Check out the accuracy of Gallup polls since 1936, they have been close most years and even a little low. That means to me that Bush wins. Gallup has bush up 51 to 46. That tells me that Bush wins by 53 to 45. 2000 Bush 48.0 47.9 +0.1 Gore 46.0 48.4 -2.4 Nader 4.0 2.7 +1.3 1996 Clinton 52.0 49.2 +2.8 Dole 41.0 40.7 -0.3 Perot 7.0 8.4 -1.4 1992 Clinton 49.0 43.3 +5.7 Bush 37.0 37.7 -0.7 Perot 14.0 19.0 -5.0 1988 Bush 56.0 53.9 +2.1 Dukakis 44.0 46.1 -2.1 1984 Reagan 59.0 59.2 -0.2 Mondale 41.0 40.8...
