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Threat Matrix
Self

Posted on 01/01/2023 6:02:12 AM PST by Godzilla

Threats surround us on a daily basis. Being able to recognize them and react are essential. This is ongoing commentary of those threats


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous; Politics; Reference
KEYWORDS: emp; godbless; thankyougodzilla; threatmatrix; tm
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Bill Gates is calling on the leaders of sovereign nations to surrender the authorities of their countries to the World Health Organization’s (WHO) “global health emergency corps.” Gates argues that the WHO should be viewed as a “fire department for pandemics” that seizes control of nations on a global level during health emergencies.

Speaking in a New York Times op-ed published Sunday, Gates voiced his support for the WHO’s Global Pandemic Treaty.
The WHO’s treaty will essentially establish an unelected global regime that will override local laws with global protocols if the United Nations agency declares a health emergency.

By creating a single global authority, the WHO would be able to order once-sovereign nations to roll out vaccination and mask mandates, vaccine passports, widespread lockdowns, and other pandemic measures, all under international law for the sake of public health.
All 194 of the WHO member nations are set to vote on the amendments and finalize the new treaty by May 2024. Biden has already confirmed that he plans to approve and sign the amendments and is pushing to do so without congressional approval.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/19/opinion/bill-gates-pandemic-preparedness-covid.html

OBSERVATION – This is not surprising that Gates would support this spread of medical tyranny. In addition to his involvement in the wuhan plandemic, he and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is already on the hook for lawsuits rising from an oral polio ‘vaccine’ given to children according to the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Burundi and the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI)
The nOPV2 polio vaccine was developed by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

**
Biden issued his first presidential veto, in objection to a bipartisan Congressional joint resolution nullifying his administration’s rule freeing asset managers to invest their clients’ retirement savings in political causes, rather than in the most profitable investments.
“[T]his resolution [joint resolution H.J. Res. 30] would prevent retirement plan fiduciaries from taking into account factors, such as the physical risks of climate change and poor corporate governance, that could affect investment returns,” Biden wrote

Under federal ERISA (Employee Retirement Income Security Act) law, asset managers have a fiduciary responsibility to their clients to base investment decisions on their expected financial profitability alone. Recent Studies have documented that ESG investments underperform investments in politically-neutral companies.

But, a Labor Department rule that went into effect in January gave fund managers the freedom to pick investments based on ESG goals, as well, even if that meant sacrificing retirement account growth.

OBSERVATION – Following the WEF guidelines to reduce the wealth production of the country/individuals and redistributing that money to financial black hole projects that will reduce or kill retirement accounts. NOTE – this was a bi-partisan bill.

**
UN warns of DOOM - IPCC report says only swift and drastic action can avert irrevocable damage to world
Scientists have delivered a “final warning” on the climate crisis, as rising greenhouse gas emissions push the world to the brink of irrevocable damage that only swift and drastic action can avert.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), made up of the world’s leading climate scientists, set out the final part of its mammoth sixth assessment report on Monday.

The comprehensive review of human knowledge of the climate crisis took hundreds of scientists eight years to compile and runs to thousands of pages, but boiled down to one message: act now, or it will be too late.
The UN secretary general, António Guterres, said: “This report is a clarion call to massively fast-track climate efforts by every country and every sector and on every timeframe. Our world needs climate action on all fronts: everything, everywhere, all at once.”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/20/ipcc-climate-crisis-report-delivers-final-warning-on-15c

OBSERVATION – Another of a long line of warnings of the impending end of human civilization to global warming.


Wuhan virus –

Moderna Inc expects to price its COVID-19 vaccine at around $130 per dose in the U.S. going forward as purchases move to the private sector from the government, the company’s president Stephen Hoge said in an interview on Monday.

OBSERVATION – that could eventually go topsy turvey with liability lawsuits inbound.


Economy –

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets today and tomorrow to discuss interest rates. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to make an announcement Wednesday afternoon on whether they will hike the Federal Funds Rate or pause. An increase of 0.25 basis points is currently expected in spite of the current banking chaos.

**
Wells Fargo economic analysts said that despite conflicting economic data, they expect a recession in the second half of 2023. Analysts expect the economy to exit any recession by early 2024 but warn of “dire economic consequences” if U.S. authorities are unable to prevent a banking crisis from spiraling into a global financial crisis. (FO)

**
“Total red meat and poultry production in 2023 is forecast to decrease for the first time in nearly a decade,” the USDA said in its biannual livestock, dairy, and poultry outlook released in early March.
“This is due to the 6 percent decline in beef production that more than offsets forecast increases in pork (2 percent), broiler meat (1 percent), and turkey (7 percent) production.”
The report said dwindling cattle production would likely cause a “significant year-over-year decrease in beef production, the first decline since 2015.”

OBSERVATION – Agriculture is still facing shock waves from the wuhan supply disruptions and meat processing plant closures followed by severe drought conditions and most recently skyrocketing inflation. This marks more instability in the meats for the near term.


Invasion of Illegals –

The total population of United States citizen children born to illegal aliens (anchor babies) now far exceeds one year of American births, a March analysis shows.

The Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR) analysis estimates that about 5.4 million “anchor babies,” the term used to describe the U.S.-born children of illegal aliens who are awarded birthright citizenship, reside across the nation.

The total population of United States citizen children born to illegal aliens now far exceeds one year of American births, a March analysis shows.
The Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR) analysis estimates that about 5.4 million “anchor babies,” the term used to describe the U.S.-born children of illegal aliens who are awarded birthright citizenship, reside across the nation.

OBSERVATION – All as planned by the Marxists – destroy the nation with illegals.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Eyes are on NYC and Florida to see how the reported plan to arrest and charge Trump will be carried out. Extra security is in place at the Manhattan court house and apparently a virtural hearing has been tossed out. Rumors continue of a recommendation of no bail and even more rumors that a cell on Rikers Island prision facility has been prepared.

If the NY DA choses foolishly to try to make a spectacle out of it, he may open a pandora’s box that will unleash a lot of unpleasantness.

**
Looks like Antifa et al has found a cause to hang their hat on. Anticipating summer protests against children’s trans & drag events, Antifa are sharing Twitter instructions on making projectile weapons to be used against people & property. Ingredients for their “paint bombs”? Glass, sand, house paint & oil.

OBSERVATION – This continues to mark an escalation in the threat posed by Antifa to silence by force any thing appearing anti-transgender. Combined with other political driven actions, this summer could be locally hot.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Iranian backed terror organizations are reportedly at work putting together plans for a Ramadan terror offensive.

Prime target will be Israel and Israeli interests around the world as well as sympathic governments and organizaitons.


POLITICAL FRONT –

House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan (R-OH), Oversight Committee Chair James Comer (R-KY), and Administration Committee Chair Bryan Steil (R-WI) sent a letter to Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg requesting communications, documents, and testimony related to an alleged $130,000 payment made by former Trump attorney Michael Cohen to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) said he would direct committees to probe if federal funds were used in Bragg’s investigation of former President Trump. (FO)

OBSERVATION – Other than expose the evident weaponization of DA’s against politicial opponents, an investigation will do little to stop this instance or future prosecutions. s


China –

SecState Blinken: Chinese President Xi’s visit to Russia after the International Criminal Court’s decision shows that Beijing does not believe in the need to hold the Kremlin accountable for the atrocities committed in Ukraine.

**
Chinese president Xi: China is prepared to defend world order alongside Russia in accordance with international law.

OBSERVATION - Thus goes America’s fall as a global leader.


Japan –

On Monday, Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced a new economic investment plan to support countries in South and Southeast Asia counter China’s growing influence. The plan, announced in New Delhi, promises billions of dollars in investments aligned with the four pillars of Japan’s new Indo-Pacific plan: maintaining peace, dealing with new global issues in cooperation, achieving global connectivity, and ensuring the safety of the open seas and skies. (FO)


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is rapidly losing its capability to sustain offensive operations in these fronts due to the huge resource drain Bahkmut has created. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

Following discussion with Xi (see also China above), Putin promised Xi Jinping that Russia is “open to the negotiations process” and “certainly respects” Chinese peace initiatives.

Economic Impact –
On Saturday, Russia extended the Black Sea grain corridor deal for 60 days. Russia said that any further extension beyond 18 May 2023 would rely on state-owned bank Rosselkhozbank being regranted access to the SWIFT financial messaging system, an unblocking of farm machinery supplies, and an unblocking of foreign assets held by Russian agricultural companies. (FO)


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures rising to the mid 30’s – lower 40s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with minor gains by Russian forces. Ukrainian forces stabilizing the northern and southern flanks – pushing Russian forces back in some instances.

Attacks in the Avdiivka area were large and better supported than Bakhmut today – a reversal from the recent trend. Russian forces made gains north and south of Avdiivka.

Ukraine displayed more long range drone capabilities overnight. About 3 Ukranian drones hit the Russian railyard in Dzhankoi Crimea earlier tonight, reportedly targeting a Russian train carrying Kalibr cruise missiles.

Another series of explosions have occurred at the RU airfield at Dzhankoya in occupied Crimea. It’s noteworthy that no ‘confirmed’ weapon system in UKR’s possession could have reached this target.

OUTLOOK –
Avdiivka is becoming the new Bahkmut as Russian forces have managed to stage some limited breakthroughs of the Ukrainian defenses north and south of the city and are pressing to encircle the town. A Bahkmut – like fight could hamper Ukrainian offensive planning due to having to reinforce the city or deal with it from an offensive. Tactically and strategically Avdiivka is far more an important objective than Bahkmut. Question is does Ukraine have reserve forces in place to stall out the Russian attacks while maintaining planning and preparation for their own offensive. I don’t have an answer to that question as of yet.


Iran –

Iranian security leaders have announced in recent days that they will resume enforcing the mandatory hijab law with a confrontational approach.

OBSERVATION – Iran went through weeks of violent protests as a result of the murder of a young woman not wearing a Hijab and with an additional crackdown, could see a resumption of protests.


Mexico -

Over the weekend, the Mexican military seized a number of assets belonging to American company Vulcan Materials.

“The seizure of a US company’s marine terminal in Mexico has drawn criticism from a US senator and risks sparking more tension between the two nations amid spats over energy and security,” Bloomberg reports. “US construction firm Vulcan Materials alleges that armed forces, including from the Mexican government, launched a takeover of its facility in the country’s southeast on Tuesday. The company says a federal judge in Mexico has ordered a stay on any government effort to confiscate the property.”

This is the latest development in an ongoing dispute between Vulcan and the Mexican government over Vulcan’s limestone mining techniques in Mexico. President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has called the mining operation an “ecological catastrophe.” Mexican authorities shut down the mining operation in May 2022 after Vulcan allegedly continued mining after the government had revoked mining permits.

OBSERVATION – Much of the pushback is the claim that the seizure is totally illegal. Some link the seizure to US rhetoric over using the military to take out narcoterror cartels in the border regions.



181 posted on 03/21/2023 7:04:34 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla; Fred Nerks; TigersEye

The plan, announced in New Delhi, promises billions of dollars in investments aligned with the four pillars of Japan’s new Indo-Pacific plan: maintaining peace, dealing with new global issues in cooperation, achieving global connectivity, and ensuring the safety of the open seas and skies. (FO)>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

As Biden retreats from the Western Pacific, Japan re establishes its traditional Greater East Asia Co-prosperity Sphere.We last saw this approach implemented by then Imperial Japan prior to WWII.

The cyclical nature of history repeating itself in the karma of nations continues as always.


182 posted on 03/21/2023 9:41:14 AM PDT by Candor7 ( ( Ask not for whom THE Trump trolls...He trolls for thee!)<img src=""width=500></img>)
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To: Godzilla
The comprehensive review of human knowledge of the climate crisis took hundreds of scientists eight years to compile and runs to thousands of pages, but boiled down to one message: act now, or it will be too late.

The constant message since 1973!

183 posted on 03/21/2023 3:38:39 PM PDT by ealgeone
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Running a little late today, sorry. Tomorrow’s post will be late as well as I have an early morning Dr appt.


Globalism / Great Reset –

The White House announced plans to establish two new national monuments as part of President Joe Biden’s land conservation agenda, which it said would protect and conserve 514,000 acres of public land in the West.

Biden will sign a proclamation Tuesday at the White House Conservation in Action Summit establishing the Avi Kwa Ame National Monument in Nevada and the Castner Range National Monument in El Paso, Texas. The designations will restrict development in the areas, including drilling and mining and possibly the construction of renewable energy facilities.

