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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Globalism / Great Reset –

Noting a lot of discussions that the current banking crisis is deliberate. Hard to argue against that theory given the (deliberate) actions of banking that they knew would weaken their stability over the past several years combined with global central banks encouraging the behavior. Add to WEF underlings taking advantage of the crisis. The instability of the banking realm may help the push the roll out of CBDC in major countries this summer.


Economy –

Looking to see what the talking head are pontificating today. Deutsche Bank remains a point of concern, with stocks failing towards the end of last week on largely liquity issues from the mountain of bad loans and derivatives in its holdings.


Biden / Harris watch –

Biden marked the beginning of the month of Ramadan on Wednesday by issuing a statement in which he noted that Muslim communities “have been part of the American story since our founding.”

OBSERVATION – Well, I guess our fights against the Islamic pirates count.


CW2/Domestic violence –

The Los Angeles Police Protective League union filed a lawsuit on behalf of three LAPD officers against an anti-cop website on Friday.
The lawsuit, filed on behalf of Officers Adam Gross, Adrian Rodriguez, and Douglas Panameno, alleges that the website, KillerCop.com, offered a bounty on police officers.

The officers demand that their photos and identifying information be removed from the website.

According to a report from the Los Angeles Times, “it is the first legal action stemming from the Los Angeles Police Department’s release of the names and photos of almost every sworn officer — more than 9,300 officers, including some who work undercover — as part of a public records request. A police watchdog group posted the images online last Friday.”

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/03/lapd-officers-sue-owner-of-anti-cop-website-for-publishing-their-photos-with-a-bounty/

OBSERVATION – not only is this directed against the police officers, but especially at their families. This is nothing less than a death list that the leftists will use if they start to lose control or if necessary to continue the push to eliminate police and law enforcement. If rioting goes sideways this summer, it appears that Antifa affiliated elements are laying the groundwork to attack individual police and their families as a new front of their chaos.

**
Antifa harassed and assaulted a pro-life march in NYC yesterday. Leftists jeered at them and created a garbage barrier to the march. Other Antifa assaulted marchers while NYPD looks on. Officers reportedly said Antifa behavior only amounts to harassment and there’s nothing for them to do.

OBSERVATON – What over the past year was generally participation by Antifa et al in these counter protests with relatively minimal violence, I’m seeing a growth of violence in these counter protests now. Currently focused on counter pro- life and counter feminist events are garnishing more violence by Antifa. Globally, Antifa based violence has skyrocketed against feminist rallies and counter groomer events.

With the 2024 campaign season getting into full swing, I expect Antifa et al to start mustering forces to try to oppose MAGA and related political rallies. If you’ve been following leftist commentary increasingly over the past year the calls for violence and even killing leftist opponents, this summer could well be very hot. Couple that with the rising antagonism from BLM/CRT proponents towards whites and the two could start to rise to the level of 2020 – needing only a catalyst event.

Let me add another important point. Antifa et al is not the same bunch of thugs that made the news during the Berkeley riots of a number of years ago. They have compartmentized over the intervening years - identifying and training for a more lethal capability. Still see many posts by patriots putting their capabilities down as just a bunch of soy boys and fat broads with daddy issues, etc. DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE your opponent. If nothing else to be learned from the 2020 riots, Antifa had a very organized structure and tactics – operating well within the OODA loop of police. They’ve taken a lot of time to arm and train selected individuals. They may not be super soldiers, but they can be a force multiplier for Antifa if violence ramps up into more open combat.

**
Speaking of catalyst events - Undercover police officers acting as agent provocateurs incited protesters to riot on January 6. The stunning development was uncovered during J6 defendant William Pope’s trial.

As reported by the Epoch Times’ Joseph Hanneman, a federal prosecutor “admitted in court papers that three D.C. Metropolitan Police Department undercover officers acted as provocateurs at the northwest steps of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.”

The report cites an admission in a March 24 filing before U.S. District Judge Rudolph Contreras that sought to keep video footage shot by the officers under court seal. (The document now appears to have been removed.)

As noted by the report, “prosecutors accused the case defendant—William Pope of Topeka, Kansas—of an ‘illegitimate’ attempt to unmask the video as part of his alleged strategy to try the case in the news media. Pope filed a motion to remove the court seal on Feb. 21.”

“This video clearly evidences undercover law enforcement officers urging the crowds to advance up the stairs and scaffolding towards the Capitol on January 6,” Pope wrote in an earlier case filing. “The government may claim that incidents like this did not happen, but the facts show they did.”

https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/j6-video-knab/?utm_source=endwoke&utm_medium=twitter

OBSERVATION - The regime has created a false flag in the J6 events. Patriot/Militia groups out there better screen and rescreen again. It is evident that the regime has a lot of snitches and agent provocateurs infiltrated into a lot of those organizations. As I’ve noted before – they are seeking an excuse to crack down on ‘domestic terrorists’, especially as the 2024 elections close in.

Advice – check your food, water, medical, comms and armory and make sure you are squared away.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Trump held a very large rally in Waco TX yesterday. This in the face of the Manhattan DA regrouping on his efforts to indict him on felony charges of paying off whats her face. This week is do or die for the prosecutor.


China –

China’s leader, Xi Jinping, has called a meeting of former-Soviet Central Asian countries, in an audacious power play in Russia’s backyard the week of his summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Xi invited the leaders of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan to the first China-Central Asia summit on Wednesday, the AFP news agency reported. It remains unclear whether the reclusive state of Turkmenistan has been invited.

The states are all former members of the Soviet Union, and Moscow has long regarded them as being in its sphere of influence after the then-Russian Empire conquered them in the 19th century.

OBSERVATION - Xi is the one in charge and that the world is starting to look to for leadership. Biden and putin are now subordinate to Xi. The global shift in status has been very rapid – only a few months.

Also note – Xi may also have designs on more direct control of these eastern former Soviet Union states. I’ve said when all is said and done, Xi will own Russia.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
Putin has announced today that they will soon begin deploying a number of tactical-nuclear weapons into the territory of Belarus; these weapons will most likely be launched from 9K720 Iskander missile systems. Mig-31s may also be used.

Belarus will store Russian nuclear weapons. Putin said that Russia had already helped the Belarusians to re-equip planes and from April 3 they would start training crews and build a storage facility for nuclear weapons, to be completed by the 1st of July. (NOTE – most likely rehabbing older facilities as a July 1 date is too close for new facilitie).

Putin’s claims he’s merely fulfilling Lukashenka’s request for tactical nuclear weapons to be stored in Belarus.

The Russian Air Force is claimed to have already transferred at least 10 aircraft that are capable to launching tactical-nuclear weapons to Belarus; these aircraft are most likely the MiG-31K which is a jet that is able to carry Kh-47M2 nuclear capable Kinzhal hypersonic missiles.

RUMINT-
Putin is trying to put a happy face on the put down by Xi.

Logistics –
Russia is running out of ammo and equipment. Destruction of logistic supplies and tanks and other armor has reached such a critical level that Russia is pulling old T-54/55 tanks out for repair and deployment to Ukraine.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

RUMINT –
Ukraine is claiming that it is running out of ammo, affection its planned offensive later this spring. IMHO these kind of public announcements server two purposes. 1) Spur supporting western nations to up their deliveries and 2) set forth propaganda to show a false ‘weakness’ to the Russians. There have been some complaints from front line units of running short of ammo. This could be folded into the propaganda. Hoarding ammo for an offensive is not uncommon and Ukraine’s economy of force defensive operations in the east would likely see limited ammo to some extent.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Though the Russian effort around Bakhmut has backed off, Russia continues to pressure Ukrainian forces in the city.

Russia increase in the support for the Adviivka effort saw four rare supporting airstrikes yesterday.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings.

I realize that for many months now I’ve said that the trend at Bahkmut is one where Ukraine will eventually be forced to withdraw. The action of the past couple weeks were it has become more and more apparent that Russia is close to running out of effective forces to push Ukraine out along with a strategic application of Ukrainian reserves to stabilize the flanks has turned that assessment around.

Note that both Russia and Ukraine are facing ammo shortages. The strategic level of battle now is one of logistics. Ukraine has from the beginning found the Russian logistics tail to be the weak link of their army.

Whoever can sustain resupply of ammo may well be the eventual winner.


Belarus -

See putin announcement of the deployment of tactical nukes to the country above under Russia.


Israel –

Israel is having to deal with Muslim uprisings associated with Ramadan as well as internal protests by opposition parties to the parliament moving legislation on judicial reform forward.


Iran –

See Syria below on Iranian backed militias /IRGC actions against US forces in Syria.


Syria -

Fighting between US and Iranian backed militias in the Deir-ez-Zor, eastern Syria area appears to have calmed back down, though US forces remain on a high alert.


