11/04/2020 2:56:00 PM PST
· 31 of 44 Coop
to jstolzen
Saw a commentator from the Decision Desk (yeah, I know theyre totally biased) on FNC ~half hour ago, and he was saying that the campaign is assuming the uncounted votes to 2:1 Trump - and that there is no evidence of that. They actually expect something like 55/45 Biden.
That was the exact same argument they used last night when they called AZ for Biden, thinking about 96% of the vote was in (they were only off by double digits).
11/04/2020 9:54:57 AM PST
· 48 of 105 Coop
to SpeedyInTexas
Trump rep predicted a 5,500 vote win in NV. If 60K left to count, and T takes 60%, that is a 12K margin. 7,600 + 5,500 = 13,100. Seems like they are expecting over 60% of these votes. Reasonable? 55% would not be enough. 57% of 60K votes would nudge Trump into a tiny lead. If only 50K left Trump would need to take 58% to win by a few hundred votes.
11/03/2020 9:19:58 PM PST
· 615 of 621 Coop
to SpeedyInTexas
Trump still trails by 9 in MN with about 3/4 of the vote in. I really expected him to flip MN, and liked Jason Lewis’ chances to steal a Senate seat. Not looking too good right now.