Related - Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo on Tuesday blasted Joe Biden for unilaterally locking up mineral rich land in his state. Karine Jean-Pierre: “This is the president that has taken an aggressive stand on climate.”

OBSERVATION – Thus the goal of the WEF. Head fake ‘renewable energy’ on one hand and then lock off the areas where those resources are found to prevent the development of said ‘renewable energy’.
**
Now it appears that even insect farming is being deemed as ‘unethical’. Guess they want us to eat nothing and be happy.


Wuhan virus –

Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel is set to testify before the Senate’s top healthcare committee Wednesday as the federal government generously offers to bail his company out of a patent infringement lawsuit.
The purpose of Wednesday’s Health, Labor, Education and Pensions (HELP) Committee hearing is to question Bancel about drug prices after Moderna proposed quadrupling the price of its COVID-19 shot. Independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, HELP’s chair, and Republican Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy, the committee’s ranking member, have long advocated for lower drug prices.
The Biden administration’s entanglement with ongoing litigation related to patent infringement has received less attention than issue of vaccine pricing. Moderna is currently fighting off a lawsuit from Arbutus Biopharma and Genevant Sciences, a pair of small biotechnology firms that allege Moderna stole their technology to develop its COVID-19 vaccine.

https://dailycaller.com/2023/03/21/moderna-lawsuit-patent-infringement-vaccine-doj-arbutus-genevant/

OBSERVATION – Not only no but HELL NO


Economy –

During an interview with CBS News on Tuesday, Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi stated that the problems in the banking industry are the inevitable result of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve where “things are going to start to wobble and break and it’s going to feel uncomfortable.” And because inflation is “still high” “the next 12-18 months are going to be uncomfortable.”

https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2023/03/22/moodys-chief-economist-inflation-is-still-high-so-problems-like-banking-issues-will-continue-for-next-12-18-months/

OBSERVATION – The Fed only has one tool at this point – a hammer – and everything looks like a nail. It is poorly prepared to deal with an economy with no legs to readily absorb the rapid rate increases. Now we are looking at prolonged banking crisis – along with a housing crash and continued inflation.

**
The amount of emergency cash the Fed has loaned to banks has BLOWN PAST the previous record high, which occurred during the Great Recession. Which is a harbinger of bad news if history is any indicator.


Invasion of Illegals –

Noting that illegal Chinese immigrant interceptions are reportedly up by some 900%


CW2/Domestic violence –

U.S. District Court Judge Cormac Carney from California has just ruled that the state’s recent ban of handguns is a total violation of the Second Amendment, according to Fox News. The law is illegal and cannot be enforced.

OBSERVATION – Many observers see the 9th circuit court upholding the judgement. Liberal heads in Sacramento are exploding.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

THE PENTAGON – After unveiling a budget that wants to decommission 11 warships next year, Navy officials are appealing to the public to allow the service to move ahead with their proposal.

Officials last week reiterated the Navy’s divest-to-invest approach, which argues the service needs to shed older ships to invest in newer capabilities and platforms.

“One of the things we have to get real about, instead of talking about estimated service life, talking about actual service life,” Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday said last week at the annual McAleese Conference.
“Ships need to be workable and they need to be usable. So those ships that aren’t either – usable or workable – I might be able to replace those with something that’s a little bit more agile. We may have to use them a little bit differently – get back to driving adaptability, effecting change,” he added.

OBSERVATION – Nice concept, except that such replacement ships are decades out.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Its Wednesday and Trump is still a free man. Recent events now have pushed any action into next week.

Soros backed DA Bragg is facing a lot of pressure to drop the case as well as intense pressure from “higher ups” to pursue it. He’s walking thru a minefield and to say he better watch his step is an understatement.

Attorney Robert Costello, the former legal adviser to Michael Cohen, spoke to Tucker Carlsonon Monday night after he testified to the Manhattan Grand Jury investigating President Donald Trump.

According to FOX News legal mind Gregg Jarrett, Soros-funded DA Alvin Bragg HID nearly 600 pages of exculpatory evidence to the New York Grand Jury investigating President Trump.

Gregg Jarrett: I mentioned it yesterday, I think, when Bob Costello got into that Grand Jury room and told them, “Wait a minute. You don’t have the hundreds of pages I handed over to Alvin Bragg over here? You only have six cherry-picked documents?” You know, hiding from grand juries exculpatory information is reprehensible and unconscionable. And the conduct of Alvin Bragg and his henchman Mark Pomeranz, who specifically says in his book, “We’re targeting zombies because we don’t like his beliefs,” those guys should face disbarment proceedings.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/03/breaking-soros-funded-da-alvin-bragg-caught-hiding-nearly-600-pages-of-exculpatory-evidence-from-ny-grand-jury-in-trump-case-video/

OBSERVATION – Six Hundred pages of evidence knowingly withheld from the grand jury. And according to Costello they are exculpatory evidence in favor of Trump. Manhattan DA is in big doo-doo over this and may torpedo the whole process.

Jury observers note the group was sent home today and may or may not meet tomorrow. The Manhattan DA’s offices reportedly in chaos over the hiding of the documents which will most likely torpedo any trial for the prosecution.


China –

See Russia for Xi’s trip


North/South Korea –

(AP) — South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol said Tuesday his government will move to restore Japan’s preferential trade status as he pushes to resolve history and trade disputes with Japan despite domestic opposition.
In lengthy, televised comments during a Cabinet Council meeting, Yoon defended his moves, saying that leaving ties with Japan as fraught as they are would be neglecting his duty because greater bilateral cooperation is vital to resolve diverse challenges facing Seoul.
“I thought it would be like neglecting my duty as president if I had also incited hostile nationalism and anti-Japan sentiments to use them for domestic politics while leaving behind the current, grave international political situation,” Yoon said.

OBSERVATION – Unintended consequences grow because of NK and Chinese aggressions and desires to control the region. Nations working out old problems in the face of China.

**
N. Korea fired multiple cruise missiles, informed source says, into the sea of Japan.


Japan –

See N/S Korea above.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
SPECIAL NOTE – This time last year the Russian invasion had essentially stalled out and Russian units were being cut to pieces being separated from their logistics train of fuel and ammo.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is rapidly losing its capability to sustain offensive operations in these fronts due to the huge resource drain Bahkmut has created. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

The Putin-Xi summit concluded Tuesday with a joint statement regarding the China peace proposal for Ukraine. Both nations agreed that a negotiated peace is the preferred route out of the Russia-Ukraine conflict but that the security concerns of all parties should be addressed. The statement added that both parties opposed any states and their blocs damaging the legitimate security interests of other states in order to obtain military, political, and other advantages. (FO)

**
“Changes are coming that have not happened for 100 years. And we are promoting these changes together. Where we are united, now there is peace,” says Xi Jinping, saying goodbye to Putin.

**
“If UK supplies depleted uranium shells to Ukraine, Russia will be forced to react” - Putin

Logistics –
Russia went from their top line tanks to pulling older T72 series tanks out of mothballs in about 5 months. Within about another 5 months Russia was forced to drag T-62 series tanks out of mothballs. Now it is confirmed that Russia is pulling 1950 vintage T-54/55 series tanks from mothballs. Humorous commentary is that Russia will be culling museums for WW2 T-34 tanks.


Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures rising to the mid 30’s – lower 40s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with minor gains by Russian forces.

Russia found some Iranian drones and fired some at Ukranian targets, Ukraine shot down about half of them, the others hit primarily civilian targets. Russia also attacked Odesa with four Kh-59 missiles. Air defense forces managed to shoot down two missiles, two others hit the city.

Crimean front ———
In Sevastopol, reports of heavy explosions in the area of the bay where missile carriers of the Black Sea fleet are located. Russians are reporting the possibility of air and sea drone attacks.

OUTLOOK –
With Zelensky’s visit to Bakhmut to encourage the troops, Ukraine appears to intend to maintain the defense of the city.

However, Russia has altered their attack plans not only in Bahkmut, but Avdiivka and some other areas too – that is to bypass the meat grinder on the flanks where defenses are not as dense or well developed. This has caused some degree of success for Russia, but it comes too late in their offensive to be much effect. This has forced Ukraine to commit some of its forces to defend the flanks of these cities to prevent full encirclement / cut off of Ukraine forces.

Now the clock is in Ukraine’s favor and new units formed around more modern armor systems should be up and running by the end of April – about the same time Ukraine forced the initial Russian surge in the northern half of the country back to the border.


Israel –

See Syria for overnight airstrike below.


Iran –

Ballistic missile bases of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Aerospace Force near Tabriz (Northwest Iran) are reported to be on high alert for possible missile strike against the Capital of Azerbaijan, the city of Baku, in case if Azerbaijani Army attacks Iranian Military Peacekeepers already in Armenia (Zangezur corridor).

Azerbaijan media reports that Iran has blocked the route from Nakhchivan to Baku, causing growing fuel shortage.

Rumors circulating at the moment that Iranian military elements in Tabriz, northwestern Iran, near the border with Armenia and Azerbaijan, have gone on alert, due to tensions in the area.

Iranian reconnaissance aircraft are also reported to be flying along the Iran-Azerbaijani border.

OBSERVATION – If the Azeri’s attack Armenia, Iran may take advantage and settle some old scores against the Azeri’s. Could be looking at a significant regional war breaking out. Iran’s biggest concern is maintaining a route thru Armenia to Russia – something the Azeri’s want blocked.

See more in Armenia – Azerbaijan below.


Lebanon -

Controlled essentially by Hezbollah, Lebanon’s economy is a mess. Since 2019 The Lebanese currency has lost 98% of it’s value and inflation is 5-10% per day. On Tuesday the anger spilled over and people began closing major roads and protesting.


Syria -

Syrian state media says Israel struck the Aleppo Airport and Nairab Military Airport early this morning, causing damage.

Target most likely was Iranian/Hezbollah logistics /storage and potentially commanders.


Armenia/Azerbaijan –

WAR WATCH

Placed this region back on WAR WATCH because of the rapid escalation and movement of opposing forces to border areas.

Unconfirmed, but likely reports that Azeri Armed Forces are about to launch a military operation to cut access of Armenia to the outside world by means of capturing Zangezur corridor, the last area which connects Armenia to Iran. This would allow Baku to establish a commercial/military corridor for itself and its allies by occupying Syunik province of Armenia.

While Nagorno-Karabakh itself may also be targeted, some think a large-scale conflict there is lower in probability. This due in part to the presence of Russian forces acting as peace keepers and the Azeri desire to keep them out of any conflict as allies of Armenia.

Iran has deployed some forces in the Zangezur corridor both as a ‘peace keeper’ as well as protecting transit routes northward towards Russia as well as a deterrent to Azeri forces.

Numerous videos have been posted of convoys headed to the border regions. Other recent actions include Azerbaijan cutting off the gas supplies from Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh.

Hospitals and Medical Clinics in Armenia have reportedly been ordered by the Ministry of Defense to begin stockpiling and replenishing their Blood Supplies.

OBSERVATION – The formula for a nasty regional war is growing. Armenia is backed by Russia and Iran (who’s grown closer in cooperation with Russia). Azeri’s are supported primarily by Turkey and to a degree Israel (the biggest burr in the saddle for Iran).


Misc of Note –

In California’s Central Valley, authorities issued evacuation orders for residents of communities in Tulare County, where a lake that dried up around World War II was set to reappear.

“Increasingly serious high water prospects in what is shaping up to possibly be a record Kings River runoff season have led the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Sacramento District to announce plans to begin a rare flood release into old Tulare Lakebed,” said a statement from the King’s River Conservation District (KRCD).

“Releases growing to 1,500 cubic feet per second... will begin taking the flood flows to the former lakebed in Kings County.

“They are anticipated to continue indefinitely, USACE officials said, possibly lasting until sometime in the summer.”
Tulare Lake was once the largest freshwater lake in the western United States, fed chiefly by snowmelt from the Sierra Nevada range.

But as the area was developed for agriculture and rivers were diverted for irrigation, the lake shrank, and by the middle of the 20th century, it had become farmland.

It has flooded periodically since, including in 1983 when record snowfall covered the mountains, with 2023 shaping up to rival those totals.