Turkey -

Erdogan may have received a gift as a second opposition candidate for president has stepped forward – splitting the opposition vote.


Central / South America General-

Honduras has officially dropped any relations with Taiwan in favor of China. Chinese investments in Central/South America will continue to drag these countries willingly or unwillingly to its sphere of influence and away from US.


Armenia/Azerbaijan –

WAR WATCH

The Azerbaijani Armed Forces have crossed the line of contact in the Shusha region of Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian peacekeepers are taking measures to prevent the escalation of the “crisis situation”, Russia’s Defense Ministry says - TASS

Russia’s MoD says that they have told Azerbaijan to withdraw their troops from the new positions they have captured. Azerbaijan has reportedly made advances in the area of Lisagor, and has taken control of multiple roads, including around the Lachin corridor.

Russia’s MoD also says that a ceasefire violation was recorded in the Martuni region of Nagorno-Karabakh

OBSERVATION - So far the Azeri’s have been holding back – not ready to test Russia militarily.



191 posted on 03/26/2023 8:59:59 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 190 | View Replies ]


To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


Economy –

Studies indicate that US banks hold well over a trillion dollars worth of losses. This week more banking instability will continue to hold the concern of the stocks and economy in general.

**
This month, pandemic-related emergency funding from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, formerly known as food stamps, is ending in most states, leaving many low-income families with less to spend on food.

More than 41 million Americans receive funding for food through the federal program. For those households, it will amount to at least $95 less per month to spend on groceries. Yet for many families, the drop will be even steeper since the government assistance scales up to adjust for household size and income.
For grocers like Kroger, big-box players like Walmart and discounters like Dollar General, the drop in SNAP dollars adds to an already long list of worries about the year ahead. It’s likely to pressure a weakening part of retailers’ business: sales of discretionary merchandise, which are crucial categories for retailers, as they tend to drive higher profits.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/26/shrinking-food-stamp-benefits-retailers.html

OBSERVATION – This will have a mixed effect on the economy. Some will be hurt others will be inconvenienced. SNAP for the wuhan plandemic should have been phased out last year. In many cases, the program went to those who really didn’t need it. This is just another category of govt trying to install dependence on the system and not independence.


Invasion of Illegals –

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs intends to scrap a Border Strike Force in the state is sparking criticism from Republicans in the state — although it does have the backing of at least one Democrat. Hobbs said that she intends to reroute funding for the strike force, which was set up in 2015 by former Gov. Doug Ducey, and said the money could be used to coordinate a law enforcement response at the border.

“What our budget intends to do is to reallocate those funds where they can be most purposeful. I’ve said this before, recent reporting has indicated it’s not a force, it’s not striking at the border, and so we can repurpose those dollars to where they can be more beneficial in terms of coordinating a law enforcement response at the border,” she said during a tour of the border with Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.

OBSERVATION – A hard leftist, Hobbs has no plans to really do anything but dismantle the task force, paying lip service for now to border concerns.


Domestic / International Terror (modified)-

Situational awareness as Ramadan continues.


POLITICAL FRONT –

All eyes on Manhattan to see if the indictment will go forward or die a silent death.


China –

First protests in Hong Kong since the advent of wuhan occurred with strict controls over the participants who had to be identified and vetted by Chinese officials before being allowed to participate.

OBSERVATION – China’s application of the hammer of lockdowns destroyed the freedom movement in HK in 2019. In that vacuum China installed all its figure heads in govt power and moved security forces in (under the guise of the wuhan) to shut down the democracy movement.


North/South Korea –

The USS Nimitz and Carrier Strike Group Eleven are reportedly planning to arrive in the South Korea City of Busan on Monday to participate in Naval Exercises to the South of Jeju Island.

OBSERVATION - Expect more NK missile tests in protest.


Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russian forces have initiated an offensive who’s declared goals are to reach and secure the Luhansk and Donetsk oblast borders — an objective that Russian Chief of General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov had also outlined on December 22, 2022. Troop and equipment build up is being noted

This offensive action is focused on several fronts –
1) the Svatove-Kreminna front,
2) Bahkmut region,
3) Donetsk region and
4) Zaporizhizhia Oblast around the town of Vuhledar.

Analysts are noting that the Russian offensive operations are winding down. Some offensive operation will continue to be attempted, however, a lot of assessment indicates they’ve lost the capability to sustain a credible offensive to try to capture the Donbas region having frittered away resources against Bahkmut.

