action against Iranian assets for the attack that killed US forces in Jordan could result in Iranian terror groups here in the US to activate and conduct terror ops here. These attacks can range from infrastructure destruction (water, power, communications, etc) to mass casualty events or attacks on political candidates - heavily leaning against current administration but also Trump as well. So far the govt hasn’t come out with any warnings but the risk has increased significantly the last 24 hours, based on common sense and stated goals of the Islamist movement/Iran.
RELATED - Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Wednesday issued a travel warning for Ramadan, warning of the possibility of attacks on Israeli and Western targets around the world.
***
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Its been out there for a few days now, but West Point has completed its transition to Woke Point via removal of ‘Duty, Honor and Country’
Those who haven’t served won’t recognize the heights our military has fallen. And as much as ring knockers were when I was active duty - this is a major blow to the credibility of the junior officer corps - which will eventually migrate to higher levels.
POLITICAL FRONT –
March 22, second funding deadline
***
Breaking -
McAfee ruled that Willis can continue to prosecute the former president and his co-defendants, but he has given the state multiple options to handle the case. All options involve Nathan Wade stepping away from the team.
“The prosecution of this case cannot proceed until the State selects one of two options,” McAfee wrote in his decision.
- “The District Attorney may choose to step aside, along with the whole of her office, and refer the prosecution to the Prosecuting Attorneys’ Council for reassignment...
-Alternatively, (Special Assistant District Attorney) Wade can withdraw, allowing the District Attorney, the Defendants, and the public to move forward without his presence or remuneration distracting from and potentially compromising the merits of this case.”
https://pjmedia.com/chris-queen/2024/03/15/breaking-fani-willis-decision-n4927325
OBSERVATION - Fallout from this decisions will become clearer as the smart folk tear into the wording of the decision. At first glance it is a mixed bag of worms. But the judge cowardly refused to execute maximum judgement in the face of blatant perjury by both Willis and Wade.
***
Schumer’s sudden, hard line against Israel is reverberation today. This may signal a hard leftist turn given the recent growth of the ‘uncommitted’ campaign and the loss of progressive democrat enthusiasm for an administration that continually supports Israel. This may reflect democrat recognition of this being a signal of depressed voter turnout for Biden in November. This may broaden the internal conflict between old school, Israel supporting democrats and their leftist progressive wing.
Illegal Immigration –
Border Patrol agents in the Tucson Sector continue to experience a spike in migrant apprehensions. So far this fiscal year, Tucson Sector agents apprehended more than 312,000 migrants in just over five months.
During at least the last eight weeks, agents in the Tucson Sector apprehended more than 11,000 migrants per week who illegally crossed the border between ports of entry, according to a social media post from Chief Patrol Agent John Modlin.
According to official and unofficial reports reviewed by Breitbart Texas, Tucson Sector agents apprehended more than 300,000 migrants this fiscal year, which began on October 1, 2023. This is up by nearly 170 percent from the same period one year earlier.
The apprehensions in the Tucson Sector represent approximately one-third of all migrant apprehensions by Border Patrol agents nationwide, according to an unofficial Border Patrol report reviewed by Breitbart Texas.
OBSERVATION - Crossing have continued to shift to the west following TX closure of the border.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Feb 21, 2024.
Russia has taken advantage of Ukrainian ammo shortages, forcing them into primary defensive operations, and has seized the initiative following the fall of Avdiivka. Russia has reportedly concentrated 40,000 troops to sustain this offensive. The attacks associated with this offensive do not appear to be supportive of each other in a manner but are scattered along the front, concentrating on five axises of attack -
- Avdiivka,
- Maryinka,
- Robotyne,
- Kremenka and
- Bakhmut.
Russia has been able to gradually enlarge the number of soldiers in the theatre to the 400,000 range. Training and equipping of these forces is still rated very poor. Russia has drawn heavily upon ‘volunteers’ from penal colonies for their “Z” shock troops- the primary element of their meat attack (human wave) assaults against Ukraine defenses. It has been documented that ‘enforcement’ squads follow behind these ‘shock troops’ with orders to shoot any who attempt to retreat.
With the exception of Avdiivka, initial Russia attacks along the other axises have had poor results and exceptionally heavy losses. Russia continues to suffer heavy tank and APC losses. Old, cold war era tanks and APCs are becoming more and more common sights in battle fields. (formerly) Elite units like the Russian marines are routinely seen with T54/55 series tanks instead of the T72/80/90 series they were commonly equipped with. In some cases, over 70% of these newer tanks have been destroyed or captured by Ukraine.
In these other attacks, Russia continues to make poor use of fire and maneuver, preferring tank/armor ‘charges’ across open areas and down roads. This brings them into prepared kill zones where these forces are stopped and destroyed. However, as seen in Avdiivka, when Ukraine lacks the artillery, Russian forces are able to penetrate in mass and overwhelm the fewer Ukrainian defenders.
Russian organization and capabilities make it unlikely that they will be able to quickly take advantage of penetrations into Ukrainian defenses. Poor training and lack of leadership at all levels, combined with poor logistic trains, will prevent any major breakouts beyond initial penetration of lines.
Shortages of Ukraine artillery ammo has permitted Russia to regain some degree of local superiority on the battlefield. Some estimates give Russia a 3:1 advantage. This is down substantially from the start of the war where it had a 10:1 advantage. Russia is relying heavily on N Korean artillery rounds and Iranian drone/missiles.
Russian appears to be continuing to shepherd its stockpile of missiles/drones for a potential effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as they did winter 2022./23 This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage. Ammo shortages are starting to impact Ukraine ADA defenses as well.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. In the latest, large missile / drone attack, the Black Sea fleet was noticeably out of action. Ukraine continues to engage and destroy Russian naval vessels..
While the Russia air force has taken significant losses at the hands of Ukraine, early in this winter/spring offensive, Russian has more aggressively conducted CAS in support of ground troops, reflecting ADA shortages. As a result, Russia has been able to locally seize air superiority at key locations along the front - the first time in two years of fighting. This has been at a cost, with 7 Su-34/35 aircraft being lost in the last part of February alone.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace. putin is struggling to place his economy on wartime footing to accomplish this goal.
Unknowns at this time are how soon ammo supples will start hitting Ukrainian units. Long range ATACMS and German Taurus cruise missiles may be coming on line soon for Ukraine as well as F-16s (now reportedly due in late spring/early summer).
*****
Russian presidential election on March 17
Voting has begun in Russia’s presidential election, which is all but certain to hand Vladimir Putin another six years in power.
Ballots will be cast over three days, even though the result is not in doubt as he has no credible opponent.
Polling stations opened in the Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia’s easternmost region, at 08:00 local time on Friday (20:00 GMT on Thursday) and will finally close in the westernmost Kaliningrad exclave at 20:00 on Sunday the 17th.
putin has already been in power in Russia longer than any ruler since Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin.
OBSERVATION - The results are a given, this only serves as eye wash for the world.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia has moved tactical nuclear weapons from its own borders into neighboring Belarus, several hundred miles closer to NATO territory, Western officials confirmed to Foreign Policy, as Russian President Vladimir Putin threatens a wider military showdown with the alliance over its continued support for Ukraine.
The move, which Putin first announced in June of last year, is likely aimed at ramping up pressure on NATO’s eastern flank. It follows years of nuclear saber-rattling intended to scare the West into paring back its support for Ukraine, now in its third year of war against Russia’s invasion, though top NATO officials insist that the move doesn’t drastically change the nature of Russia’s military threats to NATO.
Arvydas Anusauskas, Lithuania’s defense minister, was the first top official within the NATO alliance to confirm the news of the deployment. He warned that the risks of Western inaction were high, citing the lackluster response in the West to Russia moving more nuclear weapons to the Kaliningrad Peninsula, which is bounded by Poland and Lithuania on either side.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/14/russia-nuclear-weapons-belarus-putin/
OBSERVATION - This seems to be a continuation of putin’s policy of “escalate to deescalate”, where the threats are ramped up and upon seeing the west back down, then deescalates. Talk from other NATO members, like France, indicate a growing willingness to use nukes against Russia should any expansion of the Ukraine war occur.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-50 range. Slight chance of snow/rain showers in extended forecast.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 27 of 27 Shahed drones. Russian army also launched 7 S-300/S-400 missiles at Kharkiv and Donetsk region and Kh-59 missile at Poltava region
Propaganda from the Legion suggests some tactical successes.
There are reports that people are leaving Belgorod. This is backed with some reality.The Bilhorod region is once again under attack. Since this morning, continuous shelling and drone attacks occur after the announcement by Russian insurgent forces that they would increase attacks.
A part of the center of Bilhorod is covered in smoke, cars are burning, after heavy shelling from Russian insurgents.
Legion forces have also claimed to have destroyed a Russian ammunition warehouses in Tyotkino,
Russian Volunteer Corps Chief of Staff Oleksandr, known as “Fortuna,” disclosed that their unit has penetrated “several dozen kilometers” into Russian territory and has captured prisoners. He said that the operation was planned for months.
Russian Ministry of Defense claims regaining full control over Kozinka village of Belgorod region. This follows rumors of a Legion air assault operations at the town.