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/california-ghost-lake-rain/2023/03/22/id/1113327/

OBSERVATION – Currently snow pack is at the 2d highest level on record – and more is on the way. My former project site to the south of this area (King River is partially controlled by the USACE Pine Flat dam) is Lake Success and dam which had its spill of record nearly double that of the previous – and is still flooding the downstream town of Porterville.
This much water is now a bane to many farmers – flooding preventing getting crops planted.

The threat continues if a very warm, wet storm hits and creates and even bigger rain-on-snow event.

NOTE – Another storm (a bomb cyclone) is hitting San Fran region and is expected to The same storm is expected to cause severe weather across 16 other states. By Thursday and Friday, it will traverse from Texas to Alabama.


184 posted on 03/22/2023 10:57:51 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
Now it appears that even insect farming is being deemed as ‘unethical’. Guess they want us to eat nothing and be happy.

I've been waiting for the green left to start campaigning for carrot's rights.

"CARROTS ARE PEOPLE, TOO!" they will shout, while trying to ban all consumption of vegetables.

185 posted on 03/22/2023 2:47:27 PM PDT by Lazamataz (The firearms I own today, are the firearms I will die with. How I die will be up to them.)
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To: Lazamataz

Sadly I’m sure that Is going to happen at some point.


186 posted on 03/22/2023 3:27:57 PM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Prayers for an easy happy doctor’s appointment.


187 posted on 03/22/2023 7:21:59 PM PDT by GOPJ (Hunter Biden's BS about "seed loot"? Only people stupid enought to belive him are press bimbos.)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Well, misread my calendar – Dr appt is next week. So here is my wrap up for today.


Globalism / Great Reset –

Sen. Malcolm Roberts says that Australia should not cede its sovereignty to the WHO due to the organization’s corruption that generates billions for its owner, Bill Gates and because Tedros is an evil “killer” tied to a terrorist organization.

OBSERVATION – The US isn’t the only country that sees the WHO treaty modifications as detrimental to their country. The vote is coming soon and right now it appears that the representatives to the WHO will approve the changes.


Wuhan virus –

Moderna CEO tells Sen. Rand Paul that they paid the NIH $400M in royalties last year.

OBSERVATION – The NIH holds the patent on the mRNA technology? So the NIH is complicit in the scam and resulting deaths/adverse reactions.


Economy –

The Federal Reserve raised their target rate (upper bound) to 5%, up 25 basis points. At the same time, Fed Reverse Repo usage soared to $2.28 trillion as banks hide from inflation.

OBSERVATION – Reports also suggest that the Fed will take a break in raising the rate at its next meeting to give bank breathing room to reestablish stability. Some worry that this will cause inflation to start rising again.

**
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed is prepared to “use all of our tools” to maintain safety, soundness, and efficiency in the U.S. banking system after the collapse of Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank, and Signature Bank this month.

OBSERVATION – His words did little to reassure Wall Street which dropped over 500 points after his comments.

**
Just starting to see the impacts of the ongoing kalifornia floods. Tulare County (second largest county in the U.S. in terms of food production), Kern County ( nation’s #1 county in agricultural production), Monterey County ( 4th largest county in the U.S. in terms of agriculture production) and Fresno County (nation’s 3rd largest producer of agriculture) have had farms flooded out completely, wiping out much of the vegetable crops for this year.

Expect higher veggie prices.

**
Despite increasing demand from China, traders’ recession fears are leading to lower oil prices. “Crude oil is reflecting something between a moderate and severe recession at these levels,” according to Matthew Portillo, head of research at TPH & Company. (FO)

OBSERVATION – Drop in oil prices normally reflects reduced economic activity associated with a recession. Just another indicator that recession is on the way.

**
Shortages of baby formula continue to persist even after one year of biden invoking the Defense Production Act and launching “Operation Fly Formula” to expedite production of key ingredients found in formula.

OBSERVATION – I recommend parents to be do what I did for my granddaughter – by early, and stock up. I noted here potential shortages even before the plant shut down, and over the course of several months stocked up on about 10 months worth of formula. The little stinker is 11 months old now and we are just opening the last two containers of formula – soon she’ll be transitioning to regular milk.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Radicals are organizing a Trans Day of Vengeance protest on April 1 (how appropriate). They claim a trans genocide is upon us, but in their own propaganda, they claim that 6 trans people have been murdered this year. Some in the radical trangender community consider actions to keep trans activitsts from grooming children as a form of genocide. Since they cannot reproduce, they have to recruit. So the act of preventing them from recruiting sparks the call of genocide.

The main protest is to be held in front of the USSC building but likely will have parallel protests at all the standard locations as well. Expect a fair Antifa presence as the hit men to attack any counter protestors or journalists that are not on their favored list.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

The Muslim holy month of Ramadan began at sundown on Wednesday, as the faithful prepared for a month of dawn-to-dusk fasting intended to bring them closer to God and to remind them of the suffering of those less fortunate.
For the next 30 days, Muslims will refrain from eating or drinking anything from sunrise to sunset.

OBSERVATION – The period also is noted for an uptick in terror activities as piety turns to activism in the name of allah.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Myocarditis diagnoses spiked in the military by 130.5% in 2021, according to newly released whistleblower data from the Defense Medical Epidemiology Database (DMED).

OBSERVATION - The jab was suppose to enhance readiness. These are the first numbers of Myocarditis for the military I’ve seen. I suspect they are just the tip of the iceberg.


POLITICAL FRONT –

The Manhattan DA is facing a firestorm of his own making.
A 2018 Letter from Michael Cohen’s lawyer states that Cohen used his own personal funds to pay $130,000 to Stormy Daniels and that the Trump Org nor Campaign was a party to the transaction did not reimburse Cohen for the payment directly or indirectly. That directly implicates Cohen lied to the grand jury. Additionally the revelation of 600 pages of evidence being withheld from the jury hasn’t helped him either.

It is uncertain that the grand jury will meet today (Thursday) with the potential to vote on an indictment.

In addition to the Manhattan inquisition, Trump is currently facing investigations from the Fulton County, Georgia District Attorney’s office, and the Justice Department’s Special Counsel Jack Smith. Each of these cases has the potential to lead to an indictment.

**
Congressional Budget Office is discussing adding a “means test” or income threshold to veterans receiving disability payments. This is just starting to spread through the veteran community.

To make matters worse, there’s a plan to wrap VA benefits into Social Security when a disabled veteran hits 67 – of course, that’s with a 30% reduction in his VA disability when he’s eligible to draw full SS. This would affect those who started to receive benefits in 2024. Veterans currently receiving benefits would see no impact.

OBSERVATION - FWIW, I am a disabled vet and receive a small disability payment. I was incensed last year when I found out that the veteran community in general had to go through a “means test” in order to get VA medical services and that the VA wanted my private medical insurance information to bill as necessary for any care they provided. That is not the agreement the govt had with me 30+ years ago when I left the service. Currently, the CBO proposal is to maintain full payments up to $125,000/year and gradually reduce to the $170,000/year mark, after which no payments will be made.

So by what I’ve read, I’m secure (for now), but the contract that America has to support its veterans has been dealt a nasty blow. We are not disposable.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is rapidly losing its capability to sustain offensive operations in these fronts due to the huge resource drain Bahkmut has created. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

Russian analysts are noting that Putin didn’t get even half of what he wanted from his meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, this according to Ihor Zhovkva, a deputy head of the President’s Office.

**
Calling the International Criminal Court (ICC) warrant issued for Russian President Vladimir Putin an outrageously partisan decision, Russian deputy National Security Council chief Dmitry Medvedev said any attempt to detain Putin would be a declaration of war.

Logistics –
A fire is reported on the territory of the Yaroslavl Motor Plant in Russia, before the fire there were reports of an explosion. - Russian media.
P.S: The plant manufactures engines that are used in many types of Russian military equipment.

Russian Personnel Issues –-
Some analysis and number crunching on Russia force deployments for the current offensive have been made.

Some estimate there to be around 60 000 men on each of the three fronts, Kreminna, Bakhmut and Avdiivka (Donetsk). Altogether around 180 000 men.

100 000 on the southern front. Maybe 100 000 in the rest of the eastern front. That’s 380 000 men. Then you have forces in Belarus, on/behind the Russian border and as reserves east of the front in Donbass

OBSERVATION – These numbers may be on the high side. However, assuming they are true only points to the Russian failures in the ‘three fronts’ areas. The frontage of Kreminna, Bahkmut and Avdiivka is very small and 60,000 should have been able to overwhelm by simple numbers the Ukrainian Defenders. The fact that most battles Russian units are tossed in piecemeal suggest that the reports of low morale outright refusal of orders may be in play here.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures rising to the mid 30’s – lower 40s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with minor gains by Russian forces. Some observers note Russia at Bakhmut is using smaller sized units to attack -with little success overall.

Ukraine had some moderately successful counter attacks in the Avdiivka region.

Scattered artillery all along the LOC in the south and east.

Zaporizhizhia Front ———
Sources close to Rybar report that Ukrainian forces have “penetrated” Russian defenses near the town of Pologovsky, Zaporizhia Oblast. This has the markings of a probable reconnaissance in force by Ukraine.

Crimean front ———
Three Ukraine drone ships attempted to penetrate into Sevastopol harbor, one failed and two others succeeded. No reports on any damage to any ships, though it is suspected that one of the drones was successful.

Russian Territory –
Local Russian media are reporting an explosion in Kursk tonight, presumably somewhere near the airport.

OUTLOOK –
No change from recent outlooks. Bahkmut and Avdiivka still appear to be the main effort now. Kreminna is a secondary threat, but Russian attacks there have not done much.

Fires at major Russian facilities continue to raise the specter of unconventional warfare on Russia proper. Not enough information to be certain, but coincidences? I think not.


Israel –

Israel told the Biden administration and several European countries that Iran would be entering dangerous territory that could trigger an Israeli military strike if it enriches uranium above the 60% level, a senior Israeli official told Axios.


Syria -

U.S. air chief: Armed Russian jets have flown over American base in Syria 25 times in March


Armenia/Azerbaijan – WAR WATCH

Two Russian servicemen came under fire from the Azerbaijani military in Syunik and were seriously injured. They are alive and currently undergoing surgery.

More reports of military build up on both sides.



188 posted on 03/23/2023 7:32:22 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

I’ll be headed out of town tomorrow, so it is unlikely I’ll be able to get a post out. Will try to get caught up on Sunday.


Globalism / Great Reset –

The CEO of one of the largest publicly traded hedge funds has warned that the turmoil sparked by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is not over and a “significant number” of banks could fail in the next two years.

Man Group CEO Luke Ellis made the comments during a Bloomberg conference in London on March 22 when asked whether he believes the banking crisis is over.

“It depends on what you define as a crisis; I think that we will have a significant number of banks that will not exist 12, 24 months from now that exist today,” Ellis said.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/significant-number-of-banks-will-fail-within-2-years-predicts-ceo-of-hedge-fund-giant_5143942.html?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=BonginoReport

OBSERVATION – This is likely one mechanism that the WEF will exploit to bring all into its global economic “reset” following the never leave a crisis template.


Wuhan virus –

President Joe Biden’s order that federal employees get vaccinated against COVID-19 was blocked Thursday by a federal appeals court.

The 5th US Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans rejected arguments that Biden, as the nation’s chief executive, has the same authority as the CEO of a private corporation to require that employees be vaccinated.
The ruling from the full appeals court, 16 full-time judges at the time the case was argued, reversed an earlier ruling by a three-judge 5th Circuit panel that had upheld the vaccination requirement. Judge Andrew Oldham, nominated to the court by then-President Donald Trump, wrote the opinion for a 10-member majority.

OBSERVATION – FWIW, I’m glad I retired in 2020 and not later.


Economy –

Banking aftershocks continue with Deutsche Bank’s U.S.-listed shares sliding 7.7% in the premarket after the German lender’s credit default swaps jumped. The move appeared to raise concerns once again over the health of the European banking industry.

The German lender’s shares retreated for a third consecutive day and have now lost more than a fifth of their value so far this month. Credit default swaps — a form of insurance for a company’s bondholders against its default — leapt to 173 basis points on Thursday night from 142 basis points the previous day.

OBSERVATION – I’ve been watching DB for some time now as it is one of the linchpin banks in Europe that has tons of near worthless derivatives and outstanding loans. Should DB buckle, it is unlikely that the European Central Bank or Germany has the assets available to prevent a banking melt down. That melt down would go global.

**
(Bloomberg) — Banks reduced their borrowings only slightly from two Federal Reserve backstop facilities in the most recent week, a sign that institutions are taking advantage of the central bank’s liquidity in the wake of turmoil.
US institutions had a combined $163.9 billion in outstanding borrowings in the week through March 22, compared with $164.8 billion the previous week, according to Fed data Thursday.

OBSERVATION – US banking is still shaky and assets are continuing to be readjusted to try to avoid liquity issues.

**
Gold has once again pushed above the $2000/oz level, first time since March 2022 and analysts suggest that the next stop will be $2100 / oz . Combination of factors include fears from the banking melt down, recession and weakened dollar.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Antifa is reminding comrades to not livestream videos of their direct actions (because it could provide evidence of their crimes), and to attack video journalists who do record.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

America’s top Navy official declared that “fighting climate change” is a “top priority” for the U.S. Navy. Navy Secretary Carlos Del Toro announced this last week not at the Pentagon or the U.S. Naval Academy, but at a conference in the Bahamas.

OBSERVATION – Just another piece of evidence that this is part of a deliberate destruction of the miltary and not just incompetence.

**
Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm told lawmakers on Thursday that it will be difficult to refill government oil reserves this year. Granholm explained that two Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) facilities are down for maintenance. Further complicating the refill is a congressionally mandated sale from the SPR.

OBSERVATION – Listed here rather than economy because levels in the SPR are at critically low levels and with the growing potential of a scrap with China and continued global instability this is clearly not good. Seems to me to be an excuse by the regime to keep our petroleum supply at a low point.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg’s attempt to charge Trump with a felony appears to be trailing smoke and going down. He is now back peddling and claims Trump created a ‘False Expectation’ about his alleged ‘Arrest’ – forgetting that the Manhattan court house has been surrounded by barriers for most of the week.

Rumors coming out of the jury proceedings are that the prosecutors have been unsuccessful in persuading the jury to accept that Trump is guilty of a crime.

The grand jury has been put on hold in the Trump case until next week and questions are arising that he may be trying to find a way out of his predicament. With the revelations of massive withholding of exculpatory evidence from the jury, Bragg faces the serious potential of facing disbarment proceedings. But he faces pressures from the powers that be to press forward for an indictment. Tune in next week to see what transpires.


China –

China continues to threaten US naval and aircraft that exercise open passage of the Taiwan Straits.


North/South Korea –

North Korea has tested an underwater nuclear attack ‘drone’. North Korea’s new weapon appears similar in some ways to Russia’s nuclear-capable Poseidon super torpedo, analysts note.

OBSERVATION – Kim is claiming that this is like the Russian ‘tsunami’ Poseidon device. How valid this ‘drone’ is has yet to be see, as well as does NK have a warhead that fits in it.

Some are looking at the whole of the launches since the first of the year and suggest that this is part of Kim’s testing are part of a long term operation plan for NK’s nuclear deterrent.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is rapidly losing its capability to sustain offensive operations in these fronts due to the huge resource drain Bahkmut has created. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
“Russia will be able to strike with nuclear weapons if Ukraine tries to retake Crimea” - Medvedev

RUMINT-
Prigozhin is preparing to “wind down” the activities of PMC “Wagner” in Ukraine and “reorient his attention to African countries” – Bloomberg

**
More rumors of putin’s poor health continue to fall out from videos of him in Crimea, with many noting a very visible limp and walking slowly.

Logistics –
The Indian Air Force has announced that Russia is unable to deliver vital defence supplies that India was supposed to receive this year.
Similar claims have been made regarding export versions of the T-72 series tanks which have shown up in Ukraine instead of the countries that bought them.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

RUMINT –
Ukraine’s top ground forces commander said his country is about to launch a counteroffensive.
“Very soon, we will take advantage of this opportunity, as we did in the past near Kyiv, Kharkiv, Balakliya and Kupiansk,” commander Oleksandr Syrskyi said Thursday on Telegram, naming locations where Ukraine reclaimed territory through counterattacks last year.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with minor gains by Russian forces. .

British military assessed that Russia was losing its limited momentum in Bakhmut partly because it had reallocated troops elsewhere. Current assessment is that Russia is shifting its emphasis to the battle at Avdiivka.

Slovakia delivered four MiG-29 fighter jets to the Ukrainian military Thursday, the first Western nation to provide warplanes that Zelenskyy says he desperately needs to drive Russian troops out of his war-battered country.

OUTLOOK –
No change from recent outlooks. Bahkmut and Avdiivka still appear to be the main effort now. Kreminna is a secondary threat, but Russian attacks there have not done much.

Russian attention appears to be increasingly focused on the coming Ukrainian offensive and where the hammer will fall. Even some Russian milbloggers are saying that Russia’s attacks in Bahkmut and now Avdiivka have left it vulnerable due to the losses of men and material.

As I’ve said several times before, Ukraine has the home field advantage, knowing the trerrain better and having internal lines of communication/supply that permits it to deploy forces rapidly to the point of the attack. This makes it hard for the more ponderous Russian war planners to ready any defense, and so far it seems they’ve spread themselves out a lot more than they would if they had a better feel for the Ukrainian plans.

According to reports, Ukrainian soldiers training on western weapons system are surprising their NATO instructors on how quickly and effectively they are gaining proficiency in those system, indicating that units equipped with those systems could be fielded far sooner than originally believed. Not good news for Russia.


Europe / NATO General –

The 4 largest Nordic countries - with about 250 modern combat aircraft - agreed on March 23d to operate their air forces “as one joint air force.” Sweden, Finland, Norway & Denmark already have a high degree of interoperability, so the combined operations could enhance their effectiveness even further.

**
Haven’t made much to do about France’s problems, but things there are a mess. Over a million protesters call for “Macron the Dictator” to be removed. Protest started when Macron used an emergency law to impose reform without input from the Senate / Parliament. Macron used this tool 11 times in a year.

Over the course of the week, it seems French police are losing the struggle to contain many of the protests/riots. I think macron will survive and that more severe crackdowns on protestors are in the forecast.


Iran –

See US airstrike on Iranian forces in Syria below


Syria -

A U.S. contractor was killed and five U.S. service members and one U.S. contractor were wounded Thursday when a suicide drone hit a coalition base near Hasakah in northeast Syria just before 2 p.m. local time, the Defense Department said in a statement.

The US quickly responded by launching airstrikes against IRGC backed militias in the Harabesh part of Deir Ez Zor. Those strikes reportedly targeted an ammunition depot belonging to Iranian Revolutionary Guard militia near the former Nasr Center building, in addition to targeting another site in the vicinity of Port Said Street in Deir Ez Zor center.

A lot of activity continues in the area following the US air strike.
Intensive flight of helicopters and warplanes of the International Coalition forces over the Al-Omar oil field and the SDF-controlled areas in the eastern countryside of Deir Ezzor “Dhiban-Al-Basira-Al-Shuhail” opposite the areas controlled by Assad’s forces and Iranian militias in Al-Mayadin and its countryside east of Deir Ezzor (Al-Shamiya region).

OBSERVATION – Well, at least someone in the chain of command recognizes that the only way to deal with Iran in a situation like this is to hit them really hard back.


Central / South America General-

Bolivian President Luis Arce delivered statements Thursday encouraging the cooperation of Latin American nations on the extraction and sale of lithium. President Arce seemed particularly concerned about the U.S. and said, “We don’t want our lithium to be in the Southern Command’s crosshairs, nor do we want it to be a reason for destabilizing democratically elected governments or foreign harassment.” Bolivia has the world’s largest known lithium deposits. (FO)

OBSERVATION – Latin American countries have been shifting to the hard left over the past few years. With the growing demand for rare earth minerals this concept of a type of OPEC for these minerals is not surprising.. China has been wooing these countries as well and has gained the upper hand over the US in that arena.



189 posted on 03/24/2023 7:16:22 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Potential for wintery driving conditions today caused me to hurry up and get my out of town travel accomplished yesterday.


Globalism / Great Reset –

EPA Administrator Michael Regan told the Senate Committee on Environmental and Public Works that the EPA needed a $375-million budget increase and 265 new full-time employees for his agency’s “environmental justice program.”
“The funding will help to expand support for community based organizations, indigenous organizations, tribes, states, local government and other territorial governments so that they can identify and develop solutions to their environmental justice concerns through multi-partner collaborations”

The EPA’s Office of Environmental Justice and External Civil Rights was spawned in September, when it landed $3 billion in so-called environmental justice grants as part of the Democrats’ $370-billion climate alarmist bill. The expansion was part and parcel of the Biden regime’s “aggressive approach to embed environmental justice, civil rights, and equity across the government,” according to the EPA.

OBSERVATION – SMH, this telegraphs an effort to further redistribute wealth towards the woke side of the equation by likely litigating mythical environmental conspiracy talk of the left against the right. Just another mechanism for environmental tyranny to further the cause of the WEF.

BTW – don’t expect EPA ‘environmental justice’ teams to be showing up in East Palestine OH anytime soon.

**
The EU sees no reason to allow the Netherlands to change course, despite a resounding rejection of EU agriculture policies during recent elections.
The Netherlands has been advised by Diederik Samsom, who works for the European Commission, to oblige some of the farmers to be bought out because of the nitrogen crisis.

The NOS and research platform Follow the Money revealed Samsom’s role after viewing documents. Caroline van der Plas (BBB), together with her colleagues from VVD and JA21, asks the minister for a response to this ‘strange interference’ by Diederik Samsom. “He’s not even an elected representative of the people,” she tweeted. PVV leader Geert Wilders is even more outspoken: ‘Unelected PvdA mastodon Diederik Samsom wants to tear the Netherlands down completely from the Brussels backrooms. How I long for a #nexit.’

The European Commission is not concerned with how a country achieves its nitrogen targets, but it can advise on this. Samsom seems to have done the same in that conversation. He pointed out, among other things, that the European Commission is ‘quite strict’ when assessing whether voluntary buyout schemes are not prohibited state aid. One is now awaiting approval in Brussels. But with a mandatory buyout, the Commission is less strict, said Samsom. As a result, the Netherlands can offer higher amounts in a mandatory scheme or more favorable conditions for farmers to stop. According to Samsom, there is little room for delay or flexibility at the European Commission.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/03/24/green-dictatorship-netherlands-politicians-answering-to-the-eu-instead-of-voters/

OBSERVATION – As reported earlier, the farmers won a massive victory in parliamentary elections – effectively thwarting the govt’s desire to seize the vast majority of the nations farms. However, they are shackled by membership in the EU which claims superior authority for national policy and is demanding Dutch compliance with its edicts anyway. This is setting up a power struggle between the newly aware Dutch govt and the EU over control of internal policies – and eventually if the WEF goals are to be enforced.


Economy –

Bloomberg reported that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will convene the heads of top US financial regulators Friday morning for a previously unscheduled meeting of the Financial Stability Oversight Council.

The meeting will be closed to the public, the Treasury Department said in a statement. The Treasury didn’t say what time the meeting would begin, and it wasn’t immediately clear whether the council would issue a statement following the meeting.

OBSERVATION – I have not heard/seen any statements regarding this meeting. There are many possibilities for topics. One I’m most concerned currently is the instability of Deutches Bank, currently struggling with realigning its debt and liquidity issues. Other issues could be the ongoing drain by banks pulling emergency funds from the fed and Treasury dept. This trend threatens the continued semi-stability on the short term of the banking system. Would appreciate any tips to the outcome of the meetings.


CW2/Domestic violence –

On Friday, DeKalb County, Ga., CEO Michael Thurmond issued an executive order closing the popular 140-acre Intrenchment Creek Park after someone discovered booby traps hidden in various places in the park. The traps, which included boards with spikes sticking out of them hidden in the grass and along the trails in the park, appear to have been designed to hurt families who enjoy the park throughout the week.

Intrenchment Creek Park is near the construction site of a public training safety complex that the City of Atlanta is building. Domestic terrorists aligned with Antifa and Stacey Abrams’ New Georgia Project have disrupted activity, harassed contractors, and committed acts of violence at the site for over a year, including a shootout with police that left an Antifa thug dead and a Georgia State Trooper injured in January.

“We know that there are dangers that have been discovered in this area and we are afraid that there might be other hidden traps that will not only injure and maim, but can literally become deadly for small children and pets and others,” Thurmond said at a press conference on Friday.

https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/chris-queen/2023/03/24/park-near-atlantas-cop-city-closed-after-traps-designed-to-harm-families-were-discovered-there-n1681350

OBSERVATION – Most likely Antifa et al view use of the park as a ‘white privilege’ kind of thing and sabotaging it a means of striking back against the system that is oppressing them – or some similar crap. This is an escalation of the protest of the Police academy training facility and like all Antifa related actions show little to no concern for any collateral damage or injury their protests cause.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Ramadan continues to keep the potential for terror attacks higher than usual.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Fortieth Anniversary of President Reagan’s Strategic Defense Initiative Speech, No. 550, March 23, 2023 was remembered in virtual silence yet no other initiative post Kennedy’s push to the moon has had such significance IMHO. Scoffed as wild and unobtainable then, today the concept of missile interception is integrated into our advanced air defense and strategic missile defense systems. Patriot missiles did a fair job against Iraqi Scuds in Desert Shield/Storm, but now with upgrades are a more potent anti missile system. Seeing much the same in Ukraine today.

For those of us who have lived through this era, it is more apparent on how Reagan was a visionary in this regard.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Waiting to see if movement towards a Trump indictment next week will happen or if the Manhattan DA is going to get cold feet and back down.


China –

China threatened “serious consequences” Friday after the United States Navy sailed a destroyer around the disputed Paracel Islands in the South China Sea for the second day in a row, in a move Beijing claimed was a violation of its sovereignty and security.

On Thursday, after the U.S. sailed the USS Milius guided-missile destroyer near the Paracel Islands, China said its navy and air force had forced the American vessel away, a claim the U.S. military denied.

The U.S. on Friday sailed the ship again in the vicinity of the islands, which are occupied by China but also claimed by Taiwan and Vietnam, as part of what it called a “freedom of navigation operation” challenging requirements from all three nations requiring either advance notification or permission before a military vessel sails by.

“Unlawful and sweeping maritime claims in the South China Sea pose a serious threat to the freedom of the seas, including the freedoms of navigation and overflight, free trade and unimpeded commerce, and freedom of economic opportunity for South China Sea littoral nations,” U.S. 7th Fleet spokesperson Lt. j.g. Luka Bakic said in an emailed statement.

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/china-threatens-consequences-us-warships-actions-98093850

OBSERVATION – China is pretty much limited to threats at this stage. Any military action against US vessels would open a pandora’s box that China isn’t ready for. Unlike the Philippine navy, the US navy is not intimidated by Chinese threats and naval aggressiveness. In the past China has chased Philippino naval vessels away from waters it claims, like those around the Paracel Islands. Also note that the Philippines and the US are approaching an agreement for joint patrols of disputed waters.

At this stage, China is limited to threats.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Russia is rapidly losing its capability to sustain offensive operations in these fronts due to the huge resource drain Bahkmut has created. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with minor gains by Russian forces. Both Russian and Ukranian sources are stating that the Russian push in Bakhmut is slowing significantly. Western analysts have been saying for a week now that the Russian push has crested and that little further gains are expected .

With the slow down at Bakhmut, it appears some resources are being switched over to the Avdiivka region to support Russian successes there.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

OUTLOOK –
No change from recent outlooks. Bahkmut and Avdiivka still appear to be the main effort now. Kreminna is a secondary threat, but Russian attacks there have not done much.

Internet rumors / propaganda continue from both sides regarding Ukraine’s impending offensive are increasing. Some Russian commentators say Russia needs to reinforce the region with 400,000 new forces to address the Ukrainian threat. Given the likelihood that the window for Ukrainian action is about a month away (end of April), raising, training and equipping that size of a force in that amount of time is highly unlikely.

Just like the impotence of Russia’s air campaign on the ‘special operation’ has been shockingly poor, Russia’s missile/drone component has been nearly equally poor IMHO. Russian targets have strayed away from those that would influence the battle on the ground and stayed within a ‘total war’ style doctrine where civilian targets are primary. Ukraine has set the bar high in striking Russian CPs, logistic and troop concentrations. Russia has done very poorly in that measure. As a result, Ukraine is still able to move, shoot and communicate effectively, while Russia suffers impared command, control and logistics.

The nature of this war shows the next generation of innovation. With Ukraine’s effective utilization of the Bayktar TB-2 drones to harass and interdict Russian logistical convoys at the start of the war, to the proliferation of modified commercial helicopter styled drones dropping grenades all the way up to mortar rounds on enemy positions. Add to it the modification of ‘racing’ drones to direct attack armor/positions; military loitering munitions and the multiple combination of drones used in operations (observation, targeting and attacking) has made life for the Russians in particular very deadly. With it comes a rapidly evolving counter drone effort - from jamming ‘guns’ to chain link fences to ward off Russian lancet attack drones and dropped grenades, to drone v drone dog fights. Now with Ukraine fielding sea drones, the whole spectrum shifts again. Drone wars are the future and if AI gets involved along with swarm technology things will get even more intense in the next war.


Iran –

See US airstrike on Iranian forces in Syria below

RUMINT- Missiles Units of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Aerospace Force in the Western Regions of Iran are claimed to have been placed on High Alert overnight.

As Ramadan moves into its 4th day, Iran is finding itself intwined in several regional, developing hot spots, from Syria to Azerbaijan.


Iraq -

Unconfirmed reports of some sort of security operation underway in the northern Green Zone, Baghdad. Security Forces high alert for rocket attacks, but nothing reported.


Syria -

Militant groups believed to be affiliated with Iran launched another round of rockets targeting US forces near oil and gas fields known as Conoco near Deir ez-Zor, eastern Syria. Sources in the countryside of Deir ez-Zor, told RT at dawn on Saturday that shelling originating from the west of the Euphrates River targeted Koniko field, in which the largest US base in Syria is located, with 15 missiles.

This resulted in more US airstrikes and helicopter gunships targeting Iranian militia targets.

Iranian militias on alert in the towns of Al-Mayadeen and Al-Bukamal, east of Deir ez-Zor, with the evacuation of the headquarters amid intense flights of the international coalition aircraft over the region.

So far this morning activity has calmed down but more can be expected.

OBSERVATION – If US military intelligence has been doing its work (and I have no reason not to believe so), every facility, Hq and missile site for these Iranian militia groups and IRGC have been identified with 10-foot accuracy. It appears that the US has so far been able to react rapidly to these attacks and probably used its intel preparation to hit these forces hard. The next few days will show if the Iranians want to up the ante further.

Some are believing that the initial rocket attacks were in revenge for an Israeli strike earlier in the week that took out some key IRGC commanders. This is also Ramadan, and as I noted a few days ago under domestic and international terror, Iran may choose to increase terror attacks. These attacks may well fall under that category as well.


Misc of Note –

At least 23 people have died after tornadoes tore through the US state of Mississippi on Friday night. One tornado was a particularly long-track variety which at times was as much as one mile wide.

OBSERVATION – Many would conclude that the US is in the throes of wild climatic changes never before seen. From droughts to floods, tornados, frigid temperatures, etc. the US has been seeing a lot of extreme weather the past couple of years. However, I don’t think it has reached the level that done could call biblical. For example, the Sierra Nevada snowpack – though massive – at Donner Pass is only the 8th deepest since 1957. We must not confuse the overload of information today as being historically constant. We are coming out of a La Nina cycle and the weather patterns are trying to re-adjust to a neutral influence. This doesn’t take away from the human devastation that is on-going, but puts things into context.


190 posted on 03/25/2023 7:15:28 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Noting a lot of discussions that the current banking crisis is deliberate. Hard to argue against that theory given the (deliberate) actions of banking that they knew would weaken their stability over the past several years combined with global central banks encouraging the behavior. Add to WEF underlings taking advantage of the crisis. The instability of the banking realm may help the push the roll out of CBDC in major countries this summer.


Economy –

Looking to see what the talking head are pontificating today. Deutsche Bank remains a point of concern, with stocks failing towards the end of last week on largely liquity issues from the mountain of bad loans and derivatives in its holdings.


Biden / Harris watch –

Biden marked the beginning of the month of Ramadan on Wednesday by issuing a statement in which he noted that Muslim communities “have been part of the American story since our founding.”

OBSERVATION – Well, I guess our fights against the Islamic pirates count.


CW2/Domestic violence –

The Los Angeles Police Protective League union filed a lawsuit on behalf of three LAPD officers against an anti-cop website on Friday.
The lawsuit, filed on behalf of Officers Adam Gross, Adrian Rodriguez, and Douglas Panameno, alleges that the website, KillerCop.com, offered a bounty on police officers.

The officers demand that their photos and identifying information be removed from the website.

According to a report from the Los Angeles Times, “it is the first legal action stemming from the Los Angeles Police Department’s release of the names and photos of almost every sworn officer — more than 9,300 officers, including some who work undercover — as part of a public records request. A police watchdog group posted the images online last Friday.”

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/03/lapd-officers-sue-owner-of-anti-cop-website-for-publishing-their-photos-with-a-bounty/

OBSERVATION – not only is this directed against the police officers, but especially at their families. This is nothing less than a death list that the leftists will use if they start to lose control or if necessary to continue the push to eliminate police and law enforcement. If rioting goes sideways this summer, it appears that Antifa affiliated elements are laying the groundwork to attack individual police and their families as a new front of their chaos.

**
Antifa harassed and assaulted a pro-life march in NYC yesterday. Leftists jeered at them and created a garbage barrier to the march. Other Antifa assaulted marchers while NYPD looks on. Officers reportedly said Antifa behavior only amounts to harassment and there’s nothing for them to do.

OBSERVATON – What over the past year was generally participation by Antifa et al in these counter protests with relatively minimal violence, I’m seeing a growth of violence in these counter protests now. Currently focused on counter pro- life and counter feminist events are garnishing more violence by Antifa. Globally, Antifa based violence has skyrocketed against feminist rallies and counter groomer events.

With the 2024 campaign season getting into full swing, I expect Antifa et al to start mustering forces to try to oppose MAGA and related political rallies. If you’ve been following leftist commentary increasingly over the past year the calls for violence and even killing leftist opponents, this summer could well be very hot. Couple that with the rising antagonism from BLM/CRT proponents towards whites and the two could start to rise to the level of 2020 – needing only a catalyst event.

Let me add another important point. Antifa et al is not the same bunch of thugs that made the news during the Berkeley riots of a number of years ago. They have compartmentized over the intervening years - identifying and training for a more lethal capability. Still see many posts by patriots putting their capabilities down as just a bunch of soy boys and fat broads with daddy issues, etc. DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE your opponent. If nothing else to be learned from the 2020 riots, Antifa had a very organized structure and tactics – operating well within the OODA loop of police. They’ve taken a lot of time to arm and train selected individuals. They may not be super soldiers, but they can be a force multiplier for Antifa if violence ramps up into more open combat.

**
Speaking of catalyst events - Undercover police officers acting as agent provocateurs incited protesters to riot on January 6. The stunning development was uncovered during J6 defendant William Pope’s trial.

As reported by the Epoch Times’ Joseph Hanneman, a federal prosecutor “admitted in court papers that three D.C. Metropolitan Police Department undercover officers acted as provocateurs at the northwest steps of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.”

The report cites an admission in a March 24 filing before U.S. District Judge Rudolph Contreras that sought to keep video footage shot by the officers under court seal. (The document now appears to have been removed.)

As noted by the report, “prosecutors accused the case defendant—William Pope of Topeka, Kansas—of an ‘illegitimate’ attempt to unmask the video as part of his alleged strategy to try the case in the news media. Pope filed a motion to remove the court seal on Feb. 21.”

“This video clearly evidences undercover law enforcement officers urging the crowds to advance up the stairs and scaffolding towards the Capitol on January 6,” Pope wrote in an earlier case filing. “The government may claim that incidents like this did not happen, but the facts show they did.”

https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/j6-video-knab/?utm_source=endwoke&utm_medium=twitter

OBSERVATION - The regime has created a false flag in the J6 events. Patriot/Militia groups out there better screen and rescreen again. It is evident that the regime has a lot of snitches and agent provocateurs infiltrated into a lot of those organizations. As I’ve noted before – they are seeking an excuse to crack down on ‘domestic terrorists’, especially as the 2024 elections close in.

Advice – check your food, water, medical, comms and armory and make sure you are squared away.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Trump held a very large rally in Waco TX yesterday. This in the face of the Manhattan DA regrouping on his efforts to indict him on felony charges of paying off whats her face. This week is do or die for the prosecutor.


China –

China’s leader, Xi Jinping, has called a meeting of former-Soviet Central Asian countries, in an audacious power play in Russia’s backyard the week of his summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Xi invited the leaders of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan to the first China-Central Asia summit on Wednesday, the AFP news agency reported. It remains unclear whether the reclusive state of Turkmenistan has been invited.

The states are all former members of the Soviet Union, and Moscow has long regarded them as being in its sphere of influence after the then-Russian Empire conquered them in the 19th century.

OBSERVATION - Xi is the one in charge and that the world is starting to look to for leadership. Biden and putin are now subordinate to Xi. The global shift in status has been very rapid – only a few months.

Also note – Xi may also have designs on more direct control of these eastern former Soviet Union states. I’ve said when all is said and done, Xi will own Russia.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
Putin has announced today that they will soon begin deploying a number of tactical-nuclear weapons into the territory of Belarus; these weapons will most likely be launched from 9K720 Iskander missile systems. Mig-31s may also be used.

Belarus will store Russian nuclear weapons. Putin said that Russia had already helped the Belarusians to re-equip planes and from April 3 they would start training crews and build a storage facility for nuclear weapons, to be completed by the 1st of July. (NOTE – most likely rehabbing older facilities as a July 1 date is too close for new facilitie).

Putin’s claims he’s merely fulfilling Lukashenka’s request for tactical nuclear weapons to be stored in Belarus.

The Russian Air Force is claimed to have already transferred at least 10 aircraft that are capable to launching tactical-nuclear weapons to Belarus; these aircraft are most likely the MiG-31K which is a jet that is able to carry Kh-47M2 nuclear capable Kinzhal hypersonic missiles.

RUMINT-
Putin is trying to put a happy face on the put down by Xi.

Logistics –
Russia is running out of ammo and equipment. Destruction of logistic supplies and tanks and other armor has reached such a critical level that Russia is pulling old T-54/55 tanks out for repair and deployment to Ukraine.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

RUMINT –
Ukraine is claiming that it is running out of ammo, affection its planned offensive later this spring. IMHO these kind of public announcements server two purposes. 1) Spur supporting western nations to up their deliveries and 2) set forth propaganda to show a false ‘weakness’ to the Russians. There have been some complaints from front line units of running short of ammo. This could be folded into the propaganda. Hoarding ammo for an offensive is not uncommon and Ukraine’s economy of force defensive operations in the east would likely see limited ammo to some extent.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Though the Russian effort around Bakhmut has backed off, Russia continues to pressure Ukrainian forces in the city.

Russia increase in the support for the Adviivka effort saw four rare supporting airstrikes yesterday.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings.

I realize that for many months now I’ve said that the trend at Bahkmut is one where Ukraine will eventually be forced to withdraw. The action of the past couple weeks were it has become more and more apparent that Russia is close to running out of effective forces to push Ukraine out along with a strategic application of Ukrainian reserves to stabilize the flanks has turned that assessment around.

Note that both Russia and Ukraine are facing ammo shortages. The strategic level of battle now is one of logistics. Ukraine has from the beginning found the Russian logistics tail to be the weak link of their army.

Whoever can sustain resupply of ammo may well be the eventual winner.


Belarus -

See putin announcement of the deployment of tactical nukes to the country above under Russia.


Israel –

Israel is having to deal with Muslim uprisings associated with Ramadan as well as internal protests by opposition parties to the parliament moving legislation on judicial reform forward.


Iran –

See Syria below on Iranian backed militias /IRGC actions against US forces in Syria.


Syria -

Fighting between US and Iranian backed militias in the Deir-ez-Zor, eastern Syria area appears to have calmed back down, though US forces remain on a high alert.


Turkey -

Erdogan may have received a gift as a second opposition candidate for president has stepped forward – splitting the opposition vote.


Central / South America General-

Honduras has officially dropped any relations with Taiwan in favor of China. Chinese investments in Central/South America will continue to drag these countries willingly or unwillingly to its sphere of influence and away from US.


Armenia/Azerbaijan –

WAR WATCH

The Azerbaijani Armed Forces have crossed the line of contact in the Shusha region of Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian peacekeepers are taking measures to prevent the escalation of the “crisis situation”, Russia’s Defense Ministry says - TASS

Russia’s MoD says that they have told Azerbaijan to withdraw their troops from the new positions they have captured. Azerbaijan has reportedly made advances in the area of Lisagor, and has taken control of multiple roads, including around the Lachin corridor.

Russia’s MoD also says that a ceasefire violation was recorded in the Martuni region of Nagorno-Karabakh

OBSERVATION - So far the Azeri’s have been holding back – not ready to test Russia militarily.



191 posted on 03/26/2023 8:59:59 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Economy –

Studies indicate that US banks hold well over a trillion dollars worth of losses. This week more banking instability will continue to hold the concern of the stocks and economy in general.

**
This month, pandemic-related emergency funding from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, formerly known as food stamps, is ending in most states, leaving many low-income families with less to spend on food.

More than 41 million Americans receive funding for food through the federal program. For those households, it will amount to at least $95 less per month to spend on groceries. Yet for many families, the drop will be even steeper since the government assistance scales up to adjust for household size and income.
For grocers like Kroger, big-box players like Walmart and discounters like Dollar General, the drop in SNAP dollars adds to an already long list of worries about the year ahead. It’s likely to pressure a weakening part of retailers’ business: sales of discretionary merchandise, which are crucial categories for retailers, as they tend to drive higher profits.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/26/shrinking-food-stamp-benefits-retailers.html

OBSERVATION – This will have a mixed effect on the economy. Some will be hurt others will be inconvenienced. SNAP for the wuhan plandemic should have been phased out last year. In many cases, the program went to those who really didn’t need it. This is just another category of govt trying to install dependence on the system and not independence.


Invasion of Illegals –

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs intends to scrap a Border Strike Force in the state is sparking criticism from Republicans in the state — although it does have the backing of at least one Democrat. Hobbs said that she intends to reroute funding for the strike force, which was set up in 2015 by former Gov. Doug Ducey, and said the money could be used to coordinate a law enforcement response at the border.

“What our budget intends to do is to reallocate those funds where they can be most purposeful. I’ve said this before, recent reporting has indicated it’s not a force, it’s not striking at the border, and so we can repurpose those dollars to where they can be more beneficial in terms of coordinating a law enforcement response at the border,” she said during a tour of the border with Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.

OBSERVATION – A hard leftist, Hobbs has no plans to really do anything but dismantle the task force, paying lip service for now to border concerns.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

All eyes on Manhattan to see if the indictment will go forward or die a silent death.


China –

First protests in Hong Kong since the advent of wuhan occurred with strict controls over the participants who had to be identified and vetted by Chinese officials before being allowed to participate.

OBSERVATION – China’s application of the hammer of lockdowns destroyed the freedom movement in HK in 2019. In that vacuum China installed all its figure heads in govt power and moved security forces in (under the guise of the wuhan) to shut down the democracy movement.


North/South Korea –

The USS Nimitz and Carrier Strike Group Eleven are reportedly planning to arrive in the South Korea City of Busan on Monday to participate in Naval Exercises to the South of Jeju Island.

OBSERVATION - Expect more NK missile tests in protest.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia could have its most powerful and quiet nuclear attack submarines on persistent patrols off either U.S. Coast in the next two years, the head of U.S. Northern Command told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday.
In response to questions from Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) on the threat of Chinese and Russian cruise missile submarines operating close to the U.S., NORTHCOM commander Gen. Glen VanHerck said that the deployments of the Russian Yasen-class nuclear cruise missile attack boats have been deploying more frequently.

“[The risk is] absolutely increasing. Within the last year, Russia has also placed their [Yasens] in the Pacific,” he said.

“Now not only the Atlantic, but we also have them in the Pacific and it’s just a matter of time – probably a year or two – before that’s a persistent threat, 24 hours a day. … That impact has reduced decision space for a national senior leader in a time of crisis.”

Also known by their NATO reporting name Severodvinsk class, the 13,800-ton Yasen-class attack boats are among the most capable submarines in the world. In particular, the three current boats in the class are capable of a special quiet operations mode that make them difficult to detect in the open ocean. In 2018, the lead boat in the class, Severodvinsk,evaded U.S. efforts to find it for weeks, according to press reports.

https://news.usni.org/2023/03/23/northcom-russia-close-to-persistent-nuclear-cruise-missile-attack-sub-presence-off-u-s-coasts

Russian Personnel Issues –-
Russia is having difficulties getting support from its population for voluntary service (conscription) into the military. In spite of Russian efforts to control the reporting from Ukraine – word of the massive causalities and poor support – have reached even into the prisons (once fertile sites to get volunteers). Russia also has had highly publicized issues in paying conscripts – many having no pay and being forced to purchase their own equipment.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with little change in territory. Avdiivka has ordered an evacuation of all remaining civilians.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

Partisan Resistance ——
A vehicle belong to chief of occupational police in Mariupol was blown up overnight. Partisan activity has been on the increase lately in southern Ukraine.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings. It continues to appear that Russia’s offensive is running out of steam while Ukraine is ramping up preparations for its turn.

Latest Russian view of where the hammer will strike for Ukraine is Zaporizhizhia oblast, with occupation officials there making plans to evacuate sooner rather than later. This axis is also the shortest way to reach the Crimean peninsula and meet Ukraine’s stated goal of liberating that territory. Russia milbloggers are also concerned of a counteroffensive in the east that can split Russian forces in half and totally messing up what’s left of their logistics train to the occupied south.


.
Europe / NATO General –

EU is reportedly stepping up military aid to Georgia and Moldova. Georgia is expected to get €30 million worth modern trailers, trucks, heavy equipment transporters, cranes and vehicles supporting the mobility of the Georgian defense forces’ field artillery comms systems


Israel –

Israel is on the edge of the abyss this morning after hundreds of thousands of Israelis took to the streets on Sunday in protest after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed his defense minister Yoav Gallant, who had urged the government to halt a highly-contested plan to overhaul the judicial system. Israel’s permanent representative to the United Nations also resigned over the action – numerous other critical resignations in the military command and various places in govt. Nation wide strikes and shutdowns are planned for today.

US says it is “deeply concerned” over the firing of Israel Defense Minister.

RUMORS that Netanyahu is going to announce that reforms are being pulled off the table.

OBSERVATION - Even if Netanyahu pulls the reforms, it will be difficult to re-establish any kind of working relationship between his govt and many sectors – including the military. Yesterday’s protest took on components of the many ‘color’ revolutions that have either brought down govts or spun the nation into a civil war. Yesterday’s events may also push the country into another round of parliamentary voting.

All this occurs in the shadow of an increasingly aggressive Iran and its proxy terror groups in and around Israel.

The current biden regime has been hostile to Israel since 2020 and may have its fingers behind some of the organizations that organized the protest, the speed of which it was organized surprised many.

Ongoing watch to see just what Netanyahu says and if the protests will continue with the probable ultimate goal of forcing him to resign.



192 posted on 03/27/2023 7:13:24 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
All this occurs in the shadow of an increasingly aggressive Iran and its proxy terror groups in and around Israel. The current biden regime has been hostile to Israel since 2020 and may have its fingers behind some of the organizations that organized the protest, the speed of which it was organized surprised many.

Israel should have provided Hunter with whores, diamonds and cash - then the 'biden administration' would be 'helpful'...

193 posted on 03/27/2023 9:13:03 AM PDT by GOPJ (When Morning Joe's sycophants say "My Democracy" it sounds like Gollum saying "my precious")
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To: Godzilla
All this occurs in the shadow of an increasingly aggressive Iran and its proxy terror groups in and around Israel. The current biden regime has been hostile to Israel since 2020 and may have its fingers behind some of the organizations that organized the protest, the speed of which it was organized surprised many.

Israel should have provided Hunter with whores, diamonds and cash - then the 'biden administration' would be 'helpful'...

194 posted on 03/27/2023 9:14:07 AM PDT by GOPJ (When Morning Joe's sycophants say "My Democracy" it sounds like Gollum saying "my precious")
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Economy –

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released updated food inflation forecasts, with all food expected to increase 7.5% with a window between 5.5% and 9.6%. Some foods are expected to increase more, with fats and oils at the highest with a 15.4% increase. Meanwhile, beef and pork are expected to disinflate slightly.


Biden / Harris watch –

Biden after 6 people dead in Nashville shooting of private Christian school:
“My name is Joe Biden. I’m Dr. Jill Biden’s husband. And I ate Jeni’s ice cream. Chocolate chip. I came down because I heard there was chocolate chip ice cream. I have a whole refrigerator full upstairs.”

OBSERVATION – Fox new cut to this as a pending commentary on the Tennessee shootings but didn’t cut back away soon enough before this was transmitted across the network live. This is unbelievable tone deafness regarding the attack and were a republican to do such would have generated instant calls for folks to rise up with pitchforks and torches.


CW2/Domestic violence –

The “Culture Wars” are turning hot and we better enhance our situational awareness.

I’ve warned that the leftists are looking to ramp up their violence as summer approaches. Actions over the last 24 hours point to leftists taking the talking points of the ‘influencers’ seriously.

Radical transgender groups have been calling for violence across the country for several months now, with a crescendo call the past few weeks.

The deceased mass shooter of the Christian school in Nashville has been identified as trans person Audrey E. Hale. Authorities believe the transgender shooter previously attended the Christian school Three children & three staff were murdered. The shooting comes amid a surge in far-left death threats in Tennessee over the state banning the medical transitioning of minors. and a search of the family home in Nashville revealed detailed maps and a manifesto of the attack.

According to police, she intentionally targeted a religious elementary school for mass murder. Hale apparently planned the attack carefully, and left behind a “manifesto.” We’ll have to wait to see if the manifesto is made public. This school was a secondary target as the first school had too much security.

This attack falls on the heels of Tennessee passing a bill outlawing gender transition ‘treatment’ of children. It also falls in line with increasing threats by transgender radicals to fight back with violence. For example, the Antifa group organizing the “Trans Day of Vengeance” outside the Supreme Court on April 1 outside the Supreme Court has locked down its Twitter account following the deadly mass shooting on a Christian school in Nashville by a trans shooter.

A popular sign/tee shirt design features the words “Trans Rights” on top, then four different style of rifles then the words “Or Else”.

Violence associated with the radical transgender activists have been noted here in my posts. To date, most violence has been directed against Feminist and anti-grooming meetings/marches. These violent transgenderists are usually flanked by supporting Antifa elements – providing muscle and helping direct violent activities.

Further violence advocated by these transgenderists include calls to arm up all across the interwebs to respond to what they call a ‘genocide’ directed against them.

The violence by the Trans activists are not limited to the US, but is a global phenomena. Just a few days ago in New Zealand, activist Posie Parker, who was attempting to give a speech in defense of traditional womanhood, was assaulted by a transmob. Similar in Britain as well.

Also within the broader framework of the left’s violent agenda are the statements by many that murder of opponents is all ok and right to do. One high visibility case was Jane Fonda’s recent appearance on “the View” where she openly and plainly advocated murder of opponents. Many, many others throughout the various social media platforms are advocating the same. One such example is a Wayne State University suspends professor for suggesting that conservatives be killed.

English Professor Steven Shaviro criticized students who shout down and intimidate conservative speakers who come to campus.
It only encourages them. He insisted it was better to kill them off. This is what young skulls full of mush are being force fed.

The shockingly sudden rise of violent transgenderism, beginning with ‘reading stories’ to children, morphing to the putrid ‘drag shows’ and now is morphing to direct violence and murder on such a short time frame – only a couple years – is concerning. The mental reasoning to commit murder and willingness of Antifa to support the cause is an uneasy indicator that they think violence will forward their cause and I expect more to come.

One last note on the shooter – MSM saying she had two AR-15 style rifles. Photos show only one AR-15 style platform. The other is a conversion where a lower from a semiautomatic handgun is attached to a rifle length upper – creating a pistol caliber rifle, in this case probably a 9mm.

**
The rise of violent transgenderism has started a split within the broader LGBT community with a move now to cut out the “T” community from the movement because it essentially by its ‘doctrine’ is counter the LGB elements and many LGB view the current trans-activism as betraying the greater community.

OBSERVATION – So not only is the left’s former golden child – radical feminism – being attacked by the new lefts transactivism, but the more recent golden child – homosexual rights are being attacked as well.

**
Monday multiple Georgia law enforcement agencies began clearing a park where left wing extremists associated with Stop Cop City have been. They have already found molotovs and nailed boards set as traps. They closed the park for this reason on Friday

OBSERVATION – I noted this closure last week. An indiscriminate threat to civilians.

IN related - The blog site for the StopCopCity Antifa terrorist network has published an ominous post with the alleged family home addresses & spouse information of the Dekalb County, Ga. judges overseeing the cases involving the Atlanta domestic terror suspects. The revenge post calls for comrades to give them a visit & pays homage to their deceased gunman, Manuel “Tort” Teran.

OBSERVATION – Same tactic as the doxing of LAPD members. They are targeting the families of law enforcement and any they see as an opposition to their cause. More of an indicator of impending directed violence.

**
Chairman of the Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government, Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, is demanding answers from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Commissioner Daniel Werfel after the IRS deployed an unannounced visit to journalist Matt Taibbi’s home, following his testimony before the panel on the Twitter Files.
Jordan, on Monday, sent a letter to Yellen and Werfel demanding answers in regard to the timing and circumstances surrounding the raid on Taibbi’s home on March 9 — “the same day Mr. Taibbi testified before the Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government about what he learned about Twitter,” The Wall Street Journal reported.

According to Jordan’s letter, Taibbi notified the congressman that the IRS instructed him to call the federal agency four days after his testimony before the government’s weaponization panel, at which point he was told that both his 2018 and 2021 tax filings were requested because of “concerns over identity theft.”

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/irs-matt-taibbi-weaponization/2023/03/27/id/1114031/

OBSERVATION – Intimidation is the order of the day by the regime towards anyone who speaks out against it. Remember, they want to add 87,000 new IRS agents – many to be assigned to swat style teams.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


Strategic Activity / Deployments –

According to the USNI, the USS Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group (CSG-12) recently completed its pre-deployment exercise. In early June, CSG-12 is expected to relieve the USS George H. W. Bush Carrier Strike Group (CSG-1) in the eastern Mediterranean.

OBSERVATION – The Ford will likely replace the Bush in the Med since the Bush has been on station for about a year in response to the Ukraine war. There will likely be a little overlap time as the Bush brings the Ford up to speed on the area of operations.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Speculation continues over the fate of the grand jury investigation of Trump. Will the Manhattan DA fish or cut bait?


North/South Korea –

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un was photographed inspecting a range of nuclear warheads at the Nuclear Weapons Research Institute, according to state media on Tuesday, urging increased production.

OBSERVATION – Many are skeptical (including myself) that these are actual warheads given how the ‘warheads’ were stored and the lack of evidence that NK has actually managed to miniaturize the warhead design to fit these devices. Secondly, given that NK is utilizing plutonium as the fission material, protection from radioactivity in the photos is also noticeably lacking. It is impossible to verify whether they are the real deal. Until North Korea tests one of these devices, we are left guessing.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
China has come out with sour statements against Russia moving tactical nukes into Belarus.

Russian Personnel Issues –-
Lieutenant General Andrii Kuzmenko has been appointed temporary acting commander of the Russian Eastern Group after Muradov was dismissed.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with little change in territory.

Russia dug out some Iranian drones and managed to hit Kyiv and Dnipro overnight.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

Partisan Resistance ——
A vehicle belong to chief of occupational police in Mariupol was blown up overnight. Partisan activity has been on the increase lately in southern Ukraine.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings. Russia will continue to pressure around Bakhmut and Avdiivka but collapse of those defenses are not imminent.


Israel –

Israel remains on the edge of the abyss staring into the darkness.

Netanyahu yesterday - “I’m taking a time out in the legislation of the judicial reform. I decided to suspend the vote on 2nd & 3rd reading of the legislation in the current Knesset session, in order to try & reach an understanding on the legislation in the next Knesset session”

Netanyahu also said that there is an “extreme minority they is ready to tear the country to pieces and ignite a civil war”. Further called on all “demonstrators in Jerusalem, from the right and the left, to behave responsibly and not to act violently. We are brothers”

Netanyahu called on the heads of the security establishment to stop the refusals to serve due to the judicial plan

General strike in Israel called off following Netanyahu pausing the legislative reform.

Israel PM Netanyahu agrees to establish a “national guard” force that will be under the direct authority of Ben Gvir.

Pro-Government Protests in support of the Judicial Overhaul and Prime Minister Netanyahu are currently taking place in the Israeli Capital of Jerusalem. Anti – Govt protestors out now calling for a military coup against Netanyahu.

OBSERVATION - Netanyahu’s pulling the judicial reform measure has granted some space in the ongoing chaos. However, with pro-govt supporters now taking to the streets and the anti-govt protestors calling for a coup things can get spicy very quickly. Netanyahu’s approval of a “national guard” under Ben Gvir is of additional concern. Gvir is reportedly a hard right supporter and an organized ‘guard’ under his supervision dangerously splits the Israeli miliary and its loyality.

What could be more dangerous is if Iran and its proxies – Hamas and Hezbollah – were to strike during these massive protests, the ensuing chaos both among the people as well as the military would be potentially catastrophic.



195 posted on 03/28/2023 7:51:08 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 192 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla
NUCLEAR THREATS – China has come out with sour statements against Russia moving tactical nukes into Belarus.

Sour? Is China going to negotiate the end of this war? Triangulating?

196 posted on 03/28/2023 9:08:19 AM PDT by GOPJ (When Morning Joe's sycophants say "My Democracy" it sounds like Gollum saying "my precious")
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To: Godzilla
This attack falls on the heels of Tennessee passing a bill outlawing gender transition ‘treatment’ mutilation of children.

FTFY

197 posted on 03/28/2023 10:00:51 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 195 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in a tractor rally in Slovenia in order to protest green agenda rules implemented by both national and EU officials in the country. Protests were inspired in part by the successful protests by farmers in the Netherlands.

Thousands of farmers across Slovenia reportedly took to the country’s streets in their tractors on Friday in order to protest various green agenda rules in place in the country.

The demo is reminiscent of similar events that are now regularly taking place in other EU countries, with farmers in Germany, Flanders and the Netherlands all having taken part in similar rallies protesting EU green rules.
According to a report by Euractiv, around 5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in the protest, which has largely been in response to recent ruling restricting the use of pesticides in certain areas over water pollution fears.

OBSERVATION – Under the banner of “No farms, No food”, these protests appear to be gaining traction from the local population of those countries. Definitiely a set back for the globalists.


Invasion of Illegals –

Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas was roasted like a pig testifying before the senate yesterday. The sad thing is there will be nothing done to him for his deliberate sabotage of US border security.


Biden / Harris watch –

Vice President Kamala Harris stumbled over her words during a speech in Ghana Monday, serving up yet another word salad on the world stage.
“There are a number of things on the issue of the economy as a whole that we must do … and a lot of that work is the work that I am here to do on the continent,”

**
Video and mic capture of biden’s handler explaining to biden where to stand and how to walk up to that location.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Radical Transgenderism zone

Radical transgender activists, and their leftist allies and MSM doubled and tripled down in support of the gunwoman who attacked the Christian School in Tennessee, trying to deflect all blame onto republicans and those opposing the radical transgender agenda – especially the passing of laws to protect children from the drag show perverts and those pushing bodily mutilation of children. The examples are too numerous to note here, but in total were vile.
Second – the MSM continues to paint the whole violent trans movement as the real victims here – even while the calls continue for violence towards any opponents of their agenda.

Overall – there is a growing threat of violence by these radical transgenderists against people/organizations they perceive opposing their demonically inspired agenda. This includes feminists, center -right commentators, Christian churches and politicians. The violent components of these terrorists are deeply embedded into Antifa and Antifa has been a willing accomplice in many recent attacks on those speaking out against the trans agenda. The silence of the left and its resounding failure to condemn the violence promoted by these militant trans activists will only encourage further more violence because they will think they are untouochable.

**
“Hate has consequences.”
Radical trans activist group, the Trans Resistance Network, has released a statement mourning the death of the Nashville Christian school mass shooter. The statement says there were two tragedies, the murder of the children & school staff, & also that of Aubrey “Aiden” Hale, who it warns should not be misgendered. Ahead of the mass shooting, trans activists had urged “vengeance” against Tennessee & conservatives for banning the medical transitioning of children.

**
LGBTQ+ groups told Newsweek that publishing the manifesto from the perpetrator of Monday’s school shooting could have “serious consequences.” Nashville Police said it won’t make the manifesto public “during an open investigation.”

**
HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra on Tuesday defended President Biden’s intention to use federal funds through the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) to pay for sex changes for children.

The secretary said that “everyone in America” should have “access to the health care that they need, whether you’re a child or adult.”

**
Researchers at the Department of Defense (DOD) have recommended that servicemen’s children as young as seven should have access to expanded gender transition treatments.

In the latest issue of the American Journal of Public Health, the piece titled “Caring for Military-Affiliated Transgender and Gender-Diverse Youths: A Call for Protections” argued that legislative efforts in states have created a “gender-affirming care crisis” for minors by restricting medical treatments.
According to a study in JAMA Pediatrics, a monthly peer-reviewed medical journal published by the American Medical Association, at least 2,500 children actively sought gender dysphoria services through Pentagon’s insurance plan, Tricare, after it began covering puberty suppression and cross-sex hormone treatment in 2017.

https://www.naturalnews.com/2023-03-27-pentagon-researchers-gender-affirming-care-military-kids.html

**
The new Tiktok bill, known as the RESTRICT Act, has recently been exposed to contain numerous back doors that will enable the regime to punish opposing views on the internet by declaring the posters as being “foreign adversaries”, subjecting them to 20 years in prison and a million dollar fine.
Any one surprised that the democrats are very supportive of this bill?


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

No decisions from NYC as the grand jury will not be meeting this week to address the Trump material.

**
Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated on Tuesday that there has been “no progress” in the debt ceiling talks between House Republicans and the Biden administration.


China –

Senior U.S. official: China should not “overreact” and use Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s trip to the United States as a “pretext” for aggression against the island, according to AFP.


Japan –

Japan, the Philippines, and the U.S. are in talks to develop a trilateral security framework for the East and South China Sea region. The first discussions among principals are expected to take place in April with the goal of forging closer ties between Japan and the Philippines. The new security framework will focus on boosting deterrence against China and preparing for a potential crisis over Taiwan.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
US has informed Russia that it will no longer exchange data on its strategic nuclear forces following Moscow’s decision to suspend its participation in the New START treaty cutting long-range arms: WSJ


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting intensified overnight around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with some gains by Russia.

Russian artillery strikes intensified along the Kharkiv Oblast-Russian border region.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings. Russia continues to make incremental gains in Bakhmut and Avdiivka but at a high cost of Russian lives and material. Ukrainan forces are feeling increased losses too, but it appears that the ratio of Russia to Ukraine losses is still favorable enough to cause Ukraine to continue their economy of force mobile defense of these cities as they muster the forces for an expected counter offensive later this spring.

Even if Russia can successfully (pyrrically) capture those towns, they lack sufficient forces to exploit the “win” to necessary to capture the Donbas region.


Israel –

Israel remains on the edge of the abyss staring into the darkness. Protests have calmed down significantly, likely due to the pull back by Netanyahu of the judicial reform package and called for renewed negotiations on the package.

**
The establishment of a national guard force in Israel would sabotage efforts to de-escalate tensions between Israel and the Palestinians, Palestinian officials warned on Wednesday.
Earlier this week, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir reached an agreement on the force, which is expected to be approved by the Cabinet next week.
The new force will focus on fighting criminal organizations, especially in the Israeli-Arab sector, a spokesman for the National Security Minister said on Tuesday.

OBSERVATION – Looking further into the details of the mission of this ‘national guard’. It definitely hit a Palestinian nerve.


Armenia/Azerbaijan –

WAR WATCH

Assassination was attempted on Azerbaijani MP Fazil Mustafa at his residence in Baku city. The MP was shot multiple times and is known for his strong stance against the Iranian government. He was lightly wounded in the attack.



198 posted on 03/29/2023 6:51:05 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 195 | View Replies]

To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –
5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in a tractor rally in Slovenia in order to protest green agenda rules implemented by both national and EU officials in the country. Protests were inspired in part by the successful protests by farmers in the Netherlands.

Thousands of farmers across Slovenia reportedly took to the country’s streets in their tractors on Friday in order to protest various green agenda rules in place in the country.

The demo is reminiscent of similar events that are now regularly taking place in other EU countries, with farmers in Germany, Flanders and the Netherlands all having taken part in similar rallies protesting EU green rules.
According to a report by Euractiv, around 5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in the protest, which has largely been in response to recent ruling restricting the use of pesticides in certain areas over water pollution fears.

OBSERVATION – Under the banner of “No farms, No food”, these protests appear to be gaining traction from the local population of those countries. Definitiely a set back for the globalists.


Invasion of Illegals –

Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas was roasted like a pig testifying before the senate yesterday. The sad thing is there will be nothing done to him for his deliberate sabotage of US border security.


Biden / Harris watch –

Vice President Kamala Harris stumbled over her words during a speech in Ghana Monday, serving up yet another word salad on the world stage.
“There are a number of things on the issue of the economy as a whole that we must do … and a lot of that work is the work that I am here to do on the continent,”

**
Video and mic capture of biden’s handler explaining to biden where to stand and how to walk up to that location.


CW2/Domestic violence –

Radical Transgenderism zone

Radical transgender activists, and their leftist allies and MSM doubled and tripled down in support of the gunwoman who attacked the Christian School in Tennessee, trying to deflect all blame onto republicans and those opposing the radical transgender agenda – especially the passing of laws to protect children from the drag show perverts and those pushing bodily mutilation of children. The examples are too numerous to note here, but in total were vile.
Second – the MSM continues to paint the whole violent trans movement as the real victims here – even while the calls continue for violence towards any opponents of their agenda.

Overall – there is a growing threat of violence by these radical transgenderists against people/organizations they perceive opposing their demonically inspired agenda. This includes feminists, center -right commentators, Christian churches and politicians. The violent components of these terrorists are deeply embedded into Antifa and Antifa has been a willing accomplice in many recent attacks on those speaking out against the trans agenda. The silence of the left and its resounding failure to condemn the violence promoted by these militant trans activists will only encourage further more violence because they will think they are untouochable.

**
“Hate has consequences.”
Radical trans activist group, the Trans Resistance Network, has released a statement mourning the death of the Nashville Christian school mass shooter. The statement says there were two tragedies, the murder of the children & school staff, & also that of Aubrey “Aiden” Hale, who it warns should not be misgendered. Ahead of the mass shooting, trans activists had urged “vengeance” against Tennessee & conservatives for banning the medical transitioning of children.

**
LGBTQ+ groups told Newsweek that publishing the manifesto from the perpetrator of Monday’s school shooting could have “serious consequences.” Nashville Police said it won’t make the manifesto public “during an open investigation.”

**
HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra on Tuesday defended President Biden’s intention to use federal funds through the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) to pay for sex changes for children.

The secretary said that “everyone in America” should have “access to the health care that they need, whether you’re a child or adult.”

**
Researchers at the Department of Defense (DOD) have recommended that servicemen’s children as young as seven should have access to expanded gender transition treatments.

In the latest issue of the American Journal of Public Health, the piece titled “Caring for Military-Affiliated Transgender and Gender-Diverse Youths: A Call for Protections” argued that legislative efforts in states have created a “gender-affirming care crisis” for minors by restricting medical treatments.
According to a study in JAMA Pediatrics, a monthly peer-reviewed medical journal published by the American Medical Association, at least 2,500 children actively sought gender dysphoria services through Pentagon’s insurance plan, Tricare, after it began covering puberty suppression and cross-sex hormone treatment in 2017.

https://www.naturalnews.com/2023-03-27-pentagon-researchers-gender-affirming-care-military-kids.html

**
The new Tiktok bill, known as the RESTRICT Act, has recently been exposed to contain numerous back doors that will enable the regime to punish opposing views on the internet by declaring the posters as being “foreign adversaries”, subjecting them to 20 years in prison and a million dollar fine.
Any one surprised that the democrats are very supportive of this bill?


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

No decisions from NYC as the grand jury will not be meeting this week to address the Trump material.

**
Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated on Tuesday that there has been “no progress” in the debt ceiling talks between House Republicans and the Biden administration.


China –

Senior U.S. official: China should not “overreact” and use Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s trip to the United States as a “pretext” for aggression against the island, according to AFP.


Japan –

Japan, the Philippines, and the U.S. are in talks to develop a trilateral security framework for the East and South China Sea region. The first discussions among principals are expected to take place in April with the goal of forging closer ties between Japan and the Philippines. The new security framework will focus on boosting deterrence against China and preparing for a potential crisis over Taiwan.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
US has informed Russia that it will no longer exchange data on its strategic nuclear forces following Moscow’s decision to suspend its participation in the New START treaty cutting long-range arms: WSJ


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting intensified overnight around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with some gains by Russia.

Russian artillery strikes intensified along the Kharkiv Oblast-Russian border region.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings. Russia continues to make incremental gains in Bakhmut and Avdiivka but at a high cost of Russian lives and material. Ukrainan forces are feeling increased losses too, but it appears that the ratio of Russia to Ukraine losses is still favorable enough to cause Ukraine to continue their economy of force mobile defense of these cities as they muster the forces for an expected counter offensive later this spring.

Even if Russia can successfully (pyrrically) capture those towns, they lack sufficient forces to exploit the “win” to necessary to capture the Donbas region.


Israel –

Israel remains on the edge of the abyss staring into the darkness. Protests have calmed down significantly, likely due to the pull back by Netanyahu of the judicial reform package and called for renewed negotiations on the package.

**
The establishment of a national guard force in Israel would sabotage efforts to de-escalate tensions between Israel and the Palestinians, Palestinian officials warned on Wednesday.
Earlier this week, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir reached an agreement on the force, which is expected to be approved by the Cabinet next week.
The new force will focus on fighting criminal organizations, especially in the Israeli-Arab sector, a spokesman for the National Security Minister said on Tuesday.

OBSERVATION – Looking further into the details of the mission of this ‘national guard’. It definitely hit a Palestinian nerve.


Armenia/Azerbaijan –

WAR WATCH

Assassination was attempted on Azerbaijani MP Fazil Mustafa at his residence in Baku city. The MP was shot multiple times and is known for his strong stance against the Iranian government. He was lightly wounded in the attack.



199 posted on 03/29/2023 6:51:05 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 195 | View Replies]

To: Godzilla

Globalism / Great Reset –
5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in a tractor rally in Slovenia in order to protest green agenda rules implemented by both national and EU officials in the country. Protests were inspired in part by the successful protests by farmers in the Netherlands.

Thousands of farmers across Slovenia reportedly took to the country’s streets in their tractors on Friday in order to protest various green agenda rules in place in the country.

The demo is reminiscent of similar events that are now regularly taking place in other EU countries, with farmers in Germany, Flanders and the Netherlands all having taken part in similar rallies protesting EU green rules.
According to a report by Euractiv, around 5,000 farmers are said to have taken part in the protest, which has largely been in response to recent ruling restricting the use of pesticides in certain areas over water pollution fears.

OBSERVATION – Under the banner of “No farms, No food”, these protests appear to be gaining traction from the local population of those countries. Definitiely a set back for the globalists.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

This is far too simplistic. The Globalists mean to succeed one way or another. If they cannot choke off the food supply by restricting farmers from having cows or growing fodder for animals, these Globalists are going to make the price of fuel so high that the farmers will not be able to afford to farm. Next the globalists plan to impose a high carbon tax on all farmers who continue to use diesel fueled tractors instead of electric trucks and electric tractors.

Trudeau in Canada is a globalist and he has a plan to require that all farmers have electric tractors by 2025 or the farmers still using fossil fuel will have a high carbon tax imposed which will run them out of business.

The result is a diminishing food supply which will cause riots and starvation, which will justify the final evolution of Canada into a fascist state.

These plans are multi pronged and insidious. We will be OK where we are because we have land and can have huge private gardens and can raise our own pork, chicken and beef.

But things will get incredibly nasty in the cities. Globalists like Trudeau , under the wing of Klaus Schwab, are planning all of this under the cult of climate ideology, which they themselves know to be false. They are not only Globalists but are the new face of European fascism.And they are present in Canada and the United States.It is these insidious forces that Vladimir Putin is fighting, although he has dome so illegally and poorly at that.

We need to fight the Globalists too, even if we must war with them in the streets.Enough Mr. Nice Guy.The climate cult needs to be called out at every turn.Or there will be food shortage and war.


200 posted on 03/30/2023 7:47:41 AM PDT by Candor7 ( ( Ask not for whom THE Trump trolls...He trolls for thee!)<img src=""width=500></img>)
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