Russia is also capable of launching cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure - primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

********

NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia could have its most powerful and quiet nuclear attack submarines on persistent patrols off either U.S. Coast in the next two years, the head of U.S. Northern Command told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday.
In response to questions from Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) on the threat of Chinese and Russian cruise missile submarines operating close to the U.S., NORTHCOM commander Gen. Glen VanHerck said that the deployments of the Russian Yasen-class nuclear cruise missile attack boats have been deploying more frequently.

“[The risk is] absolutely increasing. Within the last year, Russia has also placed their [Yasens] in the Pacific,” he said.

“Now not only the Atlantic, but we also have them in the Pacific and it’s just a matter of time – probably a year or two – before that’s a persistent threat, 24 hours a day. … That impact has reduced decision space for a national senior leader in a time of crisis.”

Also known by their NATO reporting name Severodvinsk class, the 13,800-ton Yasen-class attack boats are among the most capable submarines in the world. In particular, the three current boats in the class are capable of a special quiet operations mode that make them difficult to detect in the open ocean. In 2018, the lead boat in the class, Severodvinsk,evaded U.S. efforts to find it for weeks, according to press reports.

https://news.usni.org/2023/03/23/northcom-russia-close-to-persistent-nuclear-cruise-missile-attack-sub-presence-off-u-s-coasts

Russian Personnel Issues –-
Russia is having difficulties getting support from its population for voluntary service (conscription) into the military. In spite of Russian efforts to control the reporting from Ukraine – word of the massive causalities and poor support – have reached even into the prisons (once fertile sites to get volunteers). Russia also has had highly publicized issues in paying conscripts – many having no pay and being forced to purchase their own equipment.


Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures with highs now reaching the 60’s with rain/snow over most of the forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Fighting continues around Bakhmut and Avdiivka with little change in territory. Avdiivka has ordered an evacuation of all remaining civilians.

The Zaporizhizhia and Crimean fronts were relatively quiet, with mostly scattered and sporatic Russian artillery strikes.

Partisan Resistance ——
A vehicle belong to chief of occupational police in Mariupol was blown up overnight. Partisan activity has been on the increase lately in southern Ukraine.

OUTLOOK –
More of the same from past postings. It continues to appear that Russia’s offensive is running out of steam while Ukraine is ramping up preparations for its turn.

Latest Russian view of where the hammer will strike for Ukraine is Zaporizhizhia oblast, with occupation officials there making plans to evacuate sooner rather than later. This axis is also the shortest way to reach the Crimean peninsula and meet Ukraine’s stated goal of liberating that territory. Russia milbloggers are also concerned of a counteroffensive in the east that can split Russian forces in half and totally messing up what’s left of their logistics train to the occupied south.


.
Europe / NATO General –

EU is reportedly stepping up military aid to Georgia and Moldova. Georgia is expected to get €30 million worth modern trailers, trucks, heavy equipment transporters, cranes and vehicles supporting the mobility of the Georgian defense forces’ field artillery comms systems


Israel –

Israel is on the edge of the abyss this morning after hundreds of thousands of Israelis took to the streets on Sunday in protest after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed his defense minister Yoav Gallant, who had urged the government to halt a highly-contested plan to overhaul the judicial system. Israel’s permanent representative to the United Nations also resigned over the action – numerous other critical resignations in the military command and various places in govt. Nation wide strikes and shutdowns are planned for today.

US says it is “deeply concerned” over the firing of Israel Defense Minister.

RUMORS that Netanyahu is going to announce that reforms are being pulled off the table.

OBSERVATION - Even if Netanyahu pulls the reforms, it will be difficult to re-establish any kind of working relationship between his govt and many sectors – including the military. Yesterday’s protest took on components of the many ‘color’ revolutions that have either brought down govts or spun the nation into a civil war. Yesterday’s events may also push the country into another round of parliamentary voting.

All this occurs in the shadow of an increasingly aggressive Iran and its proxy terror groups in and around Israel.

The current biden regime has been hostile to Israel since 2020 and may have its fingers behind some of the organizations that organized the protest, the speed of which it was organized surprised many.

Ongoing watch to see just what Netanyahu says and if the protests will continue with the probable ultimate goal of forcing him to resign.



192 posted on 03/27/2023 7:13:24 AM PDT by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 191 | View Replies ]

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