What accounts for President George W. Bush's recent and durable rise in the polls? Some argue the president is doing exceptionally well among female voters. Still others notice he's doing better among blacks than he did in 2000. Of course, the simplest answer is that the war on terror -- whether or not one includes the Iraq War in that family of issues -- is the dominant theme of the campaign, and in no physical model of the universe is that a formula for victory for a career peacenik like John Kerry. Regardless of your school of thought, the trend...