Russian Territory –
Explosions at refinery in Polotnyany Zavod village of Kaluga , Russia, after drone strike. Russia claims 4 drones were shot down over Kaluga region.
Outlook —
The Legion’s foray into Russia is designed for one thing - propaganda directed towards the Russian elections. Just enough resources have been tossed into it to make it a real threat to Belgorod. Russian news keeping the action under hard wraps - as it is embarrassing to putin and corrodes his declarations that Russia is untouchable.
Same goes for the UAV attacks on Russian oil refineries. They are a big symbol of Russia’s inability to contain Ukraine and damages are piling up.
OTOH, increasing concern over Ukraine running out of all kinds of ammo. Their army is very successful in the past when fully armed, now are having to make due with a lot less against a foe that is working to overwhelm it by mass of bodies.
Belarus -
Belarus has reportedly deployed tanks near its border with NATO, while tensions between Russia and the strategic alliance continue to simmer amid the war in Ukraine.
The Belarusian military “mobilized reservists and kicked off major military maneuvers,” according to a report published by The Kyiv Post on Thursday. Troops and equipment including tanks from Belarus’ 19th Guards Mechanized Brigade were reportedly deployed near the country’s western border with NATO member country Lithuania.
The Belarusian Defense Ministry said in a statement shared on social media that a military training exercise was taking place in a region that includes Oshmyany through April 5. Additional exercises were reportedly taking place in several other regions of Belarus, including some in areas not far from the border with Poland, another NATO member country.
OBSERVATION - Lithuania has one of the smaller military forces in NATO and as such a likely target for the Belarus army. The Belarus army has been doing a lot of training over the past couple years to make up for its poor rating. The past year, former Wagner personnel have been conducting a lot of the training, so that the readiness of the forces is in far better shape than the start of the Ukraine war. Further, Belarus army has fewer concerns about attacking Lithuania versus Ukraine.
Note too forces are training opposite of Poland.
Strategically, there is a strip of Polish/Lithuanian land that separates Kaliningrad from Belarus. This is one of the ‘land bridges’ putin eventually wants to control so that Russia forces can project power further to the west. The other ‘land bridge’ was to connect with Transnistria.
As for now, this continues to appear to be a large, readiness exercise. For Belarus to invade Lithuania (or even Poland for that matter) would generate a NATO Art 5 response that would go as far as to justify NATO entering Ukraine against Russia as well. Belarus has done a lot of training, but I don’t think we are at that end game yet.
Europe / NATO General –
Macron has been very outspoken regarding the movement towards a broad European war with Russia should Ukraine’s defense fail. His wartalk is being echoed by many in the EU/NATO.
***
Russia has been accused of jamming the satellite signal on an RAF plane carrying Defence Secretary Grant Shapps in its latest act of hostility.
The country’s latest act of hostility took place while Defence Secretary was returning from a visit to Poland.
He went with his team and a group of journalists to watch hundreds of British troops take part in NATO’s biggest exercise since the Cold War.
For roughly 30 minutes, the RAF aircraft’s GPS signal jammed and mobile phones could no longer connect to the internet as it flew near the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.
ISRAEL –
Now the war is in its 5th month.
Dates to remember -
Ramadan March 11 - April 8
Key overnight developments -
- Hama released its hostage release/ceasefire proposal
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still 105 being held hostage in Gaza.
***
The proposal submitted by Hamas through Qatar for a deal to release hostages includes several stages - including one calling for a complete cessation of hostilities, as reported by the Reuters news agency.
According to the report, the first phase will include the release of women (including those Hamas defined as ‘soldiers’), children, the elderly, and male hostages who are ill. This is in exchange for between 700-1,000 Arab terrorists.
Hamas proposed that immediately after this stage a discussion would be started on a permanent ceasefire in Gaza and setting a date for the withdrawal of IDF forces from the Strip.
In the second phase and subject to the progress of the discussions, all of the hostages remaining in Gaza would be released in exchange for hundreds and possibly even thousands of terrorists.
The War Cabinet will convene this afternoon and discuss Hamas’ response, after which the expanded cabinet will also convene.
The Prime Minister’s Office last night poured cold water on the Hamas proposal, stating, “Hamas continues making preposterous demands. An update on the issue will be brought tomorrow before the War Cabinet and the Political-Security Cabinet.”
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/386791
***
In a long speech on the floor yesterday Senate Majority Chuck Schumer called for the replacement of the current Israeli government under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Times of Israel has posted the full text of Schumer’s remarks here. According to Schumer, Netanyahu is an obstacle to peace, the two-state final solution, and the source of all the other ills of the world.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Ongoing search and destroy operations throughout Gaza. Some troop rotations ongoing, bringing in fresh forces.
Hamas reportedly killed the head of a local clan in Gaza City on March 13 likely as part of Hamas’ effort to reassert its authority in the northern Gaza Strip.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israel security forces arrested at least 20 Palestinians from the West Bank last night, including former prisoners.
***
Israel’s police force said it will deploy thousands of officers across Jerusalem’s Old City for Ramadan’s first Friday prayers at the Al-Aqsa Mosque, with tensions high amid the Gaza war.
“We are prepared for Friday prayers with more police officers. Thousands of them will be in the area of Temple Mount,” police spokeswoman Mirit ben Mayor told reporters, referring to the holy site upon which the mosque sits.
Hundreds of police officers had already been deployed in the Old City in since Ramadan began on Monday, she said.
Last week Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said Muslim worshippers would be allowed to access Al-Aqsa Mosque in the same numbers as in previous years during the first week of Ramadan.
“Every week there will be a situation assessment in terms of security and safety and a decision will be made accordingly,” it said.
Palestine Foreign Ministry: Israeli restrictions on prayer at Al-Aqsa are a spark to detonate the situation in the West Bank
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues to isolate and eliminate remaining Hamas et al cells throughout Gaza.
Plans continue to move forward on entering Rafah to liquidate Hamas forces there. Rafah is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza.
Hamas’ hostage / cease fire offer is right on schedule. If you remember, they offered similar during previous Israeli stages in Northern and Central Gaza. It is a delay tool, especially in the face of an impending Israeli action into Rafah, where the last 8 or so intact battalions of Hamas are hiding, along with probably the remaining major leaders. Hamas wants to keep some force intact to facilitate its retaking of control of Gaza.
That retaking of control is shifting focus to the various clans of Gaza. Israel has already reached out to many in an effort for them to take over come civil control. Hamas sees that as a threat to their power. However, their attack on a key clan - especially in their weakened state - may blow up in their faces.
Clans in the Moslem world are very tightly knit. Osama ben Laden married into a powerful clan in Afghanistan knowing that any attack on him would net a very powerful defensive force. Time will tell how the interactions with the clans of Gaza pans out for either side.
Right now, Israel is unlikely to accept Hamas’ offer on many grounds and the ground movement into Rafah will soon happen.
One final item. The US democrat leadership appear to be making a hard 180 in regards to support to Israel. First the extension of sanction wavers to Iran, to the tune of $10 BILLION dollars. Second, the threat to restrict the use of US military supplies if Israel enters Rafah. US support of a forced two state solution and more sanctions of israelis in the West Bank. Now Chucky Schumer demanding that Israel stop everything and replace Netanyahu as the countries leader - right in the middle of a war of national survival. The fall out from Schumer’s statement will be reverberating for the next several days at least.
Central / South America General-
US State Department says it is not “actively planning” evacuation efforts for any Americans still in Haiti.
“Haiti has been a level four country with respect to our travel advisors since 2020. For four years we’ve been telling Americans do not go to Haiti.”
OBSERVATION - Once again, our country is leaving citizens out to dry as things hit the fan.
Misc of Note –
More fear mongering. An area off the coast of Washington state is being shaken by hundreds and hundreds of earthquakes. Scientists are saying that the quakes are centered around a large underwater volcano. The underwater volcano does not pose a threat at all, but if an enormous earthquake along the Cascadia Subduction Zone were to trigger a giant tsunami that slams into the west coast, that would be a historic disaster of epic proportions.
So the claim is that this an indication of potential trouble for the Cascadia Subduction Zone.
Take a deep breath folks. While I fully concur that the Cascadia subduction zone is a MAJOR threat to the Pacific NW and the rest of the west coast, volcanic activity, this activity will not trigger it in the short term.
The quakes and ‘volcano’ are centered on the Juan de Fuca Ridge - a spreading center. The eruption when it occurs will be similar to the ones in recent times in Iceland - fluid basaltic.
Tectonically, the spreading center is pushing the Juan De Fuca plate eastward under the continental US at the Cascadia subduction zone. The eruption and associate spreading are contributors to a much larger spreading of the whole ridge system.
https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/BB1jQ1GO.img?w=534&h=428&m=6
This fear mongering is much like the very periodic ones surrounding Yellowstone any time there is a seismic swarm recorded there. Mostly by poorly informed individuals who don’t put the whole picture together.
The Pacific NW and west coast is not ready for a magnitude 9 quake / tsunami - an it will hit at a time of its own choosing, like it did in 1700. Linking it directly to seismic and volcanic activity many miles away is stretching it.
Indeed it is. It is almost inconceivable how this could happen without the West Point and Army leadership raising holy hell even given the appalling Woke culture permeating the Academies and armed services. The gelding of our military culture continues full throttle.
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