Free Republic

14th amendment US Citizens are never eligible to run for president nor VP.

Nikki’s parents were legal green card residents at her birth. They came to America from Canada in 1969. Nikki was born in 1972. Parents have to live here 5 years before even applying for US Citizenship.

Therefore, Nikki is not a natural born citizen.

ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Hurricane Ian Discussion Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

Satellite images show that Ian has re-developed deep convection
near the center, with frontal features away from the core of the
cyclone. Additionally, a primitive eyewall has formed around about
half of the circulation. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft recently found peak flight-level winds of 80 kt and SFMR
winds of 72 kt. Radar data is also showing winds of up to 85 kt
around 10 thousand feet, with hurricane-force winds now in the
northeastern quadrant. These values support the initial wind speed
of 75 kt. NOAA buoy 41004 near the center recently reported a
minimum pressure of 981 mb with some wind, which supports the
advisory value.

Ian is now moving faster to the north, around 12 kt, and should
continue to accelerate to the north-northwest later today due to
a shortwave trough over the southeastern United States. The new
forecast is adjusted a bit to the east, but should still lead to a
landfall in South Carolina this afternoon. Little change in
intensity is expected before Ian makes landfall, due to competing
influences of strong shear versus baroclinic forcing from the trough
over water waters. Ian should rapidly transition into an
extratropical low tonight after landfall, and dissipate by Saturday
night.

It should be emphasized that dangerous winds and life-threatening
storm surge should rapidly increase during the next few hours in
the Storm Surge and Hurricane Warning areas due to Ian moving faster
toward the coast.

Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge today along the
coasts of the Carolinas within the Storm Surge Warning areas.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected along the coasts of South
Carolina and southeastern North Carolina within the Hurricane
Warning area soon. Hurricane conditions are possible in North
Carolina within the Hurricane Watch area by this afternoon.
Preparations should be rushed to completion.

3. Ongoing major-to-record river flooding will continue through
next week across portions of central Florida. Considerable flooding
is expected today across portions of coastal and northeast South
Carolina, coastal North Carolina and southeast Virginia. Locally
considerable flooding is possible across portions of northwest North
Carolina and southern Virginia today into early Saturday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 32.4N 79.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 34.1N 79.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 01/1200Z 36.0N 80.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 02/0000Z 37.5N 80.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

NNNN

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/301455.shtml

025
WTNT44 KNHC 300847
TCDAT4

Hurricane Ian Discussion Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
500 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022

Ian continues to display hybrid tropical/extratropical
characteristics, and the satellite appearance is increasingly
taking on the pattern of an occluded low. Some deep convection has
still been developing just northwest of the center, however. Based
on SFMR measurements from an earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft, the initial intensity is 75 kt, and as of right
now, all sustained hurricane-force winds are located within the
western semicircle.

The motion of Ian’s center has been somewhat discontinuous during
the past 6 to 12 hours, with multiple swirls apparently rotating
around a common center. The smooth motion is toward the
north-northeast, or 015/9 kt, although Ian should turn northward
very soon. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by tonight
as Ian moves around and merges with a shortwave trough over the
southeastern United States. Track models appear to have stabilized,
and all show Ian’s center crossing the coast of South Carolina this
afternoon, and then moving across eastern South Carolina and central
North Carolina tonight and on Saturday. Since there has been no
noticeable shift in the guidance on this cycle, the new NHC forecast
essentially lies right on top of the previous prediction.

Although very strong southwesterly shear is affecting Ian, the
hurricane is likely deriving its energy from a mixture of the warm
waters of the Gulf Stream and favorable interaction with the
southeastern U.S. shortwave trough. Those two influences should
continue today, and no significant changes to the intensity are
expected up until Ian’s anticipated landfall this afternoon, which
is generally in line with the SHIPS and LGEM guidance. It should be
noted that hurricane-force winds are expected to develop within the
eastern semicircle soon, particularly as Ian begins to move faster
toward the north. After landfall, fast weakening is expected, and
Ian is also forecast to become fully extratropical by 36 hours, if
not a little sooner. The extratropical low is then forecast to
dissipate near the North Carolina/Virginia border by Saturday night.

One additional note: a frontal boundary that extends to the
northeast of Ian is expected to shift inland later today, and the
extensive area of tropical-storm-force winds shown in the
northeastern quadrant is forecast to contract considerably later
today and tonight.

Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge today along the
coasts of northeast Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas within the
Storm Surge Warning areas. Residents in these areas should follow
any advice given by local officials.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected along the coasts of South
Carolina and southeastern North Carolina within the Hurricane
Warning area by this afternoon. Hurricane conditions are possible
in North Carolina within the Hurricane Watch area by this afternoon.
Preparations should be rushed to completion.

3. Ongoing major to record river flooding will continue through next
week across portions of central Florida. Considerable flooding is
expected through today across portions of coastal and northeast
South Carolina. Locally considerable flooding is possible across
portions of North Carolina and southern Virginia through today

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/300847.shtml

Andrew Weissmann oh please....Durham coming to get you soon. ;o)

Aerials of Fort Myers, Cape Coral, Bonita Springs, Sanibel after Hurricane Ian which includes the causeway.

https://rumble.com/v1m1jbs-aerials-of-fort-myers-cape-coral-bonita-springs-sanibel-after-hurricane-ian.html

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located
near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 79.9 West. Ian is moving toward
the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the
north is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the
north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night. On
the forecast track, Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on
Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas
Friday night and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Ian could slightly strengthen before landfall
tomorrow, and is forecast to rapidly weaken over the southeastern
United States late Friday into Saturday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415
miles (665 km). Kennedy Space Center Tower 1 recently reported a
wind gust to 89 mph (145 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/292059.shtml

000
WTNT34 KNHC 292057
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
500 PM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...IAN BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN...
...TAKING AIM AT THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA WITH LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING, STORM SURGE AND STRONG WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...29.3N 79.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

---

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/292057.shtml

Boats work pretty good too.

000
WTNT34 KNHC 291500
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ian Advisory Number 28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 AM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA
WITH IAN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...28.7N 80.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

---

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/291500.shtml

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 80.4 West. Ian is moving
toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
north is expected late today, followed by a turn toward the
north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night. On
the forecast track, Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on
Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas
Friday night and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Ian is expected to become a hurricane again
this evening and make landfall as a hurricane on Friday, with rapid
weakening forecast after landfall.

Ian is a large cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward
up to 415 miles (665 km) from the center. A NOAA CMAN station at the
Saint Johns County pier in Saint Augustine Beach recently reported a
sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) and a gust of 61 mph (98 km/h).
A WeatherSTEM station reported a gust of 74 mph (119 km/h) was
reported at Marineland, Florida.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).

You can use this NOAA link to locate info for your address or location:
https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/real-time-imagery/hurricane-tracker

Tampa Fl https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/real-time-imagery/hurricane-tracker:

1,956 posted on 9/28/2022, 10:22:19 PM by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God’s intervention to stop Putin’s invasion, )

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---

At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 80.7 West. Ian is
moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn toward
the north and north-northwest with an increase in forward speed
Friday and Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Ian
is expected to move off the east-central coast of Florida soon and
then approach the coast of South Carolina on Friday. The
center will move farther inland across the Carolinas Friday night
and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some re-intensification is forecast, and Ian could be near
hurricane strength when it approaches the coast of South Carolina
on Friday. Weakening is expected Friday night and Saturday after
Ian moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
from the center. Daytona Beach International Airport recently
reported a sustained wind of 60 mph (97 km/h) and a gust to 70 mph
(113 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches)
based on surface observations.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

---

Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

* Flagler/Volusia County Line to South Santee River...4-6 ft
* St. Johns River north of Julington...3-5 ft
* St. Johns River south of Julington...2-4 ft
* South Santee River to Little River Inlet...2-4 ft
* Patrick Air Force Base to Flagler/Volusia County Line...1-3 ft
* East of Little River Inlet to Cape Lookout...1-3 ft
* Englewood to Chokoloskee including Charlotte Harbor... 1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by
large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing
of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short
distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring in parts of the
warning area on the east and west coasts of Florida and should
spread northward along the Georgia, South Carolina, and North
Carolina coasts today through Friday. Hurricane conditions are
possible within the Hurricane Watch area in northeastern Florida,
Georgia, and South Carolina through Friday.

RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce the following storm total
rainfall:

* Northeast Florida, coastal Georgia and Lowcountry of South
Carolina: 4 to 8 inches, with local maxima of 12 inches.
* Upstate and central South Carolina, North Carolina, and southern
Virginia: 3 to 6 inches with local maxima of 8 inches across western
North Carolina.

Widespread, life-threatening catastrophic flash and urban flooding,
with major to record flooding along rivers, will continue across
central Florida. Widespread considerable flash, urban, and river
flooding is expected across portions of northeast Florida,
southeastern Georgia, and eastern South Carolina tomorrow through
the weekend. Locally considerable flash, urban, and river flooding
is possible this weekend across portions of the southern
Appalachians, where landslides will be possible as well. Limited
flooding is possible across portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two remains possible across east-central
and northeast Florida through this morning. This threat will shift
into the coastal Carolinas on Friday.

SURF: Swells generated by Ian are affecting the northern coast
of Cuba, the northeastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula and
Florida. Swells will increase along the coasts of Georgia,
South Carolina and North Carolina today. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

---

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
WTNT34 KNHC 291200
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 27A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

...IAN PRODUCING CATASTROPHIC FLOODING OVER EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...FORECAST TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING, STORM SURGE AND
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FLORIDA, GEORGIA, AND THE
CAROLINAS...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...28.5N 80.7W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM E OF ORLANDO FLORIDA
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

---

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning from Boca Raton to Jupiter Inlet has
been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from the Middle of
Longboat Key south to Flamingo including Charlotte Harbor.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Flagler/Volusia Line to the mouth of the South Santee River
* St. Johns River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Bonita Beach to Indian Pass Florida
* Jupiter Inlet Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina
* Lake Okeechobee

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of South Santee River to Little River Inlet

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Flagler/Volusia County Line to the South Santee River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina should monitor the
progress of Ian.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

000
WTNT64 KNHC 290156
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1000 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...10 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...IAN CONTINUING TO BATTER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC
STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING...

Tropical storm conditions are occurring over a wide swath of the
Florida peninsula. An automated station at the Airglades Airport,
located west of Lake Okeechobee recently reported sustained winds of
42 mph (68 km/h) with a gust to 56 mph (90 km/h). A WeatherFlow
station located at Skyway Beach in St. Petersburg, Florida recently
measured sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h) with a gust to 51 mph
(82 km/h). A WeatherFlow station located at Melbourne Beach Barrier
Island Sanctuary recently observed sustained winds of 42 mph (68
km/h) with a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...27.4N 81.5W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NE OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM S OF ORLANDO FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci/D. Zelinsky

Right. But there were a number of houses that survived that 1900 Galveston Hurricane.

Here is one of them: https://www.chron.com/homes/article/galveston-home-zillow-for-sale-hurricane-historic-16379747.php

000
WTNT64 KNHC 281957
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
400 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...4 PM EDT IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IAN CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND IN THE CAPE CORAL-PUNTA GORDA AREA...

The Punta Gorda airport recently reported a wind gust of 124 mph
(200 km/h), and a station at the Cape Coral Fire Department
recently reported a wind gust of 110 mph (177 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...26.8N 82.1W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM WSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF FT MYERS FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...235 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven

Charlotte Harbor

https://twitter.com/AlaStormTracker/status/1575117694021640192

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=as5ktgoPLJc

023
WTNT34 KNHC 281758
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 24A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...IAN CAUSING CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING IN
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...26.6N 82.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM WNW OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

---

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning and the Storm Surge Warning for the Dry
Tortugas has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/281758.shtml

000
WTNT64 KNHC 281659
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
100 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...1 PM EDT IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
FLORIDA...

A River, Estuary, and Coastal Network station at Redfish Pass,
Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 75 mph (121 km/h) and
a wind gust of 100 mph (161 km/h), while a Weatherflow station near
Sanibel Island, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 77
mph (124 km/h) and a wind gust of 107 mph (172 km/h). The Earth
Networks Station at the Naples Grande Beach Resort recently
reported a wind gust of 112 mph (180 km/h.)

The Redfish Pass station has also reported a pressure of 969 mb
(28.61 inches).

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...26.4N 82.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...80 KM WSW OF FT MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven