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According to FiveThirtyEight's Election Forecast, Trump entered October with a 32.7 percent chance of winning the 2016 election. But after just two weeks, Trump now stands at a dismal 13.4 percent chance of victory according to polls and only 11.2 percent chance if the election were held today, showing that perhaps even The Donald isn't immune to such a mounting list of controversies.

... ♦ Republican and Republican leaners 36% ♦ Democrat and Democrat leaners 43% ♦ Independents 12% ... Hart Research Associates is headed up by Peter D Hart (founder), and Geoff Garin (President) – ... OK, so Mr. Geoff Garin, the President of Hart Research and Associates”, is currently working as “a strategic adviser for Priorities USA in support of Hillary Clinton’s election“. Gee, I wonder why the media never tells us that part? ... $220,500.00 in the month of September alone paid by Hillary Clinton’s Priorities USA Super-PAC to Hart Research Associates.

Despite these events and changes, the Clinton-vs.-Trump horserace remains relatively consistent. Much like last month, Clinton leads Trump among African Americans (87 percent to 5 percent), Latinos (69 percent to 22 percent), those ages 18-34 (53 percent to 30 percent), women (52 percent to 35 percent). Trump, meanwhile, has the edge among whites (49 percent to 37 percent), men (48 percent to 38 percent) and independents (40 percent to 30 percent). Additionally, Clinton gets overwhelming support from Democrats (85 percent to 8 percent), and Trump gets similar - though slightly less - support from Republicans (79 percent to 9 percent)....

The team of NBC and Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch owned) has struck again with their latest highly coordinated and heavily manufactured latest "Agenda Poll". We have previously revealed NBC/WSJ's prior two constructs....... [SNIP] Remember, an "agenda poll" is not created to show a statistical snapshot of the presidential race. An "agenda poll" has nothing to do with the support. Agenda Polls are manufactured to create media talking points, to create media narratives. Agenda polling is about setting out to make a story, to sell a specific narrative, by using polling as the means to justify the story you are...

Donald Trump and Ben Carson are running neck and neck in the national Republican presidential horserace, while Carly Fiorina is now tied for third place with Marco Rubio, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. And on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton has lost ground to Bernie Sanders — she leads him by just seven points with Joe Biden in the race, and 15 points without the vice president. That's down from Clinton's 34-point lead over Sanders in July and her whopping 60-point lead in June. In the GOP race, Trump is the first choice of 21 percent...

Politics How Crazies Are Destroying Your Party New poll underscores public's mad-as-hell attitude toward Republicans and Democrats. This is what happens when the two parties ruling Washington lose touch with America and pander to their crazy-extreme bases: President Obama's competency and personality ratings are nose-diving, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll; barely a sliver of the public thinks highly of the Republican Party; and two-thirds of Americans want to replace their own member of Congress.

It could have been an innocent mistake after all the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey has tons of questions you cant remember them all. But on the other hand you would think that it would be a question that is remembered particularly because it is such a hot topic right now. We're talking about a question in the NBC/WSJ Poll that found by a wide 12 point margin most people see Obamacare as a bad Idea (48%-36% margin) and the fact that question was not mentioned during last night's NBC News report about the NBC/WSJ effort. Instead last night,NBC...

Data from the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll present a problem for President Obama and congressional Democrats as they try to sell their health-care plan: Americans do not believe Obama and Congress are paying sufficient attention to the cost issue, which is a top public concern. As this chart shows, while Americans are essentially split on what Obama and Congress should be most focused on addressing, they are not split on what the proposed health-care plan actually is addressing. Some 38 percent of Americans say the plan should be most focused on health-care costs, and only 13 percent say the...

NBC News WSJ Released today shows sliding numbers for the anointed one, here's the numbers, some they reported and some they didn